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Lions Gibraltar vs College 1975 Result & Analysis

Date: 16/04/2023
Time: 16:30
Final 2-2
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Vs
48%
24%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lions Gibraltar win✗ Miss
47.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
College 1975 win✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L03L02L32W50W25L14L04L00D30WA·LIN02/12H·EUR10/12A·MAG15/12H·MAN20/12A·EUR07/01H·MON28/01A·COL05/02H·MAN12/02H·EUR25/02A·MON11/04
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.382.061.332.221.431.86
vs Stronger (5)0.803.801.003.250.006.00
vs Similar (5)1.201.601.002.001.501.00
vs Weaker (6)2.001.002.500.501.751.25
Clean sheet %31% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L04L02L14L24L11D41W12L14L22DA·EUR03/12H·MAG11/12A·MAN17/12H·ST 21/12H·MAN21/01A·EUR29/01H·LIO05/02A·MON11/02A·MAN04/03H·EUR09/04
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.942.881.253.000.622.75
vs Stronger (12)0.923.251.403.600.573.00
vs Similar (4)1.001.751.002.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %6% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.1%
Under 2.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2 ✓
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
4.5%
Lions Gibraltar goals ↓
College 1975 goals →
01234
04.5%4.1%3.6%1.7%0.6%
15.7%11%6.9%3.3%1.2%
26.4%9.2%6.6%3.2%1.1%
34.1%5.9%4.2%2.0%0.7%
41.9%2.8%2.0%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lions Gibraltar goals (down), columns = College 1975 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
Europa
2.20
Magpies
1.85
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.61
Manchester 62
1.56
St Joseph S Fc
1.50
Lions Gibraltar
1.06
Glacis United
0.65
College 1975
0.50
Europa Point
0.39
Lions Gibraltar is 0.56 points better than College 1975 in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.40
Europa
2.40
Magpies
1.95
Manchester 62
1.89
St Joseph S Fc
1.75
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.56
Lions Gibraltar
1.39
College 1975
1.06
Glacis United
0.95
Europa Point
0.67
Lions Gibraltar is 0.33 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.70
Europa
0.75
Magpies
0.90
St Joseph S Fc
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.39
Lynx
1.45
Manchester 62
1.67
Lions Gibraltar
2.06
Glacis United
2.45
College 1975
2.83
Europa Point
3.61
Lions Gibraltar is 0.78 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.06 vs 2.83).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L00D02L30W12L00D02L00D20WA·LIN02/12H·EUR10/12A·MAG15/12H·MAN20/12A·EUR07/01H·MON28/01A·COL05/02H·MAN12/02H·EUR25/02A·MON11/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.750.560.890.710.57
vs Stronger (5)0.202.000.251.500.004.00
vs Similar (5)0.800.400.670.671.000.00
vs Weaker (6)0.830.001.000.000.750.00
Clean sheet %62% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L00D02L12L00D00D11D01L11DA·EUR03/12H·MAG11/12A·MAN17/12H·ST 21/12H·MAN21/01A·EUR29/01H·LIO05/02A·MON11/02A·MAN04/03H·EUR09/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.251.120.251.120.251.12
vs Stronger (12)0.251.420.201.600.291.29
vs Similar (4)0.250.250.330.330.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L02L30W20W13L14L02L00D10WA·LIN02/12H·EUR10/12A·MAG15/12H·MAN20/12A·EUR07/01H·MON28/01A·COL05/02H·MAN12/02H·EUR25/02A·MON11/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.310.781.330.711.29
vs Stronger (5)0.601.800.751.750.002.00
vs Similar (5)0.401.200.331.330.501.00
vs Weaker (6)1.171.001.500.501.001.25
Clean sheet %38% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L03L02L12L12L11D41W01L13L11DA·EUR03/12H·MAG11/12A·MAN17/12H·ST 21/12H·MAN21/01A·EUR29/01H·LIO05/02A·MON11/02A·MAN04/03H·EUR09/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.691.751.001.880.381.62
vs Stronger (12)0.671.831.202.000.291.71
vs Similar (4)0.751.500.671.671.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %6% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Lions Gibraltar and College 1975 have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and College 1975 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and College 1975 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and College 1975 have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
LG wins
0
Draws
1
C1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lions Gibraltar vs College 1975 · H/A from LG
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/23ACollege 1975 Vs LG4-1
04/11/22HLG Vs College 19755-1

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/23AMons Calpe Vs LG0-3
25/02/23HLG Vs Europa Point0-0
12/02/23HLG Vs Manchester 620-4
05/02/23ACollege 1975 Vs LG4-1
28/01/23HLG Vs Mons Calpe2-5
07/01/23AEuropa Point Vs LG0-5
20/12/22HLG Vs Manchester 623-2
15/12/22AMagpies Vs LG2-0
10/12/22HLG Vs Europa0-3
02/12/22ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs LG6-0

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/23HC1 Vs Europa Point2-2
04/03/23AManchester 62 Vs C14-1
11/02/23AMons Calpe Vs C12-1
05/02/23HC1 Vs Lions Gibraltar4-1
29/01/23AEuropa Point Vs C11-1
21/01/23HC1 Vs Manchester 622-4
21/12/22HC1 Vs St Joseph S Fc1-4
17/12/22AManchester 62 Vs C12-0
11/12/22HC1 Vs Magpies0-4
03/12/22AEuropa Vs C15-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.12
HomeLWLLD1.00
AwayLLWLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%22%43%
AVG goals3.443.563.29
Over 1.5 %75%78%71%
Over 2.5 %62%67%57%
Over 3.5 %50%56%43%
Scored1.381.331.43
Conceded2.062.221.86
BTTS38%56%14%
Clean Sheet31%22%43%
Corners---
Cards---
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD0.50
HomeLLLWD0.88
AwayLLDLL0.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%25%0%
AVG goals3.814.253.38
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %75%88%62%
Over 3.5 %62%88%38%
Scored0.941.250.62
Conceded2.883.002.75
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet6%12%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2052
85%
2.6
6814+54
4.1
90%
85%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.7
-
2EuropaEuropa2044
70%
2.2
4815+33
3.1
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.40.8
-
3MagpiesMagpies2037
55%
1.9
3918+21
2.9
75%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.9
-
4LynxLynx2033
50%
1.6
3329+4
3.1
85%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2030
45%
1.5
3527+8
3.1
85%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.4
-
6Mons CalpeMons Calpe1829
50%
1.6
2825+3
2.9
83%
61%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
7Manchester 62Manchester 621828
50%
1.6
3430+4
3.6
89%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
8Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar1819
28%
1.1
2537-12
3.4
78%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.1
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2013
20%
0.7
1949-30
3.4
75%
60%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.5
-
10College 1975College 1975189
11%
0.5
1951-32
3.9
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.8
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point187
6%
0.4
1265-53
4.3
83%
72%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.6
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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