This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.87
0.86
2.00
1.12
1.75
vs Stronger (24)
0.96
1.96
0.73
2.00
1.15
1.92
vs Similar (6)
1.17
1.50
1.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-0 ✓
8.5%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
Liège goals ↓
Seraing United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.5%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
1
8.8%
12%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.7%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
4.9%
5.5%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.1%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = Seraing United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
Liège is 0.53 points better than Seraing United in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
Liège is 0.18 goals better than Seraing United in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
Liège is 0.10 goals better than Seraing United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Liège is 3.1 percentage points better than Seraing United in terms of average possession (44% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 6.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Seraing United
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.5
11.1
5.0
5.0
5.0
24.7
25.8
23.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
11.1
10.8
11.4
5.1
5.1
5.0
24.9
26.3
23.4
vs Weaker (5)
13.2
16.3
8.5
4.4
4.0
5.0
23.6
22.3
25.5
% over line
60%
54%
65%
72%
76%
68%
77%
83%
70%
% under line
40%
46%
35%
28%
24%
32%
23%
17%
30%
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.0
11.3
4.8
5.5
4.1
25.7
26.7
24.7
vs Stronger (40)
10.4
9.6
11.2
4.8
5.5
4.1
25.2
26.6
23.7
vs Similar (10)
11.7
11.6
11.8
5.0
5.8
4.2
27.8
27.2
28.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
58%
52%
72%
84%
60%
70%
75%
65%
% under line
45%
42%
48%
28%
16%
40%
30%
25%
35%
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
11.3
Beerschot VA
11.0
Lokeren-Temse
10.8
Seraing United
10.7
RWDM
10.5
KRC Genk II
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Patro Eisden
9.9
Francs Borains
9.8
Club Brugge II
9.7
SK Beveren
9.6
AS Eupen
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.5
RSC Anderlecht II
9.4
Lommel United
8.9
KAA Gent II
6.0
Olympic Charleroi
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.4
Francs Borains
5.9
Patro Eisden
5.6
K. Lierse S.K.
5.5
Liège
5.4
Seraing United
5.2
SK Beveren
4.9
KRC Genk II
4.9
RSC Anderlecht II
4.9
Lommel United
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
AS Eupen
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.5
Beerschot VA
4.4
RWDM
4.2
KAA Gent II
2.0
Olympic Charleroi
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
KAA Gent II
34.0
Olympic Charleroi
34.0
Lokeren-Temse
28.0
Francs Borains
27.8
Patro Eisden
27.0
KRC Genk II
26.1
Seraing United
26.0
K. Lierse S.K.
25.9
RSC Anderlecht II
25.7
SK Beveren
25.0
AS Eupen
24.9
Club Brugge II
24.9
Liège
24.9
Lommel United
24.0
RWDM
23.5
Beerschot VA
22.5
Kortrijk
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.4%
Under 9.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.6%
Under 3.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.0%
Under 21.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.93
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.64
0.93
0.57
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.29
0.79
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (24)
0.38
0.92
0.27
0.91
0.46
0.92
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.67
0.53
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.86
0.64
0.50
0.79
1.21
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.03
0.57
1.21
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (24)
0.58
1.04
0.45
1.09
0.69
1.00
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Seraing United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley38%
Valerio Di Crescenzo33%
Abdoulaye Ba24%
Fostave Mabani20%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad19%
Matthieu Muland11%
Nabil Bouchentouf10%
Noah Solheid5%
Nick Gillekens0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Thierno Gaye0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga0%
Tom Lockman0%
Diego Duarte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Scarpinati48%
Bassim Boukteb45%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad33%
Thiago Paulo da Silva31%
Fostave Mabani30%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga26%
Djibril Diarra23%
Oussmane Kebe22%
Matthieu Muland21%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi20%
Tom Lockman18%
Noah Solheid14%
Hady Camara12%
Cheikhou Ndiaye11%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley10%
Serigne Faye9%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens5%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Abdoulaye Ba0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matthieu Muland21%
Fostave Mabani20%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga16%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad10%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley10%
Abdoulaye Ba10%
Bassim Boukteb9%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Noah Solheid0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Tom Lockman0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edouard Soumah-Abbad24%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley24%
Matthieu Muland21%
Abdoulaye Ba10%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Noah Solheid0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga0%
Tom Lockman0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SK Beveren
Kortrijk
Beerschot VA
Lommel United
Patro Eisden
AS Eupen
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
RWDM
Francs Borains
RSC Anderlecht II
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
Olympic Charleroi