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Lincoln vs Derby Result & Analysis

Date: 13/09/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
Lincoln
Lincoln
Vs
29%
31%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derby
Derby
England: League One
Referee: T Kirk
Match preview & prediction

Lincoln’s defensive record at home is modest, conceding 1.43 goals on average against similar opposition, while Derby’s away form shows they allow 1.6 goals and score only 0.7. The model therefore favors an away win at 40%, with a draw at 31% and a home win at 29%. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight match, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 14.6% chance. The predicted total goals is 2, with a 28% probability. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 93.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 84.3%, Under 4.5 cards at 84.1%, Under 3.5 at 81.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.1%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 72.3%. The model’s selection for the match result is an away win.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Derby, failed to deliver, as Lincoln secured a 2-0 home win. The model had predicted an away victory with a 40% probability, but the outcome proved otherwise. The match finished 2-0, a result that surprised the model’s pick. The model’s other selections performed as follows: Under 5.5 cards hit with a 93.1% chance, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 84.3%, Under 4.5 cards missed at 84.1%, Under 3.5 hit at 81.5%, Over 8.5 corners missed at 76.1%, and Under 23.5 fouls hit at 72.3%. Lincoln’s recent form, coming off a draw, and Derby’s recent win at Portsmouth framed an unexpected turnaround.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lincoln win✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.69
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.30
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derby win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied 46.2% · @ 2.03
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W12L21W11D00D11D21W04L22D02LH·CHE18/04A·ACC23/04H·CRE30/04H·EXE30/07A·POR06/08H·FOR13/08A·OXF16/08A·PET20/08H·FLE27/08A·CAM03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.431.211.211.121.62
vs Stronger (3)1.001.000.000.001.501.50
vs Similar (17)1.061.711.001.431.101.90
vs Weaker (10)1.401.101.671.171.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W01L10W01L21W00D00D21W23LH·BRI23/04A·BLA30/04H·CAR07/05H·OXF30/07A·CHA06/08H·BAR13/08A·SHR16/08A·FLE20/08H·PET27/08H·PLY03/09← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.271.531.070.671.47
vs Stronger (4)1.001.501.501.000.502.00
vs Similar (23)1.171.301.541.080.701.60
vs Weaker (3)0.670.67--0.670.67
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.4%
@ 2.16-5.2%
Under 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.67+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-0 ✓
5.4%
Lincoln goals ↓
Derby goals →
01234
012%12%8.1%3.3%1.0%
19.5%15%8.1%3.3%1.0%
25.4%6.6%4.0%1.7%0.5%
31.8%2.2%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln goals (down), columns = Derby goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Plymouth
2.20
Ipswich
2.13
Sheffield Weds
2.09
Barnsley
1.87
Bolton
1.76
Peterboro
1.67
Derby
1.65
Portsmouth
1.52
Wycombe
1.50
Lincoln
1.35
Charlton
1.35
Shrewsbury
1.28
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Exeter
1.22
Burton
1.22
Cheltenham
1.17
Bristol Rvs
1.15
Port Vale
1.07
Oxford
1.02
Cambridge
1.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.98
Accrington
0.96
Morecambe
0.96
Forest Green
0.59
Lincoln is 0.30 points worse than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.65).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.20
Plymouth
1.78
Sheffield Weds
1.76
Barnsley
1.74
Peterboro
1.63
Charlton
1.52
Derby
1.46
Exeter
1.39
Bolton
1.35
Portsmouth
1.33
Wycombe
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.26
Burton
1.24
Fleetwood Town
1.15
Shrewsbury
1.13
Oxford
1.07
Port Vale
1.04
Lincoln
1.02
Morecambe
1.02
Cheltenham
0.98
Milton Keynes Dons
0.96
Cambridge
0.89
Accrington
0.87
Forest Green
0.67
Lincoln is 0.43 goals worse than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ipswich
0.76
Bolton
0.78
Sheffield Weds
0.80
Derby
1.00
Lincoln
1.02
Barnsley
1.02
Plymouth
1.02
Portsmouth
1.09
Fleetwood Town
1.11
Wycombe
1.11
Peterboro
1.17
Oxford
1.22
Shrewsbury
1.33
Cheltenham
1.33
Charlton
1.43
Milton Keynes Dons
1.43
Cambridge
1.48
Exeter
1.48
Port Vale
1.54
Bristol Rvs
1.59
Accrington
1.67
Morecambe
1.70
Burton
1.72
Forest Green
1.93
Lincoln is 0.02 goals worse than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.02 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Ipswich
59%
Bolton
57%
Portsmouth
55%
Derby
55%
Plymouth
54%
Peterboro
54%
Charlton
54%
Oxford
53%
Sheffield Weds
53%
Milton Keynes Dons
53%
Port Vale
52%
Exeter
52%
Barnsley
49%
Fleetwood Town
49%
Accrington
47%
Forest Green
47%
Wycombe
46%
Cambridge
46%
Burton
45%
Cheltenham
43%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
42%
Morecambe
42%
Lincoln is 11.6 percentage points worse than Derby in terms of average possession (43% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LincolnLincoln

