This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liège II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
2.07
0.88
1.69
0.64
2.50
vs Stronger (24)
0.83
2.17
0.92
1.77
0.73
2.64
vs Similar (6)
0.50
1.67
0.67
1.33
0.33
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
Liège goals ↓
Standard Liège II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
5.2%
3.5%
1.3%
0.3%
1
9.0%
12%
6.1%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.8%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
5.2%
5.7%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.3%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = Standard Liège II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Liège is 1.07 points better than Standard Liège II in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 0.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Liège is 0.80 goals better than Standard Liège II in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Liège is 0.63 goals better than Standard Liège II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Liège is 0.8 percentage points worse than Standard Liège II in terms of average possession (45% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 6.5 · Against 5.9 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Standard Liège II
For 5.4 · Against 8.2 · Total 13.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
12.5
12.2
12.7
4.3
4.5
4.1
24.3
23.2
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
12.3
11.4
13.1
4.7
4.9
4.6
25.2
24.9
25.5
vs Weaker (3)
13.5
18.0
9.0
1.7
1.0
2.0
17.5
12.0
23.0
% over line
76%
75%
78%
64%
64%
64%
71%
75%
67%
% under line
24%
25%
22%
36%
36%
36%
29%
25%
33%
This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liège II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.8
11.7
12.0
2.0
2.2
1.8
26.7
27.5
25.6
vs Stronger (42)
11.7
11.0
12.6
2.0
2.2
1.8
26.4
27.6
24.9
vs Similar (8)
13.0
18.0
8.0
1.9
2.0
1.8
29.0
27.0
31.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
72%
80%
62%
24%
27%
21%
83%
90%
75%
% under line
28%
20%
38%
76%
73%
79%
17%
10%
25%
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
12.5
Standard Liège II
11.8
Deinze
11.5
Beerschot VA
11.4
K. Lierse S.K.
11.4
Francs Borains
11.1
Seraing United
11.0
KRC Genk II
10.8
SK Beveren
10.7
Club Brugge II
10.6
RSC Anderlecht II
10.6
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Lommel United
9.9
Oostende
9.7
Dender
9.3
Patro Eisden
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.1
RSC Anderlecht II
5.6
Liège
5.6
Standard Liège II
5.5
Francs Borains
5.5
K. Lierse S.K.
5.4
Beerschot VA
5.4
Dender
5.2
Seraing United
5.1
Deinze
5.1
Patro Eisden
5.1
Lommel United
4.9
Oostende
4.8
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.2
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
28.8
Francs Borains
27.1
Seraing United
27.0
Deinze
27.0
Patro Eisden
26.9
KRC Genk II
26.7
Standard Liège II
26.7
K. Lierse S.K.
26.1
RSC Anderlecht II
25.9
Beerschot VA
25.7
Oostende
25.1
SK Beveren
24.4
Liège
24.3
Club Brugge II
23.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Lommel United
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
73.1%
Under 9.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.4%
Under 3.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.7%
Under 21.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.45
0.64
0.45
0.64
0.45
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.50
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
59% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liège II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.31
0.62
0.36
1.07
vs Stronger (24)
0.38
0.83
0.31
0.62
0.45
1.09
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.86
0.64
1.00
0.82
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.84
0.60
1.00
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liège II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.23
0.56
1.06
0.29
1.43
vs Stronger (24)
0.46
1.33
0.62
1.15
0.27
1.55
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Standard Liège II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romaine Mundle25%
Soufiane Benjdida23%
Oscar Olivier20%
Brahim Ghalidi17%
Daan Dierckx14%
Anisse Brrou10%
Jorge Ruvalcaba9%
Samy Tory8%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo5%
Ilyes Ziani4%
William Bianda0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Birame Diaw0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Adrien Giunta0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Rayan Berberi0%
Hakim Sahabo0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Léandre Kuavita0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Rabby Mateta Pepa0%
Amine Benfriha0%
Steeven Assengue0%
Adriano Mansala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oscar Olivier60%
Anisse Brrou50%
Adriano Mansala50%
Léandre Kuavita40%
Lucas Noubi33%
Daan Dierckx32%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona30%
Soufiane Benjdida27%
Jorge Ruvalcaba27%
Birame Diaw26%
Romaine Mundle25%
Henry Lawrence24%
Samy Tory23%
Hakim Sahabo18%
Steeven Assengue17%
Noah Dodeigne16%
Thiago Paulo da Silva14%
Rabby Mateta Pepa14%
Brahim Ghalidi13%
Ilyes Ziani12%
William Bianda11%
Rayan Berberi11%
Mouad El Fanis10%
Amine Benfriha10%
Matthieu Epolo9%
Adrien Giunta8%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brahim Ghalidi17%
Ibe Hautekiet17%
Ilyes Ziani12%
Anisse Brrou10%
Oscar Olivier10%
Hakim Sahabo9%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona9%
Samy Tory8%
Rabby Mateta Pepa7%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo5%
William Bianda0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Daan Dierckx0%
Birame Diaw0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Soufiane Benjdida0%
Adrien Giunta0%
Jorge Ruvalcaba0%
Rayan Berberi0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Léandre Kuavita0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Amine Benfriha0%
Steeven Assengue0%
Adriano Mansala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romaine Mundle50%
Soufiane Benjdida32%
Léandre Kuavita10%
Brahim Ghalidi9%
Ilyes Ziani8%
Thiago Paulo da Silva7%
Daan Dierckx5%
William Bianda0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Birame Diaw0%
Anisse Brrou0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Adrien Giunta0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Jorge Ruvalcaba0%
Rayan Berberi0%
Hakim Sahabo0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Samy Tory0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Rabby Mateta Pepa0%
Amine Benfriha0%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo0%
Steeven Assengue0%
Oscar Olivier0%
Adriano Mansala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United