This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.00
1.93
0.86
1.38
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.63
0.95
1.90
0.50
1.33
1.44
vs Weaker (11)
1.64
1.09
2.00
1.75
1.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.09-5.8%
Under 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.71+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0 ✓
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
Leyton Orient goals ↓
Mansfield goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.8%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.3%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.7%
8.4%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leyton Orient goals (down), columns = Mansfield goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leyton Orient
1.98
Stevenage
1.85
Northampton
1.80
Stockport
1.72
Bradford
1.65
Carlisle
1.65
Mansfield
1.63
Salford
1.63
Barrow
1.35
Grimsby
1.33
Swindon
1.33
Sutton
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Tranmere
1.26
Newport County
1.24
Doncaster
1.20
Walsall
1.20
Gillingham
1.20
Harrogate
1.13
Colchester
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
1.04
Crawley Town
1.00
Hartlepool
0.93
Rochdale
0.83
Leyton Orient is 0.35 points better than Mansfield in terms of average points per game (1.98 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Mansfield
1.57
Salford
1.57
Carlisle
1.43
Stockport
1.41
Northampton
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.33
Swindon
1.33
Bradford
1.33
Stevenage
1.33
Harrogate
1.28
Newport County
1.15
Hartlepool
1.13
Grimsby
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
1.04
Crawley Town
1.04
Crewe
1.04
Barrow
1.02
Sutton
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Rochdale
1.00
Tranmere
0.98
Colchester
0.96
Gillingham
0.78
Leyton Orient is 0.24 goals worse than Mansfield in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leyton Orient
0.74
Stockport
0.80
Stevenage
0.85
Northampton
0.91
Bradford
0.93
Carlisle
0.93
Tranmere
1.04
Walsall
1.07
Gillingham
1.07
Colchester
1.11
Barrow
1.15
Salford
1.17
Swindon
1.20
Mansfield
1.20
Grimsby
1.22
Newport County
1.22
Sutton
1.26
AFC Wimbledon
1.30
Crewe
1.30
Doncaster
1.41
Harrogate
1.48
Rochdale
1.52
Crawley Town
1.54
Hartlepool
1.70
Leyton Orient is 0.46 goals better than Mansfield in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Swindon
58%
Leyton Orient
58%
Salford
57%
Bradford
54%
Stockport
54%
Mansfield
53%
Hartlepool
51%
Crawley Town
51%
Northampton
51%
Tranmere
51%
Grimsby
50%
Doncaster
50%
Rochdale
49%
Harrogate
48%
Crewe
48%
Stevenage
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Newport County
46%
Carlisle
46%
Sutton
46%
Walsall
46%
Barrow
46%
Colchester
46%
Gillingham
45%
Leyton Orient is 5.0 percentage points better than Mansfield in terms of average possession (58% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Leyton Orient
For 4.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mansfield
For 6.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leyton Orient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.5
9.2
4.1
4.3
3.8
23.0
24.5
21.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
8.5
7.2
9.7
4.1
4.5
3.8
22.8
25.0
20.8
vs Weaker (25)
9.2
9.7
8.8
4.0
4.2
3.8
23.2
24.1
22.2
% over line
42%
44%
40%
54%
60%
48%
70%
80%
60%
% under line
58%
56%
60%
46%
40%
52%
30%
20%
40%
This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.1
10.0
3.5
3.4
3.7
23.4
23.0
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.8
9.5
10.1
3.3
3.1
3.6
23.5
23.1
23.9
vs Weaker (16)
10.6
11.4
9.9
4.0
4.1
3.9
23.1
22.9
23.2
% over line
54%
52%
56%
46%
44%
48%
66%
64%
68%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
54%
56%
52%
34%
36%
32%
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tranmere
10.6
Barrow
10.5
Sutton
10.5
Rochdale
10.1
Mansfield
10.1
Doncaster
10.0
Crewe
10.0
Harrogate
10.0
Stevenage
9.9
Swindon
9.8
AFC Wimbledon
9.7
Bradford
9.7
Gillingham
9.6
Colchester
9.4
Crawley Town
9.4
Salford
9.3
Carlisle
9.3
Newport County
9.3
Walsall
9.1
Northampton
9.0
Leyton Orient
8.9
Grimsby
8.8
Hartlepool
8.8
Stockport
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Barrow
4.5
Leyton Orient
4.1
AFC Wimbledon
4.0
Swindon
3.9
Northampton
3.9
Stockport
3.7
Salford
3.6
Colchester
3.6
Mansfield
3.5
Carlisle
3.4
Tranmere
3.4
Sutton
3.4
Newport County
3.4
Gillingham
3.4
Bradford
3.3
Crewe
3.3
Walsall
3.2
Crawley Town
3.1
Doncaster
3.1
Harrogate
3.0
Grimsby
3.0
Stevenage
2.9
Hartlepool
2.8
Rochdale
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stockport