For 3.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

1201436542105443844812625991297121238A·CAMH·FLEA·PETA·OXFH·FORA·PORH·EXEH·CREA·ACCH·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

701342132331123131735613043A·CAMH·FLEA·PETA·OXFH·FORA·PORH·EXEH·CREA·ACCH·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

300109111512121614981510611105101472219262430172517152429A·CAMH·FLEA·PETA·OXFH·FORA·PORH·EXEH·CREA·ACCH·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

For 6.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

18046841351056545737115251012181511910867H·PLYH·PETA·FLEA·SHRH·BARA·CHAH·OXFH·CARA·BLAH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

60111311131112421221132424236334H·PLYH·PETA·FLEA·SHRH·BARA·CHAH·OXFH·CARA·BLAH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

260119121451389713711131298115101320261817201825171623H·PLYH·PETA·FLEA·SHRH·BARA·CHAH·OXFH·CARA·BLAH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LincolnLincoln

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.310.93.73.83.622.822.822.9
vs Stronger (4)13.013.512.55.03.07.024.223.525.0
vs Similar (30)10.610.510.73.23.62.922.923.722.2
vs Weaker (16)9.99.210.94.44.34.422.421.224.0
% over line60%54%65%46%50%42%58%58%58%
% under line40%46%35%54%50%58%42%42%42%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.510.03.94.13.820.821.120.5
vs Stronger (8)10.011.88.24.23.84.820.516.824.2
vs Similar (38)9.39.29.53.94.13.721.122.020.0
vs Weaker (4)13.06.015.33.24.03.019.020.018.7
% over line56%58%54%54%62%46%34%46%21%
% under line44%42%46%46%38%54%66%54%79%
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burton
11.9
Exeter
11.0
Bristol Rvs
10.8
Sheffield Weds
10.6
Lincoln
10.6
Ipswich
10.5
Accrington
10.5
Forest Green
10.4
Portsmouth
10.4
Morecambe
10.3
Shrewsbury
10.3
Oxford
10.3
Plymouth
10.1
Cambridge
10.1
Bolton
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Charlton
10.0
Fleetwood Town
10.0
Peterboro
9.9
Barnsley
9.9
Cheltenham
9.9
Derby
9.7
Milton Keynes Dons
9.4
Port Vale
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.8
Accrington
4.0
Charlton
4.0
Oxford
4.0
Derby
3.9
Forest Green
3.8
Lincoln
3.7
Ipswich
3.7
Fleetwood Town
3.7
Portsmouth
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Cambridge
3.5
Bolton
3.4
Milton Keynes Dons
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Peterboro
3.4
Shrewsbury
3.4
Port Vale
3.3
Plymouth
3.3
Barnsley
3.2
Burton
3.2
Exeter
2.7
Morecambe
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Accrington
24.8
Bristol Rvs
24.4
Portsmouth
24.4
Forest Green
23.5
Charlton
23.5
Lincoln
22.8
Peterboro
22.5
Fleetwood Town
22.3
Wycombe
22.2
Oxford
22.0
Port Vale
22.0
Bolton
21.9
Milton Keynes Dons
21.9
Sheffield Weds
21.4
Barnsley
21.1
Shrewsbury
21.0
Ipswich
21.0
Derby
20.8
Plymouth
20.8
Cheltenham
20.8
Burton
20.6
Cambridge
20.2
Morecambe
19.9
Exeter
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.1%
Under 9.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.5%
Under 21.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LincolnLincoln

