Legia Warszawa are the clear favourite, the model giving them a 68 % chance of victory. Their home form against weaker opposition is strong, averaging 1.91 goals scored and only 0.82 conceded, while Slask Wroclaw’s away record against stronger teams is weaker, with 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The prediction favours a 2-1 scoreline, the most likely outcome at 9.5 %. The expected total is 3.5 goals, with a 22 % chance of exactly three goals. The match is expected to finish with a home win, a draw probability of 19 % and an away win probability of 13 %. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8 %), Under 7.5 (97.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.5 % with a 5 % edge), Home +2 handicap (95.2 %), Away under 1.5 HT goals (94.2 % with a 3 % edge), and Under 6.5 (93.3 % with a 2 % edge). Legia’s recent unbeaten run (DWDWW) and a 1-1 draw against Piast Gliwice underscore their solidity at home, while Slask’s recent 3-3 draw against Widzew Łódź shows they can keep the score close.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Legia Warszawa, failed to deliver a win, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s 68% home-win prediction. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The game’s final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 2-1 outcome in the model’s list, but the draw slipped past the 3-point expectation. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.2%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.8%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.7%, Home +2 handicap hit at 95.2%, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.9%, and Under 6.5 hit at 93.3%. The home side’s unbeaten run of five games and the away side’s recent draw both underscored the tight contest.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Legia Warszawa win✗ Miss
68.2%
Avg Implied 63.4% · @ 1.47
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.51
SBO
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Dafabet
1.49
Draw✓ Hit
18.7%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.33
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.75
Dafabet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Slask Wroclaw win✗ Miss
13.2%
Avg Implied 15.1% · @ 6.16
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.60
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Dafabet
6.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Legia Warszawa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.10
1.80
0.87
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.36
1.18
1.60
0.60
1.17
1.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.61
1.06
2.11
1.00
1.11
1.11
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.40
1.71
1.21
2.12
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.96
1.54
1.67
1.44
2.13
1.60
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.33
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
@ 1.19+9.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
@ 4.25-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.56
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.4%
@ 1.65+11.6%
Under 2.5
31.6%
@ 2.17-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.70
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.21
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.9%
@ 2.59+11.1%
Under 3.5
53.1%
@ 1.45-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
@ 1.77+7.5%
No
40.0%
@ 1.96-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
No
Betfair
2.05
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%@ 7.45+3.5%
2-0
9.1%@ 7.15+2.9%
1-1 ✓
8.4%@ 7.78+2.6%
3-1
7.8%@ 10.73+3.7%
3-0
7.5%@ 10.23+3.2%
1-0
6.6%@ 7.14+0.3%
2-2
4.9%@ 14.86+1.9%
4-1
4.9%@ 19.21+2.6%
Legia Warszawa goals ↓
Slask Wroclaw goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
2.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
1
6.6%
8.4%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
2
9.1%
9.5%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
7.5%
7.8%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.7%
4.9%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Legia Warszawa goals (down), columns = Slask Wroclaw goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Legia Warszawa is 1.00 points better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Legia Warszawa is 0.67 goals better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Legia Warszawa is 0.83 goals better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Legia Warszawa is 4.8 percentage points better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of average possession (52% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Legia Warszawa
For 4.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slask Wroclaw
For 3.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Legia Warszawa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.7
8.3
4.1
4.3
3.9
26.0
26.0
26.0
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
13.0
6.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
19.5
22.0
17.0
vs Similar (25)
8.5
9.1
8.0
4.6
5.3
3.8
26.1
26.8
25.5
vs Weaker (23)
9.3
9.9
8.7
3.6
3.2
4.0
26.4
25.7
27.3
% over line
41%
52%
30%
54%
62%
46%
78%
78%
78%
% under line
59%
48%
70%
46%
38%
54%
22%
22%
22%
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.6
10.7
0.9
1.1
0.7
23.5
22.4
24.8
vs Stronger (4)
8.7
9.0
8.0
2.0
1.7
3.0
22.7
24.5
19.0
vs Similar (39)
10.5
9.8
11.2
0.9
1.2
0.7
23.8
21.6
26.0
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
71%
50%
8%
12%
4%
77%
71%
83%
% under line
38%
29%
50%
92%
88%
96%
23%
29%
17%
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
11.2
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.3
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.1
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Radomiak Radom
10.0
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.5
Legia Warszawa
9.2
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.9
Slask Wroclaw
4.7
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.5
Zaglebie Lubin
4.5
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Korona Kielce
4.0
Pogon Szczecin
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Jagiellonia
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Korona Kielce
25.6
Wisla Krakow
25.4
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.8
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Piast Gliwice
24.5
Lech Poznan
23.9
GKS Katowice
23.8
Pogon Szczecin
23.6
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.9%
@ 1.66-1.9%
Under 9.5
46.1%
@ 2.10+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.8%
@ 1.76+6.2%
Under 3.5
41.2%
@ 1.95-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Under
Superbet
1.95
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.9%
Under 21.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Legia Warszawa or Draw✓ Hit
86.8%
Avg Implied 84.3% · @ 1.11
Edge
+2.5%
68%
19%
13%
covers Legia Warszawa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Legia Warszawa or Slask Wroclaw✗ Miss
81.3%
Avg Implied 79.0% · @ 1.18
Edge
+2.3%
68%
19%
13%
covers Legia Warszawa + Slask Wroclaw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Draw or Slask Wroclaw✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.56
Edge
-4.8%
68%
19%
13%
covers Draw + Slask Wroclaw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Legia Warszawa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.7%
@ 1.09+6.6%
Under
8.3%
@ 6.22-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Under
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Legia Warszawa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
71.0%
@ 1.52+9.8%
Under
29.0%
@ 2.40-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.59
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
Legia Warszawa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 2.63+9.9%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.44-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Legia Warszawa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 5.52+7.0%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.12-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.7%
@ 1.58+5.8%
Under
35.3%
@ 2.25-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.34
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.9%
@ 3.83+3.6%
Under
72.1%
@ 1.23-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.12
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Under
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 10.08-0.6%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.04+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.25
