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Lille vs Marseille Result & Analysis

Date: 05/12/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 1-0
Lille
Lille
Vs
41%
27%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Marseille
Marseille
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.35
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.49
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marseille win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.86
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LilleLille

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W34L61W02L10W01L02L42W40W10WA·NAN19/10H·PAO23/10H·MET26/10A·NIC29/10H·ANG02/11A·FK 06/11A·STR09/11H·PAR23/11H·DIN27/11A·LE 30/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.132.061.001.361.29
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (15)1.271.401.891.220.331.67
vs Weaker (14)2.290.862.500.672.121.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-662W12L12L22D10W01L30W51W21W22DH·LE 18/10A·SPO22/10A·LEN25/10H·ANG29/10A·AUX01/11H·ATA05/11H·STA08/11A·NIC21/11H·NEW25/11H·TOU29/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.272.941.061.431.50
vs Stronger (4)1.001.751.000.001.002.33
vs Similar (13)1.851.312.501.171.291.43
vs Weaker (13)3.001.083.441.112.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.70+1.2%
Under 2.5
43.6%
@ 2.09-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
Lille goals ↓
Marseille goals →
01234
06.4%6.1%5.0%2.3%0.8%
17.2%13%7.8%3.6%1.2%
26.5%8.9%6.1%2.8%1.0%
33.4%4.7%3.2%1.5%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lille goals (down), columns = Marseille goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Lille is 0.06 points better than Marseille in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Lille is 0.32 goals worse than Marseille in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Lille is 0.24 goals better than Marseille in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Lille is 1.1 percentage points worse than Marseille in terms of average possession (56% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LilleLille

For 7.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

15026519441359213278132958613581115151514A·LE H·DINH·PARA·STRA·FK H·ANGA·NICH·METH·PAOA·NAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

8041211244431333216415338716575A·LE H·DINH·PARA·STRA·FK H·ANGA·NICH·METH·PAOA·NAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

32013151269122091517101010111812715151228182129322021302227A·LE H·DINH·PARA·STRA·FK H·ANGA·NICH·METH·PAOA·NAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MarseilleMarseille

For 5.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

16091115686263331584132110161489661243H·TOUH·NEWA·NICH·STAH·ATAA·AUXH·ANGA·LENA·SPOH·LE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

9021532212354213352233841593675H·TOUH·NEWA·NICH·STAH·ATAA·AUXH·ANGA·LENA·SPOH·LE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