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L01L00D00D20W03L21W02LH·CHE18/04A·ACC23/04H·CRE30/04H·EXE30/07A·POR06/08H·FOR13/08A·OXF16/08A·PET20/08H·FLE27/08A·CAM03/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.710.430.380.81
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.760.430.570.400.90
vs Weaker (10)0.800.401.170.330.250.50
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D00D20W00D00D00D20WH·BRI23/04A·BLA30/04H·CAR07/05H·OXF30/07A·CHA06/08H·BAR13/08A·SHR16/08A·FLE20/08H·PET27/08H·PLY03/09← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.470.470.270.47
vs Stronger (4)0.000.750.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.480.430.540.380.400.50
vs Weaker (3)0.000.33--0.000.33
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LincolnLincoln

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D20W10W00D11D01L01L01L00DH·CHE18/04A·ACC23/04H·CRE30/04H·EXE30/07A·POR06/08H·FOR13/08A·OXF16/08A·PET20/08H·FLE27/08A·CAM03/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.500.790.750.81
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (17)0.650.940.570.860.701.00
vs Weaker (10)0.600.700.500.830.750.50
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W01L10W01L01L00D00D21W03LH·BRI23/04A·BLA30/04H·CAR07/05H·OXF30/07A·CHA06/08H·BAR13/08A·SHR16/08A·FLE20/08H·PET27/08H·PLY03/09← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.801.070.600.401.00
vs Stronger (4)1.000.751.500.000.501.50
vs Similar (23)0.700.871.000.690.301.10
vs Weaker (3)0.670.33--0.670.33
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards93.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards84.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.581.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls72.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lincoln · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben House50%
Callum Elder33%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Dom Jefferies20%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben House50%
Freddie Draper40%
Tom Hamer33%
Mason Melia33%
Conor McGrandles25%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Callum Elder0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder67%
Tendayi Darikwa33%
Tom Bayliss25%
Freddie Draper20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Ben House0%
Tom Hamer0%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Adam Reach0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben House50%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Adam Reach0%
Callum Elder0%
Tom Bayliss0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Derby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Szmodics75%
Carlton Morris33%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis75%
Sondre Langås60%
D. Sanderson40%
Rhian Brewster25%
A. Mowatt25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
Oscar Fraulo25%
C. Taylor20%
M. Johnston20%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Bobby Clark0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Clark40%
Carlton Morris33%
Oscar Fraulo25%
Rhian Brewster0%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Szmodics25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
WYC (24)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
FG (4)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
Lincoln's squad is €45m less valuable than Derby's (€12m vs €57m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Lincoln's attack is €22m less valuable than Derby's (€3m vs €25m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
DER (6)
€14m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
Lincoln's midfield is €12m less valuable than Derby's (€2m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (13)
€85m
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Lincoln's defence is €12m less valuable than Derby's (€6m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LIN wins
0
Draws
0
DER wins

Head-to-head

Lincoln vs Derby · H/A from LIN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/22ACambridge Vs LIN2-0
27/08/22HLIN Vs Fleetwood Town2-2
20/08/22APeterboro Vs LIN4-0
16/08/22AOxford Vs LIN1-2
13/08/22HLIN Vs Forest Green1-1
06/08/22APortsmouth Vs LIN0-0
30/07/22HLIN Vs Exeter1-1
30/04/22HLIN Vs Crewe2-1
23/04/22AAccrington Vs LIN2-1
18/04/22HLIN Vs Cheltenham3-0

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/22HDER Vs Plymouth2-3
27/08/22HDER Vs Peterboro2-1
20/08/22AFleetwood Town Vs DER0-0
16/08/22AShrewsbury Vs DER0-0
13/08/22HDER Vs Barnsley2-1
06/08/22ACharlton Vs DER1-0
30/07/22HDER Vs Oxford1-0
07/05/22HDER Vs Cardiff0-1
30/04/22ABlackpool Vs DER0-2
23/04/22HDER Vs Bristol City1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL1.10
HomeWWDDD1.08
AwayLDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%25%31%
AVG goals2.582.422.73
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.161.121.19
Conceded1.421.291.54
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.6010.2910.88
Cards3.723.833.62
Derby
Derby
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.24
HomeLWWWL1.85
AwayLWLDD0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%54%8%
AVG goals2.102.381.79
Over 1.5 %60%65%54%
Over 2.5 %40%50%29%
Over 3.5 %18%23%12%
Scored0.981.380.54
Conceded1.121.001.25
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet32%38%25%
Corners9.729.4610.00
Cards3.944.083.79

