This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.20
2.18
1.47
1.62
0.85
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.92
1.12
2.14
1.29
1.64
0.91
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.25
3.00
2.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.6%
Under 1.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.5%
Under 2.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
Liège goals ↓
Patro Eisden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
12%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
1
10%
15%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.0%
6.9%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.1%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = Patro Eisden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RAAL La Louvière
2.14
Zulte Waregem
2.07
RWDM
2.03
Patro Eisden
1.88
SK Beveren
1.65
Club Brugge II
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.39
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
Deinze
1.29
Liège
1.28
AS Eupen
1.07
Francs Borains
1.07
Lommel United
1.03
RSC Anderlecht II
0.79
Seraing United
0.76
KRC Genk II
0.48
Liège is 0.60 points worse than Patro Eisden in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zulte Waregem
1.97
Patro Eisden
1.88
RAAL La Louvière
1.79
Club Brugge II
1.59
RWDM
1.55
SK Beveren
1.45
RSC Anderlecht II
1.45
Liège
1.41
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
AS Eupen
1.36
Deinze
1.29
Lokeren-Temse
1.15
Lommel United
1.14
Francs Borains
1.10
KRC Genk II
1.03
Seraing United
1.00
Liège is 0.46 goals worse than Patro Eisden in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RAAL La Louvière
0.86
RWDM
0.87
Patro Eisden
1.03
Zulte Waregem
1.10
SK Beveren
1.13
K. Lierse S.K.
1.24
Lokeren-Temse
1.24
Club Brugge II
1.28
Deinze
1.43
Liège
1.52
Lommel United
1.62
AS Eupen
1.68
Francs Borains
1.72
Seraing United
1.90
RSC Anderlecht II
2.00
KRC Genk II
2.17
Liège is 0.49 goals worse than Patro Eisden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge II
57%
Lommel United
57%
Zulte Waregem
56%
RWDM
56%
Deinze
54%
SK Beveren
54%
KRC Genk II
52%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
50%
Lokeren-Temse
49%
Francs Borains
48%
Seraing United
44%
Liège
43%
RAAL La Louvière
42%
Patro Eisden
38%
Liège is 5.2 percentage points better than Patro Eisden in terms of average possession (43% vs 38%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 7.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
For 5.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 12.3 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.6
11.0
5.4
5.5
5.3
25.4
26.2
24.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
11.1
10.9
11.2
5.5
5.7
5.3
25.7
26.8
24.5
vs Weaker (5)
13.2
16.3
8.5
4.4
4.0
5.0
23.6
22.3
25.5
% over line
62%
58%
67%
76%
80%
72%
81%
88%
75%
% under line
38%
42%
33%
24%
20%
28%
19%
12%
25%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.4
4.9
4.8
5.1
26.7
26.7
26.7
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
9.7
9.9
9.4
4.8
4.7
4.9
26.5
26.5
26.6
vs Weaker (7)
