The contest between KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win yet recognising the draw and away win are not far behind. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a moderately high scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.5% chance. KV Mechelen, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded, while Westerlo on the road averages 1.11 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Recent form shows both teams coming off 2-2 draws, indicating a cautious approach. The model’s selections include an 99.0% chance of Under 7.5 goals, 98.2% for Away under 2.5 HT goals, 97.2% for Under 6.5, 97.0% for Home under 2.5 HT goals, 96.9% for Away under 2.5 2H goals, 94.9% for Away under 3.5 goals, 94.5% for Home under 2.5 2H goals, and 93.3% for Home under 3.5 goals. The home win probability sits at 41%, the draw at 27%, and the away win at 32%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
KV Mechelen win
40.5%
Avg Implied 44.3% · @ 2.09
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Draw
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.56
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.70
Betfair
3.70
1xBet
3.68
Pinnacle
3.67
10Bet
3.65
KVC Westerlo win
32.4%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.12
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.26
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.24
Marathonbet
3.16
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
KV Mechelen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.83
1.29
1.36
0.94
2.25
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.40
1.20
1.60
0.80
3.20
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.55
1.33
1.22
1.00
1.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.57
1.40
1.87
1.00
1.27
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
1.85
1.29
1.86
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.35
1.50
1.88
1.11
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.4%
@ 1.18-0.1%
Under 1.5
20.6%
@ 4.59+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.68
BetVictor
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.61-3.6%
Under 2.5
45.0%
@ 2.28+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.45
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.7%
@ 2.48-5.0%
Under 3.5
67.3%
@ 1.50+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.65
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
59.3%
@ 1.51-2.1%
No
40.7%
@ 2.40+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
No
Betfair
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.68+6.1%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.92+3.3%
1-2
7.8%@ 9.96+3.4%
1-0
7.4%@ 9.36+2.7%
0-0
6.7%@ 13.29+3.4%
2-0
6.6%@ 11.01+2.5%
0-1
6.4%@ 11.40+2.5%
2-2
6.0%@ 10.56+1.8%
KV Mechelen goals ↓
KVC Westerlo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
6.4%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.4%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.9%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.4%
4.5%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KV Mechelen goals (down), columns = KVC Westerlo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
KV Mechelen is 0.03 points worse than KVC Westerlo in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
KV Mechelen is 0.05 goals worse than KVC Westerlo in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
KV Mechelen is 0.10 goals worse than KVC Westerlo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
KV Mechelen is 0.1 percentage points worse than KVC Westerlo in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KV Mechelen
For 3.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KVC Westerlo
For 4.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.8
3.9
4.3
3.4
22.1
22.8
21.5
vs Stronger (14)
8.6
8.7
8.6
4.7
6.1
3.3
22.5
23.1
21.9
vs Similar (35)
10.6
11.0
10.3
3.6
3.8
3.5
21.9
22.6
21.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
57%
40%
54%
54%
54%
50%
61%
40%
% under line
52%
43%
60%
46%
46%
46%
50%
39%
60%
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.1
11.0
3.7
3.7
3.7
23.3
22.8
23.8
vs Stronger (18)
10.2
10.1
10.3
4.4
4.3
4.4
24.8
23.0
26.6
vs Similar (32)
10.7
10.1
11.4
3.3
3.4
3.3
22.4
22.7
22.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
52%
67%
56%
60%
52%
63%
64%
62%
% under line
41%
48%
33%
44%
40%
48%
37%
36%
38%
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.2
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
24.9
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.5
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Gent
21.2
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.6%
@ 1.56-1.4%
Under 9.5
42.4%
@ 2.24+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Unibet
1.49
Under
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.9%
@ 1.62+1.3%
Under 3.5
41.1%
@ 2.20-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.3%
Under 21.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
KV Mechelen or Draw
66.4%
Avg Implied 70.2% · @ 1.33
Edge
-3.8%
41%
27%
32%
covers KV Mechelen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
KV Mechelen or KVC Westerlo
72.9%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.7%
41%
27%
32%
covers KV Mechelen + KVC Westerlo
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or KVC Westerlo
60.7%
Avg Implied 55.2% · @ 1.69
Edge
+5.5%
41%
27%
32%
covers Draw + KVC Westerlo
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
SBO
1.70
10Bet
1.70
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5
Over
77.8%
@ 1.15-2.5%
Under
22.2%
@ 4.73+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5
Over
44.5%
@ 1.82-6.7%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.91+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5
Over
19.3%
@ 3.59-6.5%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.25+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.66
Unibet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
KV Mechelen over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
@ 7.87-5.2%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.05+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Unibet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5
Over
74.8%
@ 1.26+1.4%
Under
25.2%
@ 3.49-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.58
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5
Over
40.1%
@ 2.33+0.0%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.55-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Unibet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5
Over
16.1%
@ 5.27-1.4%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.12+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
BetVictor
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
KVC Westerlo over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
@ 12.38-2.6%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to KV Mechelen, so a minus line means KV Mechelen give that many goals of a start and KVC Westerlo receive them. At -1, KV Mechelen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal KV Mechelen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (KV Mechelen)
KV Mechelen -2
7.7%
@ 7.83-3.8%