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PlymouthPlymouth46101
67%
2.2
8247+35
2.8
76%
54%
33%
10.3
57%
3.3
41%
21.6
48%
13
4361.81.0
54%
2IpswichIpswich4698
61%
2.1
10135+66
3.0
87%
59%
30%
10.2
50%
3.7
52%
21.4
43%
280
13066852.20.8
59%
3Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4696
61%
2.1
8137+44
2.6
67%
43%
24%
9.0
37%
3.3
50%
21.6
46%
21
7681.80.8
53%
4BarnsleyBarnsley4686
57%
1.9
8047+33
2.8
78%
54%
28%
9.9
57%
3.9
54%
22.0
48%
8
2331.71.0
49%
5BoltonBolton4681
50%
1.8
6236+26
2.1
63%
35%
17%
10.2
61%
3.7
54%
22.3
50%
17
4491.30.8
57%
6PeterboroPeterboro4677
52%
1.7
7554+21
2.8
80%
59%
24%
9.7
54%
3.5
52%
23.1
65%
7
3131.61.2
54%
7DerbyDerby4676
46%
1.7
6746+21
2.5
74%
43%
24%
10.3
63%
3.8
54%
20.4
41%
57
2514181.51.0
55%
8PortsmouthPortsmouth4670
37%
1.5
6150+11
2.4
74%
39%
30%
10.3
57%
4.2
61%
25.0
76%
32
135141.31.1
55%
9WycombeWycombe4669
43%
1.5
5951+8
2.4
74%
43%
20%
11.7
76%
3.2
37%
21.2
48%
10
3251.31.1
46%
10CharltonCharlton4662
35%
1.3
7066+4
3.0
76%
50%
35%
10.5
63%
3.3
46%
21.7
54%
31
183101.51.4
54%
11LincolnLincoln4662
30%
1.3
4747+0
2.0
67%
28%
11%
9.5
46%
3.7
52%
21.2
46%
12
3261.01.0
43%
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury4659
37%
1.3
5261-9
2.5
70%
50%
17%
10.3
57%
4.3
65%
21.2
46%
3
0121.11.3
42%
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town4658
30%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
70%
43%
13%
10.3
65%
4.6
74%
23.1
61%
3
1111.21.1
49%
14ExeterExeter4656
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
76%
50%
37%
10.8
65%
3.3
43%
19.8
28%
3
1111.41.5
52%
15BurtonBurton4656
33%
1.2
5779-22
3.0
74%
52%
33%
11.0
67%
2.7
24%
20.0
37%
5
1121.21.7
45%
16CheltenhamCheltenham4654
30%
1.2
4561-16
2.3
59%
46%
28%
8.8
39%
3.5
50%
20.0
35%
3
1111.01.3
43%
17Bristol RvsBristol Rvs4653
30%
1.2
5873-15
2.8
78%
54%
28%
11.1
76%
4.2
65%
23.0
70%
5
2031.31.6
-
18Port ValePort Vale4649
28%
1.1
4871-23
2.6
72%
52%
30%
10.2
61%
3.8
57%
22.4
59%
7
2231.01.5
52%
19OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4956-7
2.3
72%
41%
15%
10.4
61%
4.3
65%
24.7
80%
20
6681.11.2
53%
20CambridgeCambridge4646
28%
1.0
4168-27
2.4
70%
43%
13%
9.3
50%
3.8
61%
21.0
46%
5
2120.91.5
46%
21Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons4645
24%
1.0
4466-22
2.4
63%
37%
24%
9.8
41%
3.5
54%
21.6
50%
15
5731.01.4
53%
22MorecambeMorecambe4644
22%
1.0
4778-31
2.7
76%
52%
30%
10.5
61%
3.5
48%
21.3
52%
0
0001.01.7
42%
23AccringtonAccrington4644
24%
1.0
4077-37
2.5
72%
48%
22%
10.3
63%
4.4
61%
24.8
72%
2
1110.91.7
47%
24Forest GreenForest Green4627
13%
0.6
3189-58
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.0
61%
3.8
57%
21.9
57%
1
0000.71.9
47%
England: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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