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Slask Wroclaw over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 33.00-97.8%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
32.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Legia Warszawa, so a minus line means Legia Warszawa give that many goals of a start and Slask Wroclaw receive them. At -1, Legia Warszawa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Legia Warszawa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Legia Warszawa)Actual: Slask Wroclaw
Legia Warszawa -2
27.1%
@ 4.21+5.9%
Draw -2
19.9%
@ 4.30-0.9%
Slask Wroclaw +2
52.9%
@ 1.54-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Away
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Handicap -1 (Legia Warszawa)Actual: Slask Wroclaw
Legia Warszawa -1
47.1%
@ 2.27+7.8%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 3.51-4.3%
Slask Wroclaw +1
31.8%
@ 2.52-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.40
10Bet
2.35
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
2.61
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.60
Unibet
2.48
10Bet
2.45
Handicap +1 (Legia Warszawa)Actual: Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa +1
86.8%
@ 1.11+7.8%
Draw +1
8.4%
@ 6.47-5.2%
Slask Wroclaw -1
4.8%
@ 11.75-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
6.75
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Unibet
12.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Handicap +2 (Legia Warszawa)Actual: Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa +2
95.2%
@ 1.03+3.0%
Draw +2
3.5%
@ 19.00-1.5%
Slask Wroclaw -2
1.3%
@ 34.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Legia Warszawa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.64
0.40
0.20
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.89
0.44
1.00
0.44
0.78
0.44
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
0.57
0.64
1.19
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.79
0.56
0.89
1.13
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.0%
@ 1.29+0.1%
Under 0.5
28.0%
@ 3.31-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.41-2.8%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.51+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 5.47-3.7%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.11+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.40
Under
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Legia Warszawa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
57.6%
@ 1.54-2.9%
Under
42.4%
@ 2.35+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Unibet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.36
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.32
Legia Warszawa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 3.60-4.1%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.25+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Legia Warszawa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 9.10-5.9%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Superbet
9.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
32.9%
@ 2.78-0.5%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.40+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.77
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Under
1xBet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 10.12-3.1%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.02+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 45.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Legia Warszawa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
1.07
0.47
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.55
1.20
0.40
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
0.72
0.61
1.11
0.56
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.14
0.57
0.94
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.75
1.11
0.56
1.00
0.87
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.9%
@ 1.17+3.9%
Under 0.5
17.1%
@ 4.39-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Under
10Bet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.8%
@ 1.86+1.9%
Under 1.5
48.2%
@ 1.85-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.3%
@ 3.62-3.3%
Under 2.5
77.7%
@ 1.24+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Legia Warszawa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
69.8%
@ 1.37+2.0%
Under
30.2%
@ 2.88-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.90
Superbet
2.85
Legia Warszawa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.8%
@ 2.70-0.6%
Under
66.2%
@ 1.41+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.77
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Legia Warszawa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 6.37-7.1%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.09+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
6.60
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 2.28-3.9%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.56+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 7.62-2.4%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
7.70
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 20.75-2.8%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
91.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.4%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
86.8%
1.11
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.8%
1.11
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.15
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.3%
1.25
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
1.31
Superbet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.24
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
76.1%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
-7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
72.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.1%
1.16
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-8.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.29
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
71.0%
1.52
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
+9.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Legia Warszawa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafał Adamski60%
Łukasz Zjawiński50%
Michal Ševčík33%
Bartosz Kapustka17%
Rúben Vinagre17%
Rafał Augustyniak17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Paweł Wszołek0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Wojciech Urbański0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Robert Deziel Jr.0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rafał Adamski20%
Wojciech Urbański20%
Bartosz Kapustka17%
Paweł Wszołek17%
Robert Deziel Jr.17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Rúben Vinagre0%
Rafał Augustyniak0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Łukasz Zjawiński0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paweł Wszołek67%
Rúben Vinagre17%
Rafał Augustyniak17%
Kamil Piątkowski17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Bartosz Kapustka0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Rafał Adamski0%
Łukasz Zjawiński0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Wojciech Urbański0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Robert Deziel Jr.0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Łukasz Zjawiński33%
Rafał Adamski20%
Bartosz Kapustka17%
Mileta Rajović17%
Rafał Augustyniak17%
Kamil Piątkowski17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Rúben Vinagre0%
Paweł Wszołek0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Wojciech Urbański0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Robert Deziel Jr.0%
Slask Wroclaw
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Przemysław Banaszak40%
Eniss Shabani25%
Luka Marjanac20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eniss Shabani50%
Michał Rosiak40%
Lamine Ba25%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz20%
Jorge Yriarte20%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Piotr Samiec-Talar0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Michał Mokrzycki33%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piotr Samiec-Talar20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Legia Warszawa's squad is €13m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€20m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Legia Warszawa's attack is €8m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€10m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Legia Warszawa and Slask Wroclaw have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Legia Warszawa's defence is €4m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€6m vs €2m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa