This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.80
0.87
1.80
0.87
1.80
vs Stronger (24)
0.67
2.08
0.67
2.08
0.67
2.08
vs Similar (6)
1.67
0.67
1.67
0.67
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.4%
Under 2.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
2-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
Liège goals ↓
Seraing United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
8.8%
6.2%
2.5%
0.8%
1
9.2%
14%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.2%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.8%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = Seraing United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Liège is 0.70 points better than Seraing United in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 0.93).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Liège is 0.53 goals better than Seraing United in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Liège is 0.33 goals better than Seraing United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Liège is 1.9 percentage points worse than Seraing United in terms of average possession (45% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 5.2 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Seraing United
For 4.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
12.2
13.0
11.8
3.7
3.8
3.6
25.9
26.7
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
12.2
13.0
11.8
4.0
3.8
4.2
25.9
26.7
25.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
88%
100%
80%
54%
50%
57%
62%
67%
60%
% under line
12%
0%
20%
46%
50%
43%
38%
33%
40%
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
10.1
9.5
10.8
1.1
1.0
1.2
29.0
29.0
29.0
vs Stronger (39)
10.2
9.7
10.7
1.0
1.1
0.9
28.7
30.7
26.7
vs Similar (8)
10.0
9.0
11.0
1.5
0.8
2.2
30.0
24.0
36.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
50%
75%
15%
13%
17%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
38%
50%
25%
85%
87%
83%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
K. Lierse S.K.
12.9
Liège
12.2
KRC Genk II
11.8
Deinze
11.3
Club Brugge II
11.1
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
10.8
Lommel United
10.4
Zulte Waregem
10.3
Oostende
10.1
Seraing United
10.1
Francs Borains
10.0
RSC Anderlecht II
10.0
Standard Liège II
9.9
Dender
9.2
Patro Eisden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
K. Lierse S.K.
7.4
KRC Genk II
6.4
RSC Anderlecht II
6.4
Seraing United
6.4
Dender
6.1
Standard Liège II
6.0
Liège
6.0
Patro Eisden
5.7
Francs Borains
5.4
Beerschot VA
4.9
Oostende
4.8
Lommel United
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.6
Zulte Waregem
4.3
Deinze
4.3
SK Beveren
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
30.6
Patro Eisden
30.4
Seraing United
29.0
Deinze
27.8
RSC Anderlecht II
27.8
KRC Genk II
27.6
Standard Liège II
27.6
K. Lierse S.K.
27.1
Francs Borains
27.0
Liège
25.9
Beerschot VA
25.6
Club Brugge II
25.1
SK Beveren
25.0
Oostende
24.2
Lommel United
23.0
Zulte Waregem
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
68.2%
Under 9.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
88.7%
Under 3.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
88.9%
Under 21.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
0.54
0.83
0.50
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.58
0.83
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
54% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.90
0.27
0.80
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.25
1.04
0.25
1.00
0.25
1.08
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
1.08
0.67
1.00
0.71
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
38% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.60
1.00
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (24)
0.42
1.04
0.42
1.08
0.42
1.00
vs Similar (6)
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Seraing United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pape Fall32%
Sambou Sissoko20%
Désiré Ségbé Azankpo18%
Noah Solheid15%
Christophe Lepoint14%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad12%
Gerald Kilota10%
Marvin Tshibuabua10%
Valentin Guillaume8%
Maidine Douane7%
Nelson Balongo0%
Mahamadou Dembélé0%
Romain Metanire0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Ruben Droehnle0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Mathieu Cachbach0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Sandro Trémoulet0%
Sonny Perrey0%
Lilian Raillot0%
Oussmane Kébé0%
Pape Sy0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Alama Bayo0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Mohamed Camara0%
Sacha Marloye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ruben Droehnle44%
Sambou Sissoko40%
Djibril Diarra36%
Marvin Tshibuabua35%
Mahamadou Dembélé33%
Mathieu Cachbach33%
Christophe Lepoint32%
Lilian Raillot27%
Gerald Kilota25%
Mohamed Camara25%
Romain Metanire22%
Bassim Boukteb20%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi17%
Oussmane Kébé15%
Cheikhou Ndiaye14%
Pape Fall14%
Nelson Balongo12%
Sonny Perrey10%
Désiré Ségbé Azankpo9%
Valentin Guillaume8%
Lucas Margueron8%
Alama Bayo5%
Steve Mvoué0%
Sandro Trémoulet0%
Maidine Douane0%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad0%
Noah Solheid0%
Pape Sy0%
Sacha Marloye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alama Bayo16%
Pape Fall14%
Ruben Droehnle11%
Gerald Kilota10%
Sonny Perrey10%
Oussmane Kébé10%
Mathieu Cachbach8%
Maidine Douane7%
Lilian Raillot7%
Christophe Lepoint5%
Nelson Balongo0%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Mahamadou Dembélé0%
Romain Metanire0%
Désiré Ségbé Azankpo0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Valentin Guillaume0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Marvin Tshibuabua0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Sandro Trémoulet0%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad0%
Noah Solheid0%
Pape Sy0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Mohamed Camara0%
Sacha Marloye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Fall36%
Maidine Douane14%
Christophe Lepoint14%
Nelson Balongo12%
Sandro Trémoulet12%
Désiré Ségbé Azankpo9%
Alama Bayo5%
Gerald Kilota5%
Marvin Tshibuabua5%
Sambou Sissoko0%
Mahamadou Dembélé0%
Romain Metanire0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Ruben Droehnle0%
Valentin Guillaume0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Mathieu Cachbach0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Sonny Perrey0%
Lilian Raillot0%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad0%
Oussmane Kébé0%
Noah Solheid0%
Pape Sy0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Mohamed Camara0%
Sacha Marloye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Standard Liège II