9.3
9.2
9.3
6.4
6.5
6.3
27.9
28.0
27.7
% over line
48%
48%
48%
72%
70%
74%
75%
74%
76%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
28%
30%
26%
25%
26%
24%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
11.4
Seraing United
10.6
KRC Genk II
10.5
Lokeren-Temse
10.5
Deinze
10.5
Zulte Waregem
10.2
RWDM
10.1
SK Beveren
10.1
Francs Borains
9.9
K. Lierse S.K.
9.8
Club Brugge II
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
Patro Eisden
9.5
RSC Anderlecht II
9.5
Lommel United
9.1
RAAL La Louvière
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.5
Francs Borains
5.8
Liège
5.6
Patro Eisden
5.6
K. Lierse S.K.
5.6
RAAL La Louvière
5.5
Seraing United
5.3
KRC Genk II
5.2
RSC Anderlecht II
5.0
SK Beveren
5.0
Deinze
4.8
AS Eupen
4.8
Lommel United
4.7
Zulte Waregem
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
RWDM
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
RAAL La Louvière
29.9
Lokeren-Temse
28.1
Francs Borains
27.8
Patro Eisden
27.3
KRC Genk II
26.7
Seraing United
26.3
K. Lierse S.K.
26.3
RSC Anderlecht II
25.9
Deinze
25.6
AS Eupen
25.6
Liège
25.5
SK Beveren
25.3
Club Brugge II
25.1
Lommel United
24.3
RWDM
23.3
Zulte Waregem
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.87
0.60
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.68
0.86
0.64
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
1.06
0.41
0.77
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.32
1.00
0.36
0.73
0.27
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
0.73
0.47
0.93
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.86
0.71
0.43
0.86
1.29
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.83
1.12
1.06
0.85
0.54
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.80
1.14
0.93
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.50
1.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ryan Merlen27%
Mohamed Mouhli25%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Flavio Da Silva17%
Jordan Bustin15%
Alessandro Albanese14%
Alexis Lefebvre9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio5%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Theo Pierrot5%
Benoit Bruggeman4%
Lucca Lucker4%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Antoine Lejoly0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin38%
Jonathan D'Ostilio29%
Ryan Merlen27%
Alessio Cascio25%
Flavio Da Silva22%
Stefano Marzo21%
Zakaria Atteri21%
Abian Arslan19%
Jérémie Lioka19%
Mohamed Mouhli19%
Benoit Bruggeman17%
Benjamin Lambot15%
Lucca Lucker15%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa14%
Theo Pierrot14%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Antoine Lejoly5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Alessandro Albanese0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alessio Cascio15%
Zakaria Atteri12%
Benjamin Lambot12%
Abian Arslan12%
Ryan Merlen8%
Stefano Marzo7%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Alexis Lefebvre5%
Benoit Bruggeman4%
Flavio Da Silva4%
Lucca Lucker4%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Antoine Lejoly0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Mohamed Mouhli0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Alessandro Albanese0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Mouhli38%
Benoit Bruggeman26%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Ryan Merlen23%
Flavio Da Silva13%
Benjamin Lambot8%
Abian Arslan4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Antoine Lejoly0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Alessio Cascio0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Alessandro Albanese0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Patro Eisden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Keano Vanrafelghem33%
Vancy Mabanza30%
Stef Peeters29%
Simon Bammens27%
Tarek Loutfi25%
Bafode Dansoko17%
Adnane Abid17%
Jellert Van Landschoot17%
Kevin Kis15%
Lukas Van Eenoo13%
Kjetil Borry12%
Raphaël Sarfo10%
Jordan Renson10%
Vicky Kiankaulua8%
Papa Demba Ndior6%
William Simba5%
Reno Wilmots4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Jordi Belin0%
Justin Che0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keano Vanrafelghem53%
Stef Peeters43%
Henk Dijkhuizen40%
Kevin Kis35%
Reno Wilmots30%
Simon Bammens27%
Kjetil Borry24%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Tom Pietermaat23%
Raphaël Sarfo20%
Adnane Abid17%
Jellert Van Landschoot17%
Papa Demba Ndior17%
Vicky Kiankaulua15%
Jordan Renson13%
Vancy Mabanza10%
Justin Che9%
Jordi Belin6%
William Simba5%
Bafode Dansoko0%
Tarek Loutfi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Keano Vanrafelghem33%
Lukas Van Eenoo27%
Adnane Abid24%
Jellert Van Landschoot17%
Kevin Kis15%
Bafode Dansoko13%
Reno Wilmots11%
Raphaël Sarfo10%
Kjetil Borry8%
Tom Pietermaat8%
Papa Demba Ndior6%
Simon Bammens3%
Stef Peeters0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Jordan Renson0%
Jordi Belin0%
Vicky Kiankaulua0%
Justin Che0%
William Simba0%
Vancy Mabanza0%
Tarek Loutfi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Keano Vanrafelghem53%
Vancy Mabanza30%
Bafode Dansoko17%
Lukas Van Eenoo13%
Simon Bammens13%
Vicky Kiankaulua8%
Adnane Abid7%
Jordan Renson6%
Papa Demba Ndior6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Stef Peeters0%
Jellert Van Landschoot0%
Kjetil Borry0%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Kevin Kis0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Jordi Belin0%
Justin Che0%
William Simba0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Tarek Loutfi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
RWDM
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
SK Beveren
Club Brugge II
Lokeren-Temse
K. Lierse S.K.
Francs Borains
AS Eupen
Lommel United
RSC Anderlecht II
Seraing United
Deinze
KRC Genk II