This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.07
1.07
1.93
1.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.43
0.75
1.75
0.67
3.33
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.29
0.88
1.12
1.89
1.44
vs Weaker (6)
2.67
0.17
2.00
0.00
3.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.3%
Under 1.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.6%
@ 1.71+18.4%
Under 2.5
26.4%
@ 2.11-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.6%
No
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2 ✓
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
KV Mechelen goals ↓
Charleroi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
2.6%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
1
4.2%
8.4%
6.0%
3.1%
1.2%
2
5.6%
8.7%
6.8%
3.5%
1.4%
3
4.3%
6.6%
5.2%
2.7%
1.0%
4
2.4%
3.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KV Mechelen goals (down), columns = Charleroi goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
KV Mechelen is 0.06 points worse than Charleroi in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
KV Mechelen is 0.06 goals better than Charleroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
KV Mechelen is 0.44 goals worse than Charleroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KV Mechelen
For 5.2 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
For 4.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.6
11.7
3.7
4.0
3.5
23.7
23.6
23.9
vs Stronger (10)
10.8
11.0
10.5
3.3
4.0
2.2
23.8
25.5
21.2
vs Similar (32)
11.0
9.9
11.9
3.7
4.3
3.2
24.3
24.3
24.3
vs Weaker (8)
11.9
11.8
12.0
4.5
3.0
7.0
21.4
19.2
25.0
% over line
67%
64%
71%
48%
56%
40%
65%
64%
67%
% under line
33%
36%
29%
52%
44%
60%
35%
36%
33%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.0
10.1
3.8
3.6
3.9
21.9
21.4
22.4
vs Stronger (11)
10.5
10.7
10.2
3.1
3.3
2.8
17.8
18.3
17.0
vs Similar (29)
10.6
10.6
10.5
4.3
4.1
4.4
23.3
22.9
23.6
vs Weaker (10)
10.4
12.2
8.6
3.1
3.0
3.2
22.3
21.8
22.8
% over line
62%
64%
60%
50%
44%
56%
58%
48%
68%
% under line
38%
36%
40%
50%
56%
44%
42%
52%
32%
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.2
Antwerp
11.1
KV Mechelen
11.1
Club Brugge KV
10.7
Charleroi
10.5
OH Leuven
10.5
Eupen
10.3
Union St. Gilloise
10.3
Gent
10.2
Oostende
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Kortrijk
10.1
Genk
9.9
Seraing
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.6
St. Truiden
9.4
Standard Liege
9.2
Anderlecht
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.2
OH Leuven
5.0
Antwerp
4.8
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
Beerschot VA
4.6
Seraing
4.5
Gent
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Eupen
4.1
Oostende
4.0
St. Truiden
4.0
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Charleroi
3.8
KV Mechelen
3.8
Anderlecht
3.7
Genk
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.8
Cercle Brugge
26.6
Kortrijk
25.7
Gent
24.8
Union St. Gilloise
24.7
Beerschot VA
24.2
St. Truiden
24.2
KV Mechelen
23.5
Genk
23.2
Club Brugge KV
23.1
Oostende
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.7
OH Leuven
22.6
Anderlecht
22.6
Seraing
22.6
Eupen
22.3
Antwerp
21.9
Charleroi
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.5%
Under 9.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.4%
Under 3.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.2%
Under 21.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KV Mechelen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.07
0.67
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.33
0.61
1.62
0.88
1.10
0.40
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.20
0.47
1.20
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.00
0.75
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.59
0.25
0.50
1.11
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.00
0.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KV Mechelen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.07
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.57
1.25
0.25
0.67
3.33
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.89
0.75
0.75
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.87
0.60
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.71
0.62
0.62
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.17
1.67
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
73.6%
1.71
-
-
-
-
-
+18.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KV Mechelen · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Myron Van Brederode50%
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Massimo Decoene33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Fredrik Hammar25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Adeshina Ayodele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Charleroi · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof50%
Aurélien Scheidler33%
Aiham Ousou33%
Cheick Keita33%
Antoine Colassin25%
Freddy Mbemba25%
Amine Boukamir25%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aiham Ousou33%
Antoine Bernier25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Pflücke25%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof25%
Antoine Colassin25%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Adama Bojang25%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Pflücke75%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
BV (26)
€9m
KV Mechelen's squad is €14m more valuable than Charleroi's (€45m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
KV Mechelen and Charleroi have a similar attack value (both €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
BV (2)
€0m
KV Mechelen's midfield is €3m more valuable than Charleroi's (€7m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
KV Mechelen's defence is €11m more valuable than Charleroi's (€25m vs €14m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
Genk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
Beerschot VA