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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 2-0
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Vs
50%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Lincoln Red Imps FC are expected to come out on top in this match against Europa. The home side has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with a notable draw against Omonia Nicosia in their previous outing. In contrast, Europa comes into this match after a 4-1 win against Mons Calpe.

The predicted probabilities for the match are 50% for Lincoln Red Imps FC to win, 26% for a draw, and 25% for Europa to win. The model's pick is a home win. On average, 2.9 goals are expected to be scored throughout the match. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 12% probability.

Lincoln Red Imps FC have a strong home form, averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per match against similar opponents. Europa, on the other hand, averages 1 goal scored and 2.33 conceded per match away against similar opponents.

The model suggests the selection 'Over 1.5' with an 80.1% probability. The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 50%, 26%, and 25%, respectively.

Results analysis

The Lincoln Red Imps FC's unbeaten run in their last 5 matches continues, with the win extending their streak. The final score of 2-0 saw the home team secure a convincing victory, aligning with the actual result. The model correctly picked the home win, which had a pre-match probability of 50%. The model's selection was correct, as the home team's strong form and recent win over Omonia Nicosia proved decisive. The model also suggested the Over 1.5 goal selection, which hit with a probability of 80.1%, and the most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 24%.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Europa win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1040W100W00D21W30W30W21W10W21W11DH·COL25/01A·MAN08/02A·EUR12/02A·LIO19/02H·MON22/02A·HOU26/02A·MAG05/03H·ST 21/03H·MON05/04A·LIO11/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.871.033.270.802.471.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.002.381.251.500.753.25
vs Weaker (22)3.550.554.000.553.090.55
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L13L51W10W00D60W50W31W30W00DH·ST 09/01A·LIN18/01H·GLA26/01A·COL07/02H·LIN12/02H·HOU22/02A·MAN02/03H·LYN21/03A·LIO04/04H·ST 11/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.931.931.132.070.73
vs Stronger (7)0.431.710.001.251.002.33
vs Similar (3)3.000.672.001.003.500.50
vs Weaker (20)2.400.702.701.102.100.30
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-0 ✓
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
Lincoln Red Imps FC goals ↓
Europa goals →
01234
06.4%5.2%3.7%1.5%0.4%
18.2%12%6.5%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.6%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.7%5.6%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.1%2.5%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln Red Imps FC goals (down), columns = Europa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
Manchester 62
0.77
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 0.59 points better than Europa in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 2.07).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Manchester 62
1.27
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 1.33 goals better than Europa in terms of goals scored per game (3.30 vs 1.96).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Manchester 62
3.59
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 0.15 goals better than Europa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.63 vs 0.78).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D00D10W20W11D00D10W01LH·COL25/01A·MAN08/02A·EUR12/02A·LIO19/02H·MON22/02A·HOU26/02A·MAG05/03H·ST 21/03H·MON05/04A·LIO11/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.531.330.531.000.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.121.000.251.000.001.00
vs Weaker (22)1.550.361.730.361.360.36
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D20W00D00D40W10W20W30W00DH·ST 09/01A·LIN18/01H·GLA26/01A·COL07/02H·LIN12/02H·HOU22/02A·MAN02/03H·LYN21/03A·LIO04/04H·ST 11/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.130.600.730.40
vs Stronger (7)0.140.710.000.500.331.00
vs Similar (3)1.330.672.001.001.000.50
vs Weaker (20)1.150.401.500.600.800.20
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
MAG (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
MAG (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa · H/A from LRI
DateH/AGameScore
12/02/26AEuropa Vs LRI0-0
18/01/26HLRI Vs Europa3-1
12/04/25AEuropa Vs LRI0-4
17/01/25HLRI Vs Europa3-1
05/10/24AEuropa Vs LRI0-0
31/03/24HLRI Vs Europa2-1
09/12/23AEuropa Vs LRI1-4
22/04/23HLRI Vs Europa1-2

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26ALions Gibraltar Vs LRI1-1
05/04/26HLRI Vs Mons Calpe2-1
21/03/26HLRI Vs St Joseph S Fc1-0
05/03/26AMagpies Vs LRI1-2
26/02/26AHound Dogs Vs LRI0-3
22/02/26HLRI Vs Mons Calpe3-0
19/02/26ALions Gibraltar Vs LRI1-2
12/02/26AEuropa Vs LRI0-0
08/02/26AManchester 62 Vs LRI0-10
25/01/26HLRI Vs College 19754-0

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HEUR Vs St Joseph S Fc0-0
04/04/26ALions Gibraltar Vs EUR0-3
21/03/26HEUR Vs Lynx3-1
02/03/26AManchester 62 Vs EUR0-5
22/02/26HEUR Vs Hound Dogs6-0
12/02/26HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-0
07/02/26ACollege 1975 Vs EUR0-1
26/01/26HEUR Vs Glacis United5-1
18/01/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs EUR3-1
09/01/26HEUR Vs St Joseph S Fc0-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD2.18
HomeWWWWW2.36
AwayDWWWD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%76%60%
AVG goals3.543.563.52
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %72%76%68%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored2.462.682.24
Conceded1.080.881.28
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet46%44%48%
Corners7.386.008.75
Cards5.305.005.60
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD2.10
HomeWDWWD2.08
AwayWLWWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%64%68%
AVG goals3.123.083.16
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %70%64%76%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored2.182.162.20
Conceded0.940.920.96
BTTS48%40%56%
Clean Sheet44%48%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2772
85%
2.7
8917+72
3.9
93%
81%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.30.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2763
74%
2.3
9617+79
4.2
81%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0013.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2756
67%
2.1
5321+32
2.7
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
4Mons CalpeMons Calpe2753
63%
2.0
6335+28
3.6
93%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
5Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2743
48%
1.6
5344+9
3.6
89%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
6LynxLynx2734
37%
1.3
3845-7
3.1
70%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7MagpiesMagpies2228
36%
1.3
2532-7
2.6
68%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
8Europa PointEuropa Point2222
32%
1.0
3161-30
4.2
86%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.8
-
9Manchester 62Manchester 622217
23%
0.8
2879-51
4.9
86%
82%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.6
-
10College 1975College 19752214
14%
0.6
1545-30
2.7
68%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
11Glacis UnitedGlacis United2212
14%
0.5
1857-39
3.4
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.6
-
12Hound DogsHound Dogs228
5%
0.4
1066-56
3.5
91%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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