Draw -2
12.0%
@ 5.90-3.2%
KVC Westerlo +2
80.3%
@ 1.23+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Draw
Marathonbet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Away
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap -1 (KV Mechelen)
KV Mechelen -1
19.7%
@ 3.66-4.8%
Draw -1
19.6%
@ 3.98-2.9%
KVC Westerlo +1
60.7%
@ 1.69+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
10Bet
3.85
Unibet
3.75
Away
Unibet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Handicap +1 (KV Mechelen)
KV Mechelen +1
66.4%
@ 1.33-0.9%
Draw +1
17.8%
@ 4.89-0.6%
KVC Westerlo -1
15.7%
@ 6.29+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
Unibet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
10Bet
6.00
Handicap +2 (KV Mechelen)
KV Mechelen +2
84.3%
@ 1.09+1.2%
Draw +2
10.1%
@ 8.75-0.3%
KVC Westerlo -2
5.7%
@ 14.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.08
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KV Mechelen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.64
0.50
0.38
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.60
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.80
0.78
0.44
0.36
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.60
1.20
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.85
0.57
0.86
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.88
0.62
1.50
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.28-2.0%
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.37+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 2.32-6.2%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.55+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.48
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Under
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 5.28-5.8%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.12+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.7%
@ 1.75-4.5%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.99+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.8%
@ 4.63-4.2%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.15+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
Betano
4.65
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.9%
@ 11.12-5.5%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.4%
@ 2.06-2.8%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.69+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.8%
@ 6.39-2.7%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
Unibet
6.50
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 17.50-3.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KV Mechelen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.64
0.86
0.56
1.06
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.40
0.80
1.00
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.56
0.78
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.47
0.88
0.38
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.16-1.7%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 4.66+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
William Hil
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 1.82-6.8%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.92+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
Unibet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
2.00
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.9%
@ 3.52-7.5%
Under 2.5
81.1%
@ 1.26+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.65
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.5%
@ 1.51-5.1%
Under
43.5%
@ 2.42+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.3%
@ 3.42-6.7%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.26+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.8%
@ 8.63-5.0%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.6%
@ 1.73-6.1%
Under
52.4%
@ 2.01+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.9%
@ 4.56-5.4%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.16+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
@ 10.88-6.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.1%
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+2.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+5.2%
Under 5.5
92.7%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.04
Unibet
1.04
+3.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
+5.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+2.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+5.4%
Home +2 handicap
84.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.08
-
-
-
+1.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.2%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+4.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+1.4%
Under 4.5
83.4%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+4.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.24
+7.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.7%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+6.5%
Away +2 handicap
80.3%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+7.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.26
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-
+6.7%
Over 1.5
79.4%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-0.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-1.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
77.8%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
-2.5%
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+1.4%
Home or Away
72.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
-1.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.28
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
-2.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KV Mechelen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Myron Van Brederode50%
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Massimo Decoene33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Fredrik Hammar25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Adeshina Ayodele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
KVC Westerlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Norman Bassette67%
Shunsuke Saito33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
David Amegnaglo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cisse Sandra33%
Lasse Flø33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Norman Bassette0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isa Sakamoto33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Norman Bassette0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norman Bassette33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
KV Mechelen's squad is €7m more valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€45m vs €38m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
KV Mechelen's attack is €3m less valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€13m vs €16m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
KV Mechelen's midfield is €2m less valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€7m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
KV Mechelen's defence is €12m more valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€25m vs €12m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven
Kortrijk