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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs College 1975 Result & Analysis

Date: 17/12/2023
Time: 18:30
Final 7-0
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Vs
73%
16%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC win✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
College 1975 win✗ Miss
11.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L32W01L31W21W00D50W20W20W41WH·BAL17/08H·LYN24/09A·ST 28/09H·GLA04/10A·EUR21/10A·MAG25/10H·MAN29/10A·MON04/11H·LIO01/12A·EUR09/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.530.972.731.132.330.80
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.002.000.004.00
vs Similar (10)1.800.902.001.251.670.67
vs Weaker (18)3.170.783.201.003.120.50
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L30W21W03L32W26L01L05L14L13LH·MON22/04A·EUR22/09H·LIO27/09H·ST 03/10A·LYN22/10H·MAG29/10A·GLA04/11H·EUR25/11A·MAN03/12H·MON09/12
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.152.811.213.211.082.38
vs Stronger (21)1.293.001.403.401.182.64
vs Similar (6)0.672.170.752.750.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.1%
Under 2.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
1-1
6.8%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
1-0
5.0%
Lincoln Red Imps FC goals ↓
College 1975 goals →
01234
02.6%1.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
15.0%6.8%3.4%1.2%0.3%
27.9%8.7%4.8%1.7%0.5%
37.4%8.2%4.5%1.6%0.5%
45.3%5.8%3.2%1.2%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln Red Imps FC goals (down), columns = College 1975 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
St Joseph S Fc
2.52
Magpies
1.84
Europa Point
1.40
Lynx
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.32
Manchester 62
1.16
Europa
1.00
Glacis United
0.80
Lions Gibraltar
0.65
College 1975
0.55
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 2.05 points better than College 1975 in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 0.55).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.44
St Joseph S Fc
2.48
Magpies
2.20
Manchester 62
1.76
Mons Calpe
1.48
Lynx
1.45
Europa Point
1.28
Europa
1.25
Glacis United
1.05
College 1975
1.05
Lions Gibraltar
0.80
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 2.39 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals scored per game (3.44 vs 1.05).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.60
St Joseph S Fc
0.64
Europa Point
1.24
Magpies
1.44
Lynx
1.55
Mons Calpe
1.56
Europa
1.70
Glacis United
2.35
Lions Gibraltar
2.50
Manchester 62
2.56
College 1975
3.25
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 2.65 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 3.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D10W11D00D10W00D10W31WH·BAL17/08H·LYN24/09A·ST 28/09H·GLA04/10A·EUR21/10A·MAG25/10H·MAN29/10A·MON04/11H·LIO01/12A·EUR09/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.401.330.400.930.40
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.200.250.250.670.17
vs Weaker (18)1.560.441.800.501.250.38
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W01L11D02L01L02L11D02LH·MON22/04A·EUR22/09H·LIO27/09H·ST 03/10A·LYN22/10H·MAG29/10A·GLA04/11H·EUR25/11A·MAN03/12H·MON09/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.110.291.210.381.00
vs Stronger (21)0.381.240.301.400.451.09
vs Similar (6)0.170.670.250.750.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L02L01L21W10W00D40W20W10W10WH·BAL17/08H·LYN24/09A·ST 28/09H·GLA04/10A·EUR21/10A·MAG25/10H·MAN29/10A·MON04/11H·LIO01/12A·EUR09/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.571.400.731.400.40
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (10)1.300.701.751.001.000.50
vs Weaker (18)1.610.331.400.501.880.12
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L20W00D02L21W24L00D03L03L11DH·MON22/04A·EUR22/09H·LIO27/09H·ST 03/10A·LYN22/10H·MAG29/10A·GLA04/11H·EUR25/11A·MAN03/12H·MON09/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.811.700.932.000.691.38
vs Stronger (21)0.901.761.102.000.731.55
vs Similar (6)0.501.500.502.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.5%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Lincoln Red Imps FC · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kike GÃģmez33%
Christian Rutjens25%
Nicholas Pozo20%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ayman El Ghobashy67%
Mandi60%
Graeme Torrilla50%
Jaylan Hankins40%
Joe33%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo33%
Tjay De Barr17%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Toni Kolega0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe33%
Toni Kolega17%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Juanje ArgÞez17%
Mandi0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Toni0%
Kike GÃģmez0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nano20%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Lincoln Red Imps FC's squad is €2m more valuable than College 1975's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and College 1975 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and College 1975 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and College 1975 have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LRI wins
0
Draws
0
C1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs College 1975 · H/A from LRI
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/22ACollege 1975 Vs LRI0-5

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23AEuropa Vs LRI1-4
01/12/23HLRI Vs Lions Gibraltar2-0
04/11/23AMons Calpe Vs LRI0-2
29/10/23HLRI Vs Manchester 625-0
25/10/23AMagpies Vs LRI0-0
21/10/23AEuropa Point Vs LRI1-2
04/10/23HLRI Vs Glacis United3-1
28/09/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LRI1-0
24/09/23HLRI Vs Lynx3-2
17/08/23HLRI Vs Ballkani1-3

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23HC1 Vs Mons Calpe1-3
03/12/23AManchester 62 Vs C14-1
25/11/23HC1 Vs Europa Point0-5
04/11/23AGlacis United Vs C11-0
29/10/23HC1 Vs Magpies2-6
22/10/23ALynx Vs C12-3
03/10/23HC1 Vs St Joseph S Fc0-3
27/09/23HC1 Vs Lions Gibraltar2-1
22/09/23AEuropa Vs C10-3
22/04/23HC1 Vs Mons Calpe2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.08
HomeLWWWW2.21
AwayLWDWW1.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%74%61%
AVG goals3.513.893.11
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %70%79%61%
Over 3.5 %49%58%39%
Scored2.512.952.06
Conceded1.000.951.06
BTTS43%53%33%
Clean Sheet41%42%39%
Corners9.007.2511.33
Cards3.004.001.50
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.67
HomeWLLLL0.71
AwayDWWLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%21%15%
AVG goals3.964.433.46
Over 1.5 %89%93%85%
Over 2.5 %81%93%69%
Over 3.5 %63%79%46%
Scored1.151.211.08
Conceded2.813.212.38
BTTS59%57%62%
Clean Sheet7%7%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2565
84%
2.6
8615+71
4.0
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2563
80%
2.5
6216+46
3.1
84%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.50.6
-
3MagpiesMagpies2546
56%
1.8
5536+19
3.6
84%
68%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.4
-
4Europa PointEuropa Point2535
40%
1.4
3231+1
2.5
64%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
5Mons CalpeMons Calpe2533
36%
1.3
3739-2
3.0
88%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
6Manchester 62Manchester 622529
36%
1.2
4464-20
4.3
92%
76%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.6
-
7LynxLynx2027
40%
1.4
2931-2
3.0
85%
60%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8EuropaEuropa2020
30%
1.0
2534-9
3.0
65%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.21.7
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2016
25%
0.8
2147-26
3.4
80%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.4
-
10Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2013
15%
0.7
1650-34
3.3
85%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.5
-
11College 1975College 19752011
15%
0.6
2165-44
4.3
90%
75%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.2
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Gibraltar: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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