This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.33
1.88
1.50
1.57
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.77
1.19
1.93
1.29
1.58
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
2.00
2.00
3.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2 ✓
5.2%
Liège goals ↓
Patro Eisden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.4%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.0%
8.6%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.5%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = Patro Eisden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
Liège is 0.06 points better than Patro Eisden in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
Liège and Patro Eisden are level in goals scored per game (both 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
Liège is 0.03 goals better than Patro Eisden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Liège is 6.2 percentage points better than Patro Eisden in terms of average possession (44% vs 38%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 6.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 12.9 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.2
11.1
4.9
5.0
4.8
25.0
26.5
23.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
11.1
10.8
11.4
5.0
5.1
4.8
24.9
26.4
23.4
vs Weaker (5)
12.0
15.5
8.5
4.2
3.7
5.0
26.5
27.5
25.5
% over line
58%
50%
65%
70%
75%
65%
78%
86%
70%
% under line
42%
50%
35%
30%
25%
35%
22%
14%
30%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.6
9.2
4.7
4.7
4.7
27.9
27.8
28.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.1
10.6
9.4
4.5
4.6
4.3
27.5
27.5
27.5
vs Weaker (5)
8.8
10.0
8.0
7.2
8.0
6.7
30.6
30.5
30.7
% over line
48%
52%
42%
68%
67%
70%
82%
76%
89%
% under line
52%
48%
58%
32%
33%
30%
18%
24%
11%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
11.3
Lokeren-Temse
10.8
Beerschot VA
10.7
Seraing United
10.7
RWDM
10.5
KRC Genk II
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Francs Borains
9.8
Patro Eisden
9.7
SK Beveren
9.6
AS Eupen
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.5
RSC Anderlecht II
9.4
Lommel United
8.9
KAA Gent II
6.5
Olympic Charleroi
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.4
Francs Borains
5.9
Patro Eisden
5.6
K. Lierse S.K.
5.5
Liège
5.4
Seraing United
5.2
SK Beveren
4.9
KRC Genk II
4.9
RSC Anderlecht II
4.9
Lommel United
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
AS Eupen
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.5
Beerschot VA
4.5
RWDM
4.2
KAA Gent II
3.0
Olympic Charleroi
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Olympic Charleroi
34.0
KAA Gent II
31.5
Lokeren-Temse
28.0
Francs Borains
27.8
Patro Eisden
26.9
KRC Genk II
26.1
Seraing United
26.0
K. Lierse S.K.
25.9
RSC Anderlecht II
25.7
SK Beveren
25.0
AS Eupen
24.9
Liège
24.9
Club Brugge II
24.8
Lommel United
24.0
RWDM
23.5
Beerschot VA
22.6
Kortrijk
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.6%
Under 3.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
1.14
0.50
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.63
1.08
0.58
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.88
0.50
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.42
0.86
0.43
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.57
0.81
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.89
0.50
0.58
0.73
1.13
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.77
1.07
0.86
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Patro Eisden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Léandro Rousseau41%
Radja Nainggolan21%
Raymond Asante20%
Japhet Muanza15%
Nicolas Orye14%
Kéres Masangu9%
Vancy Mabanza8%
Jordan Renson7%
Amir Rais6%
Denis Prychynenko5%
Kjetil Borry4%
Stef Peeters4%
Milan Robberechts4%
Ridwane M'Barki0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Ilyas Lefrancq0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Prychynenko42%
Vancy Mabanza42%
Muhammad Carrim33%
Milan Robberechts33%
Kéres Masangu32%
Japhet Muanza30%
Stef Peeters30%
Kjetil Borry29%
Justin Munezero25%
Radja Nainggolan21%
Aloïs Penin20%
Raymond Asante20%
Arnaud Dony16%
Léandro Rousseau15%
Jordan Renson14%
Ilyas Lefrancq11%
Amir Rais11%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Nicolas Orye9%
Julien Devriendt8%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Radja Nainggolan36%
Stef Peeters26%
Milan Robberechts11%
Ilyas Lefrancq11%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Japhet Muanza5%
Nicolas Orye5%
Kjetil Borry4%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Jordan Renson0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Raymond Asante0%
Amir Rais0%
Vancy Mabanza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Léandro Rousseau37%
Jimmy Kaparos33%
Raymond Asante30%
Radja Nainggolan29%
Kéres Masangu18%
Vancy Mabanza17%
Nicolas Orye9%
Stef Peeters7%
Milan Robberechts7%
Amir Rais6%
Japhet Muanza5%
Jordan Renson4%
Kjetil Borry0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Ridwane M'Barki0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Ilyas Lefrancq0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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SK Beveren
Kortrijk
Beerschot VA
Lommel United
AS Eupen
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
RWDM
Seraing United
Francs Borains
RSC Anderlecht II
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
Olympic Charleroi