This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.07
0.64
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
0.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.22
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
1.00
2.00
0.50
0.80
1.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.7%
Under 1.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.70-0.4%
Under 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.44+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.7%
Under 3.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.9%
No
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.4%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
2-1 ✓
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
Las Palmas goals ↓
Leganes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
8.1%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
4.6%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.3%
3.1%
0.8%
0.1%
3
4.9%
3.7%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Las Palmas goals (down), columns = Leganes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Las Palmas is 0.40 points worse than Leganes in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Las Palmas is 0.12 goals worse than Leganes in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Las Palmas is 0.50 goals worse than Leganes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Las Palmas
For 3.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 17.8 · Total 32.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leganes
For 4.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 16.5 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Las Palmas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.9
7.6
5.9
5.5
6.2
31.1
30.1
32.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
8.1
9.1
7.2
5.7
5.3
6.1
30.1
28.4
31.7
vs Weaker (21)
8.3
8.5
8.1
6.1
5.9
6.3
32.6
32.6
32.5
% over line
30%
38%
23%
80%
75%
85%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
70%
62%
77%
20%
25%
15%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.4
6.9
7.8
6.0
6.2
5.8
30.5
31.1
30.0
vs Stronger (13)
7.6
6.7
8.4
7.1
6.8
7.3
29.6
32.8
26.9
vs Similar (30)
7.1
7.1
7.0
5.7
5.9
5.4
31.0
30.7
31.3
vs Weaker (7)
8.1
5.5
9.2
5.4
6.5
5.0
30.4
29.5
30.8
% over line
28%
21%
35%
90%
92%
88%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
72%
79%
65%
10%
8%
12%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
9.7
Lugo
9.4
Almeria
9.4
Mirandes
9.3
Mallorca
8.9
Zaragoza
8.9
Albacete
8.9
Logrones
8.6
Espanyol
8.6
Sabadell
8.5
Sporting Gijon
8.5
FC Cartagena
8.4
Alcorcon
8.4
Rayo Vallecano
8.4
Girona
8.3
Oviedo
8.2
Fuenlabrada
8.2
Las Palmas
8.2
Tenerife
8.1
Ponferradina
8.0
Malaga
7.9
Leganes
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.5
FC Cartagena
6.1
Albacete
6.1
Leganes
6.0
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Las Palmas
5.9
Oviedo
5.7
Almeria
5.7
Mallorca
5.7
Malaga
5.6
Ponferradina
5.6
Tenerife
5.5
Girona
5.5
Lugo
5.3
Sabadell
5.2
Alcorcon
5.2
Zaragoza
5.2
Espanyol
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Castellón
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.6
Logrones
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
33.9
FC Cartagena
33.6
Rayo Vallecano
32.9
Logrones
32.4
Girona
32.1
Oviedo
31.5
Albacete
31.5
Alcorcon
31.4
Malaga
31.4
Las Palmas
31.1
Tenerife
30.8
Ponferradina
30.7
Almeria
30.5
Leganes
30.5
Sabadell
29.0
Mirandes
28.9
Lugo
28.7
Mallorca
28.6
Sporting Gijon
28.5
Espanyol
28.3
Zaragoza
27.8
Castellón
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
31.8%
Under 9.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.5%
Under 3.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.0%
Under 21.5
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Las Palmas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.56
0.38
0.75
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (14)
0.43
0.50
0.71
0.00
0.14
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.33
0.50
0.29
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.22
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.11
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.29
1.50
0.00
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Las Palmas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
1.20
0.47
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
1.00
0.25
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.50
1.43
0.71
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.57
0.36
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.33
0.67
0.22
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (7)
0.14
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Las Palmas · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez33%
Manuel Fuster33%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enzo Loiodice33%
Kirian Rodríguez33%
Giovanni Bonfanti33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manuel Fuster33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Leganes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Atienza33%
Ismael Gharbi33%
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ignasi Miquel33%
Álex Millán33%
Marvel33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
SAB (28)
€8m
MIR (21)
€6m
Las Palmas and Leganes have a similar squad value (both €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAS (10)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
MIR (6)
€2m
Las Palmas and Leganes have a similar attack value (both €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
SAB (6)
€2m
MIR (4)
€1m
Las Palmas's midfield is €5m less valuable than Leganes's (€3m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (10)
€48m
RV (9)
€36m
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Las Palmas's defence is €4m more valuable than Leganes's (€13m vs €8m).
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Espanyol
Mallorca
Almeria
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Sporting Gijon
Ponferradina
Mirandes
Malaga
Tenerife
Oviedo
Alcorcon
FC Cartagena
Zaragoza
Lugo
Sabadell
Castellón
Albacete