This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stade Brestois 29
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.10
1.53
1.07
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.40
1.40
1.67
0.83
1.00
2.25
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
0.95
1.44
1.22
1.18
0.73
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
Lens goals ↓
Stade Brestois 29 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
5.2%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.2%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.5%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.1%
5.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.1%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lens goals (down), columns = Stade Brestois 29 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Strasbourg
1.76
Amiens
1.74
Estac Troyes
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Lens
1.71
Nimes
1.68
Reims
1.45
Le Havre
1.42
Ajaccio
1.30
Niort
1.29
Clermont Foot
1.21
Sochaux
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Bourg Peronnas
1.16
Auxerre
1.13
Tours
1.13
Orleans
1.11
Red Star
0.95
Laval
0.79
Lens and Stade Brestois 29 are level in average points per game (both 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Strasbourg
1.66
Lens
1.55
Estac Troyes
1.55
Nimes
1.53
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Amiens
1.47
Tours
1.45
Bourg Peronnas
1.29
Ajaccio
1.24
Clermont Foot
1.21
Niort
1.18
Valenciennes
1.16
Reims
1.11
Orleans
1.08
Le Havre
1.03
Sochaux
1.00
Red Star
0.95
Laval
0.87
Auxerre
0.74
Lens is 0.03 goals better than Stade Brestois 29 in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.82
Amiens
1.00
Reims
1.03
Auxerre
1.05
Nimes
1.05
Lens
1.05
Sochaux
1.13
Estac Troyes
1.13
Stade Brestois 29
1.16
Valenciennes
1.16
Strasbourg
1.24
Clermont Foot
1.26
Laval
1.37
Orleans
1.42
Ajaccio
1.43
Red Star
1.47
Niort
1.50
Bourg Peronnas
1.53
Tours
1.58
Lens is 0.11 goals better than Stade Brestois 29 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lens
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Stade Brestois 29
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Lens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (44)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stade Brestois 29
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (35)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estac Troyes
12.2
Reims
9.2
Ajaccio
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reims
4.5
Ajaccio
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
27.4
Ajaccio
26.1
Estac Troyes
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.29
0.50
0.56
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.46
0.38
0.31
0.54
0.62
0.23
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stade Brestois 29
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.55
0.67
0.89
0.45
0.27
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.29
0.50
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (26)
0.96
0.62
1.31
0.46
0.62
0.77
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stade Brestois 29
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.87
0.33
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.75
0.40
0.78
0.33
0.73
0.45
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lens · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Odsonne Édouard35%
Florian Thauvin35%
Allan Saint-Maximin31%
Wesley Saïd26%
Abdallah Sima22%
Rayan Fofana17%
Adrien Thomasson11%
Ismaelo Ganiou10%
Amadou Haidara10%
Saud Abdulhamid10%
Mamadou Sangare9%
Andrija Bulatovic9%
Samson Baidoo8%
Matthieu Udol8%
Ruben Aguilar7%
Florian Sotoca7%
Morgan Guilavogui6%
Deiver Machado0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Jonathan Gradit0%
Malang Sarr0%
Robin Risser0%
Nidal Čelik0%
Fode Sylla0%
Anthony Bermont0%
Kyllian Antonio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nidal Čelik33%
Adrien Thomasson31%
Deiver Machado20%
Jonathan Gradit20%
Ruben Aguilar17%
Arthur Masuaku17%
Morgan Guilavogui17%
Florian Thauvin16%
Saud Abdulhamid16%
Allan Saint-Maximin15%
Mamadou Sangare15%
Kyllian Antonio14%
Abdallah Sima11%
Ismaelo Ganiou10%
Malang Sarr10%
