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Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe Prediction & Stats

Date: 27/10/2026
Time: 20:00
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Vs
38%
23%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Lions Gibraltar, unbeaten in their last five, look set to take advantage of their home form, scoring an average of one goal and conceding 1.75 against similarly matched opponents. Mons Calpe, who have averaged 2.12 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road, are expected to keep the game lively. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an average of 3.7 goals, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.5% probability. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 38%, 23% and 38% respectively, making a home win the favoured result. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (96.6%), Under 6.5 (92.1%), Over 1.5 (88.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.5%), Home over 0.5 goals (84.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (83.9%) and Under 5.5 (83.5%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lions Gibraltar win
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe win
38.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L50W51W13L03L11D10W33D11D21WH·LIN19/02A·GLA23/02H·HOU08/03A·MON22/03H·EUR04/04H·LIN11/04A·LYN19/04A·ST 26/04H·MAG22/08A·COL29/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.732.001.571.751.88
vs Stronger (12)1.672.581.671.671.673.50
vs Similar (9)1.221.331.001.751.401.00
vs Weaker (9)2.781.003.501.252.200.80
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W03L20W31W12L32W32W14L12LA·LYN25/01H·EUR09/02A·LIN22/02H·COL04/03H·LIO22/03A·LIN05/04A·LYN12/04H·ST 18/04A·EUR25/04A·ST 28/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.501.791.432.501.56
vs Stronger (7)1.292.291.332.671.252.00
vs Similar (15)2.071.732.001.432.122.00
vs Weaker (8)3.120.381.750.504.500.25
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.9%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.9%
Under 2.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
71.4%
No
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-2
4.4%
Lions Gibraltar goals ↓
Mons Calpe goals →
01234
03.4%3.8%4.3%2.6%1.2%
13.8%9.5%7.9%4.8%2.2%
24.3%7.9%7.2%4.4%2.0%
32.6%4.8%4.4%2.7%1.2%
41.2%2.2%2.0%1.2%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lions Gibraltar goals (down), columns = Mons Calpe goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Lions Gibraltar is 0.37 points worse than Mons Calpe in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Lions Gibraltar is 0.37 goals worse than Mons Calpe in terms of goals scored per game (1.96 vs 2.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Lions Gibraltar is 0.33 goals worse than Mons Calpe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lions Gibraltar or Draw
61.6%
Avg Implied -
38%
23%
38%
covers Lions Gibraltar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar or Mons Calpe
76.6%
Avg Implied -
38%
23%
38%
covers Lions Gibraltar + Mons Calpe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mons Calpe
61.8%
Avg Implied -
38%
23%
38%
covers Draw + Mons Calpe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5
Over
84.0%
Under
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5
Over
54.6%
Under
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5
Over
27.8%
Under
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 3.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5
Over
84.0%
Under
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5
Over
54.7%
Under
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 3.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lions Gibraltar, so a minus line means Lions Gibraltar give that many goals of a start and Mons Calpe receive them. At -1, Lions Gibraltar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lions Gibraltar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lions Gibraltar)
Lions Gibraltar -2
9.0%
Draw -2
11.6%
Mons Calpe +2
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lions Gibraltar)
Lions Gibraltar -1
20.6%
Draw -1
17.6%
Mons Calpe +1
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lions Gibraltar)
Lions Gibraltar +1
61.6%
Draw +1
17.6%
Mons Calpe -1
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lions Gibraltar)
Lions Gibraltar +2
79.3%
Draw +2
11.7%
Mons Calpe -2
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L00D40W31W12L03L10W10W21W20WH·ST 07/02H·LIN19/02A·GLA23/02H·HOU08/03A·MON22/03H·EUR04/04H·LIN11/04A·LYN19/04A·ST 26/04A·COL29/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.931.210.861.191.00
vs Stronger (13)1.001.540.861.141.172.00
vs Similar (8)0.880.500.670.331.000.60
vs Weaker (9)1.780.442.250.751.400.20
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W01L10W21W01L10W11D01L01LA·LYN25/01H·EUR09/02A·LIN22/02H·COL04/03H·LIO22/03A·LIN05/04A·LYN12/04H·ST 18/04A·EUR25/04A·ST 28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.670.790.641.060.69
vs Stronger (7)0.571.000.671.330.500.75
vs Similar (15)0.870.801.000.710.750.88
vs Weaker (8)1.380.120.500.002.250.25
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W20W01L00D01L00D12L01LH·ST 07/02H·LIN19/02A·GLA23/02H·HOU08/03A·MON22/03H·EUR04/04H·LIN11/04A·LYN19/04A·ST 26/04A·COL29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.790.930.560.88
vs Stronger (13)0.621.150.710.860.501.50
vs Similar (8)0.380.880.331.670.400.40
vs Weaker (9)1.000.561.250.500.800.60
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D02L10W10W11D22D21W13L11DA·LYN25/01H·EUR09/02A·LIN22/02H·COL04/03H·LIO22/03A·LIN05/04A·LYN12/04H·ST 18/04A·EUR25/04A·ST 28/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.831.000.791.440.88
vs Stronger (7)0.711.290.671.330.751.25
vs Similar (15)1.200.931.000.711.381.12
vs Weaker (8)1.750.251.250.502.250.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.596.6%-------
Under 6.592.1%-------
Over 1.588.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals88.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals84.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals84.0%-------
Under 5.583.5%-------
Away +2 handicap79.4%-------
Home +2 handicap79.3%-------
Home or Away76.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals72.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals72.1%-------
BTTS Yes71.4%-------
Over 2.570.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Lions Gibraltar and Mons Calpe have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
LG wins
2
Draws
2
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe · H/A from LG
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/26AMons Calpe Vs LG3-1
19/01/26HLG Vs Mons Calpe0-3
05/10/25AMons Calpe Vs LG0-2
21/12/24AMons Calpe Vs LG0-2
21/09/24HLG Vs Mons Calpe4-2
02/03/24AMons Calpe Vs LG2-2
24/11/23HLG Vs Mons Calpe0-0
11/04/23AMons Calpe Vs LG0-3

