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Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 3-2
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Vs
56%
21%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Europa Point
Europa Point
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lions Gibraltar win✓ Hit
56.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Europa Point win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D02L03L12L01L03L14L06L11D21WA·MAN26/02H·LYN08/03A·EUR15/03H·MAG05/04A·MAN13/04A·LIN20/04H·EUR25/04A·ST 03/05A·HOU16/08A·LYN23/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.871.622.081.241.71
vs Stronger (14)0.862.501.002.830.752.25
vs Similar (9)1.671.561.751.751.601.40
vs Weaker (7)2.141.002.671.001.751.00
Clean sheet %7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Europa PointEuropa Point

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D03L16L23L02L03L33D07L06L03LH·LYN08/12A·EUR15/12H·ST 22/12A·LIO12/01H·COL05/02A·GLA10/02H·MON21/02A·MAN16/03A·ST 17/08H·HOU24/08
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
3.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.703.070.503.430.882.75
vs Stronger (22)0.823.450.674.110.923.00
vs Similar (7)0.431.860.252.000.671.67
vs Weaker (1)0.003.000.003.00--
Clean sheet %7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.6%
No
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
Lions Gibraltar goals ↓
Europa Point goals →
01234
03.3%2.7%2.5%1.2%0.4%
14.9%8.9%5.7%2.7%0.9%
26.5%9.2%6.5%3.0%1.1%
34.9%6.9%4.9%2.3%0.8%
42.8%3.9%2.8%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lions Gibraltar goals (down), columns = Europa Point goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
Manchester 62
0.77
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Lions Gibraltar is 0.59 points better than Europa Point in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Manchester 62
1.27
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Lions Gibraltar is 0.55 goals better than Europa Point in terms of goals scored per game (1.96 vs 1.41).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Manchester 62
3.59
Lions Gibraltar is 1.14 goals better than Europa Point in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 2.77).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L01L00D02L12L03L01L21WA·MAN26/02H·LYN08/03A·EUR15/03H·MAG05/04A·MAN13/04A·LIN20/04H·EUR25/04A·ST 03/05A·HOU16/08A·LYN23/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.850.690.590.82
vs Stronger (14)0.640.930.830.830.501.00
vs Similar (9)0.780.441.000.250.600.60
vs Weaker (7)0.710.860.671.000.750.75
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Europa PointEuropa Point

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L02L21W00D01L21W03L02L01LH·LYN08/12A·EUR15/12H·ST 22/12A·LIO12/01H·COL05/02A·GLA10/02H·MON21/02A·MAN16/03A·ST 17/08H·HOU24/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.200.291.290.311.12
vs Stronger (22)0.411.360.441.560.381.23
vs Similar (7)0.000.710.000.750.000.67
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L02L11D01L01L02L03L10W00DA·MAN26/02H·LYN08/03A·EUR15/03H·MAG05/04A·MAN13/04A·LIN20/04H·EUR25/04A·ST 03/05A·HOU16/08A·LYN23/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.100.771.380.650.88
vs Stronger (14)0.211.570.172.000.251.25
vs Similar (9)0.891.110.751.501.000.80
vs Weaker (7)1.430.142.000.001.000.25
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Europa PointEuropa Point

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L14L02L02L02L12L04L04L02LH·LYN08/12A·EUR15/12H·ST 22/12A·LIO12/01H·COL05/02A·GLA10/02H·MON21/02A·MAN16/03A·ST 17/08H·HOU24/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.870.212.140.561.62
vs Stronger (22)0.412.090.222.560.541.77
vs Similar (7)0.431.140.251.250.671.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Europa Point have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Europa Point have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Europa Point have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Europa Point have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
LG wins
2
Draws
1
EP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point · H/A from LG
DateH/AGameScore
12/01/25HLG Vs Europa Point3-2
29/09/24AEuropa Point Vs LG1-4
18/02/24AEuropa Point Vs LG0-0
28/10/23HLG Vs Europa Point1-3
25/02/23HLG Vs Europa Point0-0
07/01/23AEuropa Point Vs LG0-5
09/10/22AEuropa Point Vs LG0-1

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25ALynx Vs LG1-2
16/08/25AHound Dogs Vs LG1-1
03/05/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LG6-0
25/04/25HLG Vs Europa1-4
20/04/25ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs LG3-0
13/04/25AManchester 62 Vs LG1-0
05/04/25HLG Vs Magpies1-2
15/03/25AEuropa Vs LG3-0
08/03/25HLG Vs Lynx0-2
26/02/25AManchester 62 Vs LG1-1

Europa PointEuropa Point

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/25HEP Vs Hound Dogs0-3
17/08/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs EP6-0
16/03/25AManchester 62 Vs EP7-0
21/02/25HEP Vs Mons Calpe3-3
10/02/25AGlacis United Vs EP3-0
05/02/25HEP Vs College 19750-2
12/01/25ALions Gibraltar Vs EP3-2
22/12/24HEP Vs St Joseph S Fc1-6
15/12/24AEuropa Vs EP3-0
08/12/24HEP Vs Lynx1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.98
HomeWWLLL1.09
AwayLLLDW0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals3.303.433.19
Over 1.5 %90%87%93%
Over 2.5 %68%65%70%
Over 3.5 %40%52%30%
Scored1.201.261.15
Conceded2.102.172.04
BTTS64%61%67%
Clean Sheet12%13%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Europa Point
Europa Point
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.80
HomeDLLDL0.68
AwayLLLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%16%24%
AVG goals3.383.363.40
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %52%48%56%
Scored0.980.761.20
Conceded2.402.602.20
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2772
85%
2.7
8917+72
3.9
93%
81%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.30.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2763
74%
2.3
9617+79
4.2
81%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0013.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2756
67%
2.1
5321+32
2.7
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.00.8
-
4Mons CalpeMons Calpe2753
63%
2.0
6335+28
3.6
93%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.31.3
-
5Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2743
48%
1.6
5344+9
3.6
89%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.01.6
-
6LynxLynx2734
37%
1.3
3845-7
3.1
70%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
7MagpiesMagpies2228
36%
1.3
2532-7
2.6
68%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
8Europa PointEuropa Point2222
32%
1.0
3161-30
4.2
86%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.8
-
9Manchester 62Manchester 622217
23%
0.8
2879-51
4.9
86%
82%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.6
-
10College 1975College 19752214
14%
0.6
1545-30
2.7
68%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
11Glacis UnitedGlacis United2212
14%
0.5
1857-39
3.4
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.6
-
12Hound DogsHound Dogs228
5%
0.4
1066-56
3.5
91%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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