28.0
Grimsby
26.7
Walsall
23.9
Tranmere
23.9
Northampton
23.8
Barrow
23.7
Crawley Town
23.5
Mansfield
23.4
Bradford
23.2
Swindon
23.0
Leyton Orient
23.0
Salford
22.8
Sutton
22.7
Colchester
22.7
AFC Wimbledon
22.6
Crewe
22.4
Hartlepool
22.0
Carlisle
21.8
Stevenage
21.7
Gillingham
21.5
Harrogate
21.5
Newport County
21.1
Doncaster
20.9
Rochdale
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.1%
Under 3.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.3%
Under 21.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Leyton Orient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.47
0.93
0.27
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.75
0.38
1.25
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (14)
0.29
0.50
0.57
0.57
0.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.86
0.29
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.42
1.00
0.20
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.55
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mansfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mansfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mansfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Leyton Orient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.80
0.27
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.44
1.00
0.38
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.36
0.57
0.14
0.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.07
0.57
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.53
0.90
0.30
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.55
1.50
1.25
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mansfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mansfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mansfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Leyton Orient · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusuf Akhamrich50%
Armando Dobra33%
T. Springett25%
N. Oyekunle25%
I. El Mizouni20%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Hayden60%
F. Stevens60%
T. Springett25%
Theo Archibald20%
I. El Mizouni20%
J. Kabia20%
Phillip Chinedu20%
D. Mitchell0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Yusuf Akhamrich0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Springett50%
Charlie Wellens25%
Yusuf Akhamrich25%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
I. El Mizouni0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Wellens25%
Yusuf Akhamrich25%
Isaac Hayden20%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Theo Archibald0%
I. El Mizouni0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
T. Springett0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Mansfield · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Smith33%
Jon Russell33%
L. Reed25%
N. Moriah-Welsh25%
Ryan Sweeney0%
R. Oates0%
Elliott Hewitt0%
D. McGoldrick0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
R. Hendry0%
L. Thompson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Sweeney50%
L. Reed50%
R. Oates25%
R. Hendry25%
L. Thompson25%
Elliott Hewitt0%
D. McGoldrick0%
M. Smith0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
Jon Russell0%
N. Moriah-Welsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jon Russell33%
R. Oates25%
R. Hendry25%
N. Moriah-Welsh25%
Ryan Sweeney0%
Elliott Hewitt0%
D. McGoldrick0%
M. Smith0%
L. Reed0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
L. Thompson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. McGoldrick33%
Jon Russell33%
N. Moriah-Welsh25%
Ryan Sweeney0%
R. Oates0%
Elliott Hewitt0%
M. Smith0%
L. Reed0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
R. Hendry0%
L. Thompson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Leyton Orient's squad is €4m more valuable than Mansfield's (€10m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LO (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Leyton Orient's attack is €3m more valuable than Mansfield's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Leyton Orient and Mansfield have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STO (11)
€4m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Leyton Orient's defence is €1m more valuable than Mansfield's (€3m vs €2m).
England: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
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Stevenage
Northampton
Stockport
Carlisle
Bradford
Salford
Barrow
Swindon
Grimsby
Tranmere
Crewe
Sutton
Newport County
Walsall
Gillingham
Doncaster
Harrogate
Colchester
AFC Wimbledon
Crawley Town
Hartlepool
Rochdale