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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa Result & Analysis

Date: 22/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Vs
52%
23%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC win✗ Miss
51.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Europa win✓ Hit
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L51W41W41W10W20W31W40W50W30WH·MAG18/12A·MAG08/01A·LYN22/01H·GLA27/01H·ST 05/02A·EUR11/02H·MAG25/02H·LYN03/03A·GLA08/04A·ST 14/04
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.000.783.330.672.640.91
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.500.621.330.331.600.80
vs Weaker (15)3.800.874.000.783.501.00
Clean sheet %48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W42W02L00D02L02L10W30W21WH·LIN13/12H·LYN06/01H·GLA20/01A·ST 28/01H·MAG03/02H·LIN11/02A·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03H·ST 09/04A·MAG16/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.240.812.170.832.330.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.920.860.861.601.00
vs Weaker (9)3.670.674.000.803.250.50
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.2%
Under 1.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.0%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 3.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
1-2 ✓
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
Lincoln Red Imps FC goals ↓
Europa goals →
01234
04.3%3.7%3.1%1.4%0.5%
15.8%10%6.4%2.9%1.0%
26.9%9.4%6.5%3.0%1.0%
34.6%6.4%4.4%2.0%0.7%
42.4%3.2%2.2%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln Red Imps FC goals (down), columns = Europa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
Europa
2.20
Magpies
1.85
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.61
Manchester 62
1.56
St Joseph S Fc
1.50
Lions Gibraltar
1.06
Glacis United
0.65
College 1975
0.50
Europa Point
0.39
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 0.40 points better than Europa in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 2.20).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.40
Europa
2.40
Magpies
1.95
Manchester 62
1.89
St Joseph S Fc
1.75
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.56
Lions Gibraltar
1.39
College 1975
1.06
Glacis United
0.95
Europa Point
0.67
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 1.00 goals better than Europa in terms of goals scored per game (3.40 vs 2.40).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.70
Europa
0.75
Magpies
0.90
St Joseph S Fc
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.39
Lynx
1.45
Manchester 62
1.67
Lions Gibraltar
2.06
Glacis United
2.45
College 1975
2.83
Europa Point
3.61
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 0.05 goals better than Europa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.70 vs 0.75).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W21W30W00D10W01L20W30W00DH·MAG18/12A·MAG08/01A·LYN22/01H·GLA27/01H·ST 05/02A·EUR11/02H·MAG25/02H·LYN03/03A·GLA08/04A·ST 14/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.390.481.750.501.000.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.250.330.330.400.20
vs Weaker (15)1.930.602.220.561.500.67
Clean sheet %61% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W11D01L00D01L02L00D00D11DH·LIN13/12H·LYN06/01H·GLA20/01A·ST 28/01H·MAG03/02H·LIN11/02A·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03H·ST 09/04A·MAG16/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.430.920.420.890.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.500.000.570.600.40
vs Weaker (9)1.780.332.200.201.250.50
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D41W20W11D10W10W30W20W20W30WH·MAG18/12A·MAG08/01A·LYN22/01H·GLA27/01H·ST 05/02A·EUR11/02H·MAG25/02H·LYN03/03A·GLA08/04A·ST 14/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.610.301.580.171.640.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.120.381.000.001.200.60
vs Weaker (15)1.870.271.780.222.000.33
Clean sheet %74% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L31W01L00D01L00D10W30W10WH·LIN13/12H·LYN06/01H·GLA20/01A·ST 28/01H·MAG03/02H·LIN11/02A·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03H·ST 09/04A·MAG16/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.381.250.421.440.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.920.420.860.291.000.60
vs Weaker (9)1.890.331.800.602.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.2%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Lincoln Red Imps FC · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kike GÃģmez33%
Christian Rutjens25%
Nicholas Pozo20%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ayman El Ghobashy67%
Mandi60%
Graeme Torrilla50%
Jaylan Hankins40%
Joe33%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo33%
Tjay De Barr17%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Toni Kolega0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe33%
Toni Kolega17%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Juanje ArgÞez17%
Mandi0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Toni0%
Kike GÃģmez0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nano20%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Europa have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Europa have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Europa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Europa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
LRI wins
0
Draws
0
EUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa · H/A from LRI
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/23AEuropa Vs LRI0-2
13/12/22AEuropa Vs LRI0-1

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LRI0-3
08/04/23AGlacis United Vs LRI0-5
03/03/23HLRI Vs Lynx4-0
25/02/23HLRI Vs Magpies3-1
11/02/23AEuropa Vs LRI0-2
05/02/23HLRI Vs St Joseph S Fc1-0
27/01/23HLRI Vs Glacis United4-1
22/01/23ALynx Vs LRI1-4
08/01/23AMagpies Vs LRI1-5
18/12/22HLRI Vs Magpies1-3

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23AMagpies Vs EUR1-2
09/04/23HEUR Vs St Joseph S Fc3-0
05/03/23AGlacis United Vs EUR0-1
24/02/23ALynx Vs EUR2-0
11/02/23HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-2
03/02/23HEUR Vs Magpies0-0
28/01/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs EUR2-0
20/01/23HEUR Vs Glacis United4-2
06/01/23HEUR Vs Lynx2-1
13/12/22HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.39
HomeLWWWW2.50
AwayWWWWW2.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %78%83%73%
AVG goals3.784.003.55
Over 1.5 %87%83%91%
Over 2.5 %74%75%73%
Over 3.5 %52%58%45%
Scored3.003.332.64
Conceded0.780.670.91
BTTS39%42%36%
Clean Sheet48%50%45%
Corners7.676.5010.00
Cards4.336.001.00
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.95
HomeWWDLW1.92
AwayWLLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%58%67%
AVG goals3.053.003.11
Over 1.5 %76%75%78%
Over 2.5 %52%58%44%
Over 3.5 %24%25%22%
Scored2.242.172.33
Conceded0.810.830.78
BTTS33%42%22%
Clean Sheet43%42%44%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards6.006.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2052
85%
2.6
6814+54
4.1
90%
85%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.7
-
2EuropaEuropa2044
70%
2.2
4815+33
3.1
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.40.8
-
3MagpiesMagpies2037
55%
1.9
3918+21
2.9
75%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.9
-
4LynxLynx2033
50%
1.6
3329+4
3.1
85%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2030
45%
1.5
3527+8
3.1
85%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.4
-
6Mons CalpeMons Calpe1829
50%
1.6
2825+3
2.9
83%
61%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
7Manchester 62Manchester 621828
50%
1.6
3430+4
3.6
89%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
8Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar1819
28%
1.1
2537-12
3.4
78%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.1
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2013
20%
0.7
1949-30
3.4
75%
60%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.5
-
10College 1975College 1975189
11%
0.5
1951-32
3.9
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.8
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point187
6%
0.4
1265-53
4.3
83%
72%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.6
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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