This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.20
1.20
1.20
1.33
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
2.00
1.25
1.75
1.00
2.17
vs Similar (20)
1.35
0.80
1.18
1.00
1.56
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.7%
Under 1.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.3%
@ 2.21-10.7%
Under 2.5
68.7%
@ 1.60+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.6%
Under 3.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
15.4%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
Le Mans goals ↓
Red Star goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
11%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.2%
1.9%
0.4%
2
7.7%
7.1%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.7%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Le Mans goals (down), columns = Red Star goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Le Mans is 0.11 points better than Red Star in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Le Mans is 0.03 goals better than Red Star in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Le Mans is 0.26 goals better than Red Star in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Le Mans
For 5.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
For 3.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.9 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Le Mans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
8.8
9.0
8.6
4.0
3.5
4.7
29.1
29.4
28.9
vs Stronger (6)
9.2
11.5
7.7
2.8
1.3
4.3
29.4
31.0
28.3
vs Similar (33)
9.0
9.3
8.7
4.5
4.1
4.8
29.1
29.5
28.7
vs Weaker (7)
7.0
6.5
9.0
3.0
2.6
4.0
29.2
28.0
34.0
% over line
37%
43%
30%
63%
54%
73%
88%
95%
80%
% under line
63%
57%
70%
37%
46%
27%
12%
5%
20%
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
3.4
3.6
3.2
26.2
27.7
24.8
vs Stronger (17)
8.8
9.1
8.4
3.6
3.7
3.6
25.5
27.3
23.4
vs Similar (33)
9.5
9.4
9.7
3.2
3.5
3.0
26.5
27.9
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
54%
54%
42%
46%
38%
78%
79%
77%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
58%
54%
62%
22%
21%
23%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Grenoble
10.2
Rodez
10.1
Amiens
10.0
Montpellier
9.8
Nancy
9.8
PAU
9.8
Clermont Foot
9.6
Saint Etienne
9.5
Bastia
9.5
Reims
9.5
Red Star
9.3
RED Star FC 93
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Rouen
8.9
Annecy
8.8
Le Mans
8.8
Dunkerque
8.6
Estac Troyes
8.5
Boulogne
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.7
Montpellier
4.7
PAU
4.6
Le Mans
4.5
Annecy
4.3
Boulogne
4.3
Amiens
4.3
Dunkerque
4.2
Clermont Foot
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Reims
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Laval
3.8
Estac Troyes
3.8
Grenoble
3.6
RED Star FC 93
3.4
Rouen
3.4
Red Star
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
29.1
Boulogne
28.9
Nancy
28.7
Annecy
28.7
Bastia
27.8
Laval
27.7
Guingamp
27.6
Rouen
27.2
Montpellier
27.1
Amiens
26.9
Red Star
26.2
Dunkerque
26.0
Saint Etienne
25.8
Clermont Foot
25.6
Estac Troyes
25.4
RED Star FC 93
25.3
Grenoble
25.1
PAU
24.8
Rodez
24.1
Reims
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.6%
Under 3.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.7%
Under 21.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Le Mans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.27
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.36
0.25
0.08
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.35
0.55
0.45
0.78
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Le Mans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Le Mans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
0.00
1.00
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.45
0.64
0.55
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Le Mans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Le Mans
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dame Gueye25%
Antoine Rabillard21%
Erwan Colas20%
William Harhouz18%
Lucas Bretelle15%
Samuel Yohou12%
Jean Vercruysse11%
Lucas Buades10%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Milan Robin7%
Théo Eyoum7%
Lucas Calodat6%
Edwin Quarshie6%
Anthony Ribelin5%
Isaac Cossier4%
Harold Voyer4%
Martin Rossignol4%
Alexandre Lauray0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Brice Oggad0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Adil Bourabaa0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathis Hamdi50%
Malang Gomes50%
Alexandre Lauray40%
Samuel Yohou26%
Martin Rossignol22%
Izhak Hammoudi20%
Anthony Ribelin19%
Harold Voyer19%
Lucas Buades17%
Nicolas Kocik16%
Noa Boissé15%
Isaac Cossier15%
Leroy Abanda14%
Edwin Quarshie11%
Jean Vercruysse11%
Milan Robin10%
Théo Eyoum9%
Brice Oggad9%
William Harhouz9%
Lucas Calodat9%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Erwan Colas7%
Antoine Rabillard6%
Dame Gueye6%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brice Oggad18%
Leroy Abanda14%
Antoine Rabillard12%
Lucas Calodat12%
Dame Gueye11%
Lucas Buades10%
Erwan Colas10%
Milan Robin10%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Alexandre Lauray6%
William Harhouz5%
Martin Rossignol4%
Edwin Quarshie3%
Samuel Yohou0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Anthony Ribelin0%
Jean Vercruysse0%
Harold Voyer0%
Taylor Luvambo0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Isaac Cossier0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dame Gueye14%
Erwan Colas10%
Antoine Rabillard9%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Martin Rossignol4%
Milan Robin3%
Lucas Calodat3%
Alexandre Lauray0%
Samuel Yohou0%
Lucas Buades0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Edwin Quarshie0%
Anthony Ribelin0%
Jean Vercruysse0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Harold Voyer0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Brice Oggad0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
William Harhouz0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Isaac Cossier0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
Reims
Rodez
Annecy
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
PAU
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Laval
Nancy
Bastia
Amiens
Rouen