Matthieu Udol10%
Andrija Bulatovic9%
Anthony Bermont9%
Wesley Saïd9%
Robin Risser8%
Samson Baidoo8%
Florian Sotoca7%
Odsonne Édouard6%
Amadou Haidara0%
Fode Sylla0%
Rayan Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florian Thauvin22%
Matthieu Udol20%
Adrien Thomasson19%
Saud Abdulhamid19%
Andrija Bulatovic18%
Allan Saint-Maximin15%
Kyllian Antonio14%
Mamadou Sangare12%
Abdallah Sima11%
Amadou Haidara10%
Odsonne Édouard9%
Samson Baidoo8%
Ruben Aguilar7%
Wesley Saïd6%
Florian Sotoca3%
Robin Risser3%
Malang Sarr3%
Deiver Machado0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Jonathan Gradit0%
Morgan Guilavogui0%
Ismaelo Ganiou0%
Nidal Čelik0%
Fode Sylla0%
Anthony Bermont0%
Rayan Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wesley Saïd32%
Allan Saint-Maximin23%
Florian Thauvin22%
Deiver Machado20%
Odsonne Édouard18%
Matthieu Udol15%
Abdallah Sima11%
Rayan Fofana10%
Mamadou Sangare9%
Adrien Thomasson8%
Ismaelo Ganiou7%
Florian Sotoca7%
Morgan Guilavogui6%
Malang Sarr5%
Andrija Bulatovic5%
Samson Baidoo4%
Saud Abdulhamid3%
Amadou Haidara0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Ruben Aguilar0%
Jonathan Gradit0%
Robin Risser0%
Nidal Čelik0%
Fode Sylla0%
Anthony Bermont0%
Kyllian Antonio0%
Stade Brestois 29 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romain Del Castillo27%
Ludovic Ajorque22%
Remy Labeau Lascary21%
Julien Le Cardinal17%
Kamory Doumbia17%
Junior Dina Ebimbe15%
Mama Baldé11%
Joris Chotard6%
Lucas Tousart4%
Daouda Guindo4%
Pathé Mboup4%
Brendan Chardonnet3%
Hugo Magnetti3%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Kenny Lala0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Bradley Locko0%
Michel Diaz0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludovic Ajorque28%
Kamory Doumbia25%
Michel Diaz24%
Brendan Chardonnet23%
Pathé Mboup21%
Soumaila Coulibaly19%
Julien Le Cardinal17%
Daouda Guindo15%
Hugo Magnetti15%
Kenny Lala15%
Junior Dina Ebimbe11%
Grégoire Coudert8%
Remy Labeau Lascary7%
Romain Del Castillo6%
Joris Chotard6%
Lucas Tousart0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Mama Baldé0%
Bradley Locko0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ludovic Ajorque22%
Kamory Doumbia17%
Romain Del Castillo12%
Mama Baldé11%
Brendan Chardonnet10%
Kenny Lala9%
Bradley Locko9%
Daouda Guindo4%
Remy Labeau Lascary4%
Hugo Magnetti3%
Joris Chotard3%
Lucas Tousart0%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Junior Dina Ebimbe0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Michel Diaz0%
Pathé Mboup0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ludovic Ajorque19%
Julien Le Cardinal17%
Mama Baldé16%
Kamory Doumbia8%
Remy Labeau Lascary7%
Pathé Mboup7%
Romain Del Castillo6%
Joris Chotard6%
Junior Dina Ebimbe4%
Brendan Chardonnet3%
Lucas Tousart0%
Hugo Magnetti0%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Kenny Lala0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Bradley Locko0%
Daouda Guindo0%
Michel Diaz0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (32)
€304m
LEN (27)
€187m
AUX (29)
€84m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
CF (21)
€15m
LAV (24)
€9m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
BP (8)
€1m
Lens's squad is €124m more valuable than Stade Brestois 29's (€187m vs €64m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (13)
€112m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
BP (2)
€0m
Lens's attack is €27m more valuable than Stade Brestois 29's (€52m vs €25m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (6)
€56m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
REI (6)
€13m
ET (6)
€11m
LAV (7)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
BP (0)
€0m
Lens's midfield is €4m more valuable than Stade Brestois 29's (€24m vs €20m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
LAV (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
BP (6)
€0m
Lens's defence is €92m more valuable than Stade Brestois 29's (€112m vs €19m).
France: Ligue 2 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Ajaccio
Strasbourg
Amiens
Estac Troyes
Nimes
Reims
Le Havre
Niort
Clermont Foot
Sochaux
Valenciennes
Bourg Peronnas
Tours
Auxerre
Orleans
Laval