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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Lions Gibraltar Result & Analysis

Date: 20/04/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 3-0
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Vs
68%
20%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC win✓ Hit
68.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar win✗ Miss
11.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W20W51W31W00D12L20W41W10W40WA·MAN07/12H·MAG14/12A·LYN10/01H·EUR17/01A·ST 09/02H·LIO22/02A·COL09/03H·GLA14/03A·ST 05/04A·EUR12/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.270.732.140.712.380.75
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.002.000.005.00
vs Similar (14)1.500.641.670.671.380.62
vs Weaker (14)3.360.432.860.573.860.29
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W32W21W21W11D02L03L12L01LH·GLA14/12A·MON21/12H·EUR12/01H·MAG08/02A·LIN22/02A·MAN26/02H·LYN08/03A·EUR15/03H·MAG05/04A·MAN13/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.631.531.871.271.40
vs Stronger (12)1.081.921.172.331.001.50
vs Similar (10)1.402.001.402.201.401.80
vs Weaker (8)1.880.752.250.751.500.75
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
3-0 ✓
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
Lincoln Red Imps FC goals ↓
Lions Gibraltar goals →
01234
05.3%2.9%1.6%0.5%0.1%
19.2%9.4%3.7%1.0%0.2%
211%9.7%4.2%1.2%0.3%
38.5%7.3%3.1%0.9%0.2%
44.8%4.1%1.8%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln Red Imps FC goals (down), columns = Lions Gibraltar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.64
St Joseph S Fc
2.64
Europa
2.08
Manchester 62
1.60
Magpies
1.48
Lions Gibraltar
1.12
Glacis United
0.95
College 1975
0.90
Lynx
0.85
Mons Calpe
0.65
Europa Point
0.20
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 1.52 points better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of average points per game (2.64 vs 1.12).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.72
St Joseph S Fc
2.60
Europa
2.40
Magpies
2.08
Manchester 62
1.96
Glacis United
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.40
Lynx
1.25
Mons Calpe
1.15
College 1975
0.90
Europa Point
0.70
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 1.32 goals better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals scored per game (2.72 vs 1.40).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.28
St Joseph S Fc
0.60
Europa
1.16
Manchester 62
1.36
Magpies
1.52
College 1975
1.95
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Lynx
2.55
Glacis United
2.60
Mons Calpe
2.70
Europa Point
3.50
Lincoln Red Imps FC is 1.68 goals better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.28 vs 1.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D21W11D00D02L10W21W10W20WA·MAN07/12H·MAG14/12A·LYN10/01H·EUR17/01A·ST 09/02H·LIO22/02A·COL09/03H·GLA14/03A·ST 05/04A·EUR12/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.471.210.430.940.50
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (14)0.860.361.000.330.750.38
vs Weaker (14)1.430.361.570.431.290.29
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D12L20W20W10W00D01L01L00DH·GLA14/12A·MON21/12H·EUR12/01H·MAG08/02A·LIN22/02A·MAN26/02H·LYN08/03A·EUR15/03H·MAG05/04A·MAN13/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.670.600.530.60
vs Stronger (12)0.670.500.670.500.670.50
vs Similar (10)0.500.700.800.600.200.80
vs Weaker (8)0.620.620.500.750.750.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W30W20W00D10W10W20W00D20WA·MAN07/12H·MAG14/12A·LYN10/01H·EUR17/01A·ST 09/02H·LIO22/02A·COL09/03H·GLA14/03A·ST 05/04A·EUR12/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.270.930.291.440.25
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.640.290.670.330.620.25
vs Weaker (14)1.930.071.290.142.570.00
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W20W01L01L01L02L02L11D01LH·GLA14/12A·MON21/12H·EUR12/01H·MAG08/02A·LIN22/02A·MAN26/02H·LYN08/03A·EUR15/03H·MAG05/04A·MAN13/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.030.871.270.730.80
vs Stronger (12)0.421.420.501.830.331.00
vs Similar (10)0.901.300.601.601.201.00
vs Weaker (8)1.250.121.750.000.750.25
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.6%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Lincoln Red Imps FC · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kike GÃģmez33%
Christian Rutjens25%
Nicholas Pozo20%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ayman El Ghobashy67%
Mandi60%
Graeme Torrilla50%
Jaylan Hankins40%
Joe33%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo33%
Tjay De Barr17%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Toni Kolega0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe33%
Toni Kolega17%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Juanje ArgÞez17%
Mandi0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Toni0%
Kike GÃģmez0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nano20%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Lions Gibraltar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Lions Gibraltar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Lions Gibraltar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Lions Gibraltar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
LRI wins
0
Draws
1
LG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Lions Gibraltar · H/A from LRI
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25HLRI Vs Lions Gibraltar1-2
27/10/24ALions Gibraltar Vs LRI0-2
08/03/24ALions Gibraltar Vs LRI0-2
01/12/23HLRI Vs Lions Gibraltar2-0
02/12/22HLRI Vs Lions Gibraltar6-0

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AEuropa Vs LRI0-4
05/04/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LRI0-1
14/03/25HLRI Vs Glacis United4-1
09/03/25ACollege 1975 Vs LRI0-2
22/02/25HLRI Vs Lions Gibraltar1-2
09/02/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LRI0-0
17/01/25HLRI Vs Europa3-1
10/01/25ALynx Vs LRI1-5
14/12/24HLRI Vs Magpies2-0
07/12/24AManchester 62 Vs LRI0-4

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/25AManchester 62 Vs LG1-0
05/04/25HLG Vs Magpies1-2
15/03/25AEuropa Vs LG3-0
08/03/25HLG Vs Lynx0-2
26/02/25AManchester 62 Vs LG1-1
22/02/25ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs LG1-2
08/02/25HLG Vs Magpies2-1
12/01/25HLG Vs Europa Point3-2
21/12/24AMons Calpe Vs LG0-2
14/12/24HLG Vs Glacis United4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW2.42
HomeWWWLW2.42
AwayWDWWW2.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %78%79%77%
AVG goals3.563.213.88
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored2.922.583.23
Conceded0.640.620.65
BTTS34%42%27%
Clean Sheet58%50%65%
Corners---
Cards5.505.005.67
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.98
HomeWWWLL1.04
AwayWWDLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals3.343.403.28
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %68%64%72%
Over 3.5 %44%52%36%
Scored1.281.201.36
Conceded2.062.201.92
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2566
84%
2.6
687+61
3.0
80%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.3
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2566
84%
2.6
6515+50
3.2
80%
68%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2552
64%
2.1
6029+31
3.6
88%
84%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.41.2
-
4Manchester 62Manchester 622540
48%
1.6
4934+15
3.3
96%
64%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
5MagpiesMagpies2537
48%
1.5
5238+14
3.6
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
6Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2528
32%
1.1
3549-14
3.4
92%
68%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
7Glacis UnitedGlacis United2019
30%
0.9
2952-23
4.0
95%
75%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.6
-
8College 1975College 19752018
25%
0.9
1839-21
2.9
80%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.9
-
9LynxLynx2017
25%
0.8
2551-26
3.8
95%
85%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.5
-
10Mons CalpeMons Calpe2013
20%
0.7
2354-31
3.9
95%
85%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.7
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point204
0%
0.2
1470-56
4.2
95%
80%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.5
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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