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ACollege 1975 Vs LG1-2
22/08/26HLG Vs Magpies1-1
26/04/26ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LG3-3
19/04/26ALynx Vs LG0-1
11/04/26HLG Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-1
04/04/26HLG Vs Europa0-3
22/03/26AMons Calpe Vs LG3-1
08/03/26HLG Vs Hound Dogs5-1
23/02/26AGlacis United Vs LG0-5
19/02/26HLG Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-2

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MC2-1
25/04/26AEuropa Vs MC4-1
18/04/26HMC Vs St Joseph S Fc3-2
12/04/26ALynx Vs MC2-3
05/04/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MC2-1
22/03/26HMC Vs Lions Gibraltar3-1
04/03/26HMC Vs College 19752-0
22/02/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MC3-0
09/02/26HMC Vs Europa Point2-1
25/01/26ALynx Vs MC1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.36
HomeLWLDD1.38
AwayWLWDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals3.483.713.27
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %70%75%65%
Over 3.5 %42%50%35%
Scored1.681.831.54
Conceded1.801.881.73
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet14%8%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.38
HomeDWWWW1.40
AwayLLWLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals3.663.244.08
Over 1.5 %94%88%100%
Over 2.5 %80%64%96%
Over 3.5 %48%40%56%
Scored1.801.562.04
Conceded1.861.682.04
BTTS58%48%68%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1EuropaEuropa24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.01.0
-
2MagpiesMagpies24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.5
-
3Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.0
-
4Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.0
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.01.0
-
6Hound DogsHound Dogs11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
7College 1975College 197521
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.5
-
8LynxLynx21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
10Europa PointEuropa Point21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
11Mons CalpeMons Calpe10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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