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Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe Result & Analysis

Date: 19/01/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 0-3
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Vs
37%
22%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lions Gibraltar win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W32W13L21W23L10W01L12L20W70WA·MON05/10H·MAG20/10A·ST 26/10H·GLA31/10A·EUR07/11H·EUR21/11H·LYN01/12A·EUR07/12A·COL22/12H·MAN12/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.702.381.461.241.88
vs Stronger (13)1.462.383.001.331.002.70
vs Similar (8)1.501.121.201.602.000.33
vs Weaker (9)2.331.223.201.401.251.00
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-652W51W03L42W60W21W12L13L40W11DH·LYN19/10A·EUR24/10H·LIN01/11A·MAN08/11H·MAN22/11A·EUR29/11A·MAG06/12H·ST 12/12A·GLA20/12H·HOU11/01
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.931.312.062.571.79
vs Stronger (5)1.002.400.333.002.001.50
vs Similar (15)1.672.201.562.111.832.33
vs Weaker (10)2.701.301.501.253.501.33
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%3%06%115%220%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.6%
Under 1.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.2%
Under 2.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
75.5%
No
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-3
5.0%
3-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
Lions Gibraltar goals ↓
Mons Calpe goals →
01234
02.6%3.0%3.8%2.6%1.3%
12.8%8.0%7.5%5.1%2.6%
23.5%7.2%7.3%5.0%2.6%
32.3%4.7%4.8%3.3%1.7%
41.1%2.3%2.3%1.6%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lions Gibraltar goals (down), columns = Mons Calpe goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
Manchester 62
0.77
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Lions Gibraltar is 0.37 points worse than Mons Calpe in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.96).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Manchester 62
1.27
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Lions Gibraltar is 0.37 goals worse than Mons Calpe in terms of goals scored per game (1.96 vs 2.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Manchester 62
3.59
Lions Gibraltar is 0.33 goals worse than Mons Calpe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.30).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W12L10W12L00D00D00D10W40WA·MON05/10H·MAG20/10A·ST 26/10H·GLA31/10A·EUR07/11H·EUR21/11H·LYN01/12A·EUR07/12A·COL22/12H·MAN12/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.831.310.620.651.00
vs Stronger (13)1.001.231.670.670.801.40
vs Similar (8)0.750.250.800.200.670.33
vs Weaker (9)1.000.781.601.000.250.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W41W02L10W20W11D02L11D10W00DH·LYN19/10A·EUR24/10H·LIN01/11A·MAN08/11H·MAN22/11A·EUR29/11A·MAG06/12H·ST 12/12A·GLA20/12H·HOU11/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.500.811.070.71
vs Stronger (5)0.600.600.331.001.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.531.000.561.000.501.00
vs Weaker (10)1.200.500.500.251.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L01L11D11D10W01L12L10W30WA·MON05/10H·MAG20/10A·ST 26/10H·GLA31/10A·EUR07/11H·EUR21/11H·LYN01/12A·EUR07/12A·COL22/12H·MAN12/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.871.080.850.590.88
vs Stronger (13)0.461.151.330.670.201.30
vs Similar (8)0.750.880.401.401.330.00
vs Weaker (9)1.330.441.600.401.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W01L32W40W10W10W02L30W11DH·LYN19/10A·EUR24/10H·LIN01/11A·MAN08/11H·MAN22/11A·EUR29/11A·MAG06/12H·ST 12/12A·GLA20/12H·HOU11/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.170.811.251.501.07
vs Stronger (5)0.401.800.002.001.001.50
vs Similar (15)1.131.201.001.111.331.33
vs Weaker (10)1.500.801.001.001.830.67
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.2%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes75.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
LG wins
3
Draws
1
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe · H/A from LG
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25AMons Calpe Vs LG0-2
21/12/24AMons Calpe Vs LG0-2
21/09/24HLG Vs Mons Calpe4-2
02/03/24AMons Calpe Vs LG2-2
24/11/23HLG Vs Mons Calpe0-0
11/04/23AMons Calpe Vs LG0-3
28/01/23HLG Vs Mons Calpe2-5
29/10/22HLG Vs Mons Calpe1-1

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/01/26HLG Vs Manchester 627-0
22/12/25ACollege 1975 Vs LG0-2
07/12/25AEuropa Point Vs LG2-1
01/12/25HLG Vs Lynx0-1
21/11/25HLG Vs Europa1-0
07/11/25AEuropa Vs LG3-2
31/10/25HLG Vs Glacis United2-1
26/10/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LG3-1
20/10/25HLG Vs Magpies3-2
05/10/25AMons Calpe Vs LG0-2

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/26HMC Vs Hound Dogs1-1
20/12/25AGlacis United Vs MC0-4
12/12/25HMC Vs St Joseph S Fc1-3
06/12/25AMagpies Vs MC2-1
29/11/25AEuropa Vs MC1-2
22/11/25HMC Vs Manchester 626-0
08/11/25AManchester 62 Vs MC2-4
01/11/25HMC Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-3
24/10/25AEuropa Point Vs MC1-5
19/10/25HMC Vs Lynx5-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.40
HomeWWWLW1.74
AwayWLLLW1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%57%30%
AVG goals3.363.613.15
Over 1.5 %88%83%93%
Over 2.5 %68%70%67%
Over 3.5 %42%52%33%
Scored1.601.911.33
Conceded1.761.701.81
BTTS64%61%67%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.26
HomeWLWLD1.26
AwayWWWLW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%37%39%
AVG goals3.623.194.13
Over 1.5 %92%85%100%
Over 2.5 %74%59%91%
Over 3.5 %50%41%61%
Scored1.741.522.00
Conceded1.881.672.13
BTTS58%44%74%
Clean Sheet22%30%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2772
85%
2.7
8917+72
3.9
93%
81%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.30.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2763
74%
2.3
9617+79
4.2
81%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0013.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2756
67%
2.1
5321+32
2.7
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.00.8
-
4Mons CalpeMons Calpe2753
63%
2.0
6335+28
3.6
93%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.31.3
-
5Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2743
48%
1.6
5344+9
3.6
89%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.01.6
-
6LynxLynx2734
37%
1.3
3845-7
3.1
70%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
7MagpiesMagpies2228
36%
1.3
2532-7
2.6
68%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
8Europa PointEuropa Point2222
32%
1.0
3161-30
4.2
86%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.8
-
9Manchester 62Manchester 622217
23%
0.8
2879-51
4.9
86%
82%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.6
-
10College 1975College 19752214
14%
0.6
1545-30
2.7
68%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
11Glacis UnitedGlacis United2212
14%
0.5
1857-39
3.4
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.6
-
12Hound DogsHound Dogs228
5%
0.4
1066-56
3.5
91%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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