300710181091210131714121179121611171317181922302618212730H·TOUH·NEWA·NICH·STAH·ATAA·AUXH·ANGA·LENA·SPOH·LE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LilleLille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.29.34.23.64.823.822.824.8
vs Stronger (3)8.78.09.03.32.04.020.023.018.5
vs Similar (25)9.710.19.34.54.24.824.122.925.5
vs Weaker (22)10.010.59.54.03.24.824.022.725.3
% over line49%54%43%58%44%72%60%54%65%
% under line51%46%57%42%56%28%40%46%35%
This opponent (Marseille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.49.43.93.93.923.023.822.2
vs Stronger (5)7.65.59.04.03.04.720.017.022.0
vs Similar (22)10.09.510.54.34.24.523.825.022.7
vs Weaker (23)8.18.18.13.43.83.023.023.921.6
% over line38%32%43%60%62%58%67%72%61%
% under line62%68%57%40%38%42%33%28%39%
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Nice
10.5
Rodez
10.1
Nantes
10.0
Lyon
9.6
Auxerre
9.6
Lille
9.6
Paris Saint Germain
9.6
Lens
9.5
Paris FC
9.4
Metz
9.4
Stade Brestois 29
9.3
Saint Etienne
9.3
RED Star FC 93
9.2
Lorient
9.1
Toulouse
9.1
Le Havre
9.1
Rennes
9.0
Marseille
8.9
Angers
8.8
Monaco
8.6
Strasbourg
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lens
4.9
Lyon
4.6
Rennes
4.5
Auxerre
4.5
Lille
4.4
Monaco
4.4
Strasbourg
4.4
Marseille
4.4
Paris FC
4.4
Toulouse
4.2
Nantes
4.2
Nice
4.1
Le Havre
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Rodez
4.0
Metz
3.8
Stade Brestois 29
3.7
Angers
3.7
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lens
25.8
Toulouse
25.7
Saint Etienne
25.6
Lyon
25.5
Monaco
25.5
RED Star FC 93
25.3
Paris FC
25.1
Rennes
24.9
Lorient
24.9
Auxerre
24.7
Nantes
24.7
Le Havre
24.5
Stade Brestois 29
24.4
Metz
24.4
Nice
24.2
Strasbourg
24.2
Rodez
24.0
Lille
23.9
Angers
23.1
Marseille
23.0
Paris Saint Germain
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.6%
Under 3.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.5%
Under 21.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LilleLille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L20W01L10W00D01L11D20W00DA·NAN19/10H·PAO23/10H·MET26/10A·NIC29/10H·ANG02/11A·FK 06/11A·STR09/11H·PAR23/11H·DIN27/11A·LE 30/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.690.310.570.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (15)0.530.670.670.560.330.83
vs Weaker (14)0.790.210.830.000.750.38
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W11D01L10W00D20W20W01L01LH·LE 18/10A·SPO22/10A·LEN25/10H·ANG29/10A·AUX01/11H·ATA05/11H·STA08/11A·NIC21/11H·NEW25/11H·TOU29/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.250.500.430.43
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.000.000.671.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.381.330.500.430.29
vs Weaker (13)0.920.461.220.560.250.25
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lille over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LilleLille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W41W01L00D01L01L31W20W10WA·NAN19/10H·PAO23/10H·MET26/10A·NIC29/10H·ANG02/11A·FK 06/11A·STR09/11H·PAR23/11H·DIN27/11A·LE 30/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.701.380.690.790.71
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (15)0.730.731.220.670.000.83
vs Weaker (14)1.500.641.670.671.380.62
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W02L01L21W00D01L10W31W20W21WH·LE 18/10A·SPO22/10A·LEN25/10H·ANG29/10A·AUX01/11H·ATA05/11H·STA08/11A·NIC21/11H·NEW25/11H·TOU29/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.801.690.561.001.07
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (13)1.000.921.170.670.861.14
vs Weaker (13)2.080.622.220.561.750.75
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lille over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls79.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lille
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hamza Igamane39%
Olivier Giroud23%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson20%
Matías Fernández-Pardo17%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm14%
Ethan Mbappé14%
Benjamin André11%
Félix Correia8%
Nathan Ngoy8%
Romain Perraud7%
Gaëtan Perrin7%
Soriba Diaoune6%
Thomas Meunier6%
Nabil Bentaleb5%
Ngal'ayel Mukau5%
Osame Sahraoui4%
Aïssa Mandi2%
Chancel Mbemba0%
Berke Özer0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Tiago Santos0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ayyoub Bouaddi0%
Maxima Goffi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin André30%
Nathan Ngoy29%
Aïssa Mandi22%
Ayyoub Bouaddi21%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson20%
Hamza Igamane17%
Calvin Verdonk15%
Romain Perraud15%
Chancel Mbemba14%
Berke Özer14%
Gaëtan Perrin13%
Nabil Bentaleb11%
Matías Fernández-Pardo10%
Thomas Meunier9%
Félix Correia8%
Ngal'ayel Mukau7%
Olivier Giroud7%
Ethan Mbappé5%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm0%
Tiago Santos0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Soriba Diaoune0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matías Fernández-Pardo12%
Soriba Diaoune12%
Hamza Igamane11%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson11%
Félix Correia10%
Romain Perraud10%
Thomas Meunier9%
Benjamin André8%
Osame Sahraoui8%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm7%
Nabil Bentaleb5%
Nathan Ngoy5%
Chancel Mbemba5%
Ethan Mbappé5%
Calvin Verdonk4%
Tiago Santos4%
Ayyoub Bouaddi2%
Berke Özer2%
Olivier Giroud2%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Gaëtan Perrin0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hamza Igamane44%
Matías Fernández-Pardo17%
Olivier Giroud11%
Alexsandro Ribeiro9%
Ethan Mbappé9%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson9%
Tiago Santos7%
Gaëtan Perrin7%
Félix Correia6%
Soriba Diaoune6%
Benjamin André3%
Nathan Ngoy3%
Aïssa Mandi2%
Romain Perraud2%
Thomas Meunier0%
Chancel Mbemba0%
Nabil Bentaleb0%
Berke Özer0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ayyoub Bouaddi0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Marseille
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mason Greenwood41%
Neal Maupay33%
Amine Gouiri33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang28%
Igor Paixão27%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Hamed Junior Traorè17%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Robinio Vaz16%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Amir Murillo8%
Tim Weah8%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Nayef Aguerd5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Bilal Nadir4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Benjamin Pavard3%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Facundo Medina0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Medina32%
Quinten Timber31%
Nayef Aguerd27%
Geoffrey Kondogbia25%
Benjamin Pavard22%
Himad Abdelli22%
Amir Murillo21%
Leonardo Balerdi20%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Bilal Nadir18%
Ulisses Garcia17%
Tim Weah15%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg14%
Mason Greenwood14%
Matt O'Riley12%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Emerson Palmieri11%
Darryl Bakola10%
Gerónimo Rulli8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Amine Gouiri7%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Robinio Vaz5%
Igor Paixão5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang2%
Neal Maupay0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matt O'Riley21%
Amine Gouiri19%
Mason Greenwood18%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang18%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Igor Paixão15%
Bilal Nadir14%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Hamed Junior Traorè11%
Robinio Vaz11%
Tim Weah10%
Darryl Bakola10%
Ethan Nwaneri9%
Benjamin Pavard8%
Amir Murillo8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Geoffrey Kondogbia6%
Emerson Palmieri6%
Angel Gomes5%
Facundo Medina4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mason Greenwood48%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang22%
Igor Paixão22%
Amine Gouiri19%
Leonardo Balerdi6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Tim Weah5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg2%
Angel Gomes0%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Benjamin Pavard0%
Amir Murillo0%
Facundo Medina0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Bilal Nadir0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Lille's squad is €87m more valuable than Marseille's (€312m vs €225m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Lille's attack is €42m more valuable than Marseille's (€133m vs €91m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Lille's midfield is €35m more valuable than Marseille's (€102m vs €68m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Lille's defence is €10m more valuable than Marseille's (€76m vs €66m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
LIL wins
5
Draws
1
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lille vs Marseille · H/A from LIL
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HLIL Vs Marseille1-1
14/01/25AMarseille Vs LIL1-1
14/12/24AMarseille Vs LIL1-1
05/04/24HLIL Vs Marseille3-1
04/11/23AMarseille Vs LIL0-0
20/05/23HLIL Vs Marseille2-1
10/09/22AMarseille Vs LIL2-1
16/01/22AMarseille Vs LIL1-1

