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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs College 1975 Result & Analysis

Date: 25/01/2026
Time: 18:30
Final 4-0
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Vs
77%
15%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC win✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
College 1975 win✗ Miss
8.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L30W61W40W21W14L30W21W14L31WA·HAM27/11A·GLA30/11H·GLA04/12H·HOU07/12H·SIG11/12A·LEG18/12H·LYN21/12A·EUR10/01H·ST 14/01H·EUR18/01
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.371.502.811.061.862.00
vs Stronger (6)0.832.830.751.751.005.00
vs Similar (13)1.461.851.831.501.142.14
vs Weaker (11)4.270.365.170.173.200.60
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L43W02L10W15L11D20W02L00D34LA·EUR25/10A·MAN02/11H·MAG08/11A·MAG24/11H·ST 30/11A·GLA08/12A·HOU14/12H·LIO22/12A·LYN11/01H·EUR16/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.000.802.131.201.87
vs Stronger (22)0.822.270.672.171.002.40
vs Similar (8)1.501.251.332.001.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.9%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.2%
Under 2.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 3.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.9%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
6.8%
4-0 ✓
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
5.7%
Lincoln Red Imps FC goals ↓
College 1975 goals →
01234
03.1%1.6%1.0%0.3%0.1%
16.4%6.8%2.7%0.8%0.2%
29.9%8.7%3.8%1.1%0.2%
39.3%8.1%3.6%1.0%0.2%
46.5%5.7%2.5%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln Red Imps FC goals (down), columns = College 1975 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
Manchester 62
0.77
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 2.03 points better than College 1975 in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 0.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Manchester 62
1.27
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 2.61 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals scored per game (3.30 vs 0.68).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Manchester 62
3.59
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 1.42 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.63 vs 2.05).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W31W30W11D01L20W11D03L11DA·HAM27/11A·GLA30/11H·GLA04/12H·HOU07/12H·SIG11/12A·LEG18/12H·LYN21/12A·EUR10/01H·ST 14/01H·EUR18/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.901.250.751.001.07
vs Stronger (6)0.171.830.251.000.003.50
vs Similar (13)0.621.000.671.170.570.86
vs Weaker (11)2.270.272.500.172.000.40
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W01L00D01L00D20W01L00D11DA·EUR25/10A·MAN02/11H·MAG08/11A·MAG24/11H·ST 30/11A·GLA08/12A·HOU14/12H·LIO22/12A·LYN11/01H·EUR16/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.970.270.930.331.00
vs Stronger (22)0.181.090.170.920.201.30
vs Similar (8)0.620.620.671.000.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W30W10W10W13L10W10W11D20WA·HAM27/11A·GLA30/11H·GLA04/12H·HOU07/12H·SIG11/12A·LEG18/12H·LYN21/12A·EUR10/01H·ST 14/01H·EUR18/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.601.560.310.860.93
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.500.751.001.50
vs Similar (13)0.850.851.170.330.571.29
vs Weaker (11)2.000.092.670.001.200.20
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D23L01L10W14L11D00D01L00D23LA·EUR25/10A·MAN02/11H·MAG08/11A·MAG24/11H·ST 30/11A·GLA08/12A·HOU14/12H·LIO22/12A·LYN11/01H·EUR16/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.170.401.470.870.87
vs Stronger (22)0.551.360.331.580.801.10
vs Similar (8)0.880.620.671.001.000.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.2%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kike GÃģmez33%
Christian Rutjens25%
Nicholas Pozo20%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ayman El Ghobashy67%
Mandi60%
Graeme Torrilla50%
Jaylan Hankins40%
Joe33%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo33%
Tjay De Barr17%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Toni Kolega0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe33%
Toni Kolega17%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Juanje ArgÞez17%
Mandi0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Toni0%
Kike GÃģmez0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nano20%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC's squad is €2m more valuable than College 1975's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and College 1975 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and College 1975 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and College 1975 have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
6
LRI wins
0
Draws
0
C1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs College 1975 · H/A from LRI
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25ACollege 1975 Vs LRI0-3
09/03/25ACollege 1975 Vs LRI0-2
03/11/24HLRI Vs College 19755-1
13/04/24ACollege 1975 Vs LRI0-6
17/12/23HLRI Vs College 19757-0
26/11/22ACollege 1975 Vs LRI0-5

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/01/26HLRI Vs Europa3-1
14/01/26HLRI Vs St Joseph S Fc1-4
10/01/26AEuropa Point Vs LRI1-2
21/12/25HLRI Vs Lynx3-0
18/12/25ALegia Warszawa Vs LRI4-1
11/12/25HLRI Vs Sigma Olomouc2-1
07/12/25HLRI Vs Hound Dogs4-0
04/12/25HLRI Vs Glacis United6-1
30/11/25AGlacis United Vs LRI0-3
27/11/25AHamrun Spartans Vs LRI3-1

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/01/26HC1 Vs Europa Point3-4
11/01/26ALynx Vs C10-0
22/12/25HC1 Vs Lions Gibraltar0-2
14/12/25AHound Dogs Vs C10-2
08/12/25AGlacis United Vs C11-1
30/11/25HC1 Vs St Joseph S Fc1-5
24/11/25AMagpies Vs C10-1
08/11/25HC1 Vs Magpies0-2
02/11/25AManchester 62 Vs C13-4
25/10/25AEuropa Vs C11-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW2.22
HomeWWWLW2.31
AwayDLWLW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%73%67%
AVG goals3.563.503.62
Over 1.5 %86%85%88%
Over 2.5 %70%69%71%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored2.542.652.42
Conceded1.020.851.21
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet52%46%58%
Corners7.386.008.75
Cards5.305.005.60
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL0.66
HomeLLLLL0.44
AwayWWDWD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%8%24%
AVG goals3.223.203.24
Over 1.5 %78%88%68%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored0.840.720.96
Conceded2.382.482.28
BTTS40%36%44%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2772
85%
2.7
8917+72
3.9
93%
81%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.30.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2763
74%
2.3
9617+79
4.2
81%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0013.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2756
67%
2.1
5321+32
2.7
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.00.8
-
4Mons CalpeMons Calpe2753
63%
2.0
6335+28
3.6
93%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.31.3
-
5Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2743
48%
1.6
5344+9
3.6
89%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.01.6
-
6LynxLynx2734
37%
1.3
3845-7
3.1
70%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
7MagpiesMagpies2228
36%
1.3
2532-7
2.6
68%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
8Europa PointEuropa Point2222
32%
1.0
3161-30
4.2
86%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.8
-
9Manchester 62Manchester 622217
23%
0.8
2879-51
4.9
86%
82%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.6
-
10College 1975College 19752214
14%
0.6
1545-30
2.7
68%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
11Glacis UnitedGlacis United2212
14%
0.5
1857-39
3.4
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.6
-
12Hound DogsHound Dogs228
5%
0.4
1066-56
3.5
91%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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