LilleLille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25ALe Havre Vs LIL0-1
27/11/25HLIL Vs Dinamo Zagreb4-0
23/11/25HLIL Vs Paris FC4-2
09/11/25AStrasbourg Vs LIL2-0
06/11/25AFK Crvena Zvezda Vs LIL1-0
02/11/25HLIL Vs Angers1-0
29/10/25ANice Vs LIL2-0
26/10/25HLIL Vs Metz6-1
23/10/25HLIL Vs PAOK3-4
19/10/25ANantes Vs LIL0-2

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25HMAR Vs Toulouse2-2
25/11/25HMAR Vs Newcastle2-1
21/11/25ANice Vs MAR1-5
08/11/25HMAR Vs Stade Brestois 293-0
05/11/25HMAR Vs Atalanta0-1
01/11/25AAuxerre Vs MAR0-1
29/10/25HMAR Vs Angers2-2
25/10/25ALens Vs MAR2-1
22/10/25ASporting CP Vs MAR2-1
18/10/25HMAR Vs Le Havre6-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lille
Lille
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.76
HomeLWWWW2.20
AwayWLLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%68%36%
AVG goals2.943.322.56
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.762.241.28
Conceded1.181.081.28
BTTS62%76%48%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners9.7710.179.35
Cards4.473.795.17
Marseille
Marseille
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.82
HomeDLWWD2.08
AwayWLLWW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals3.383.812.92
Over 1.5 %86%88%83%
Over 2.5 %68%69%67%
Over 3.5 %42%54%29%
Scored2.142.581.67
Conceded1.241.231.25
BTTS60%69%50%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners8.908.449.39
Cards4.224.044.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches