Livyi Bereh is the clear favourite to win against Kudrivka, with a 63% chance of a home win. This is largely due to Kudrivka's struggles on the road, particularly against stronger opponents, where they have conceded an average of 2.18 goals. Meanwhile, Livyi Bereh has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 1-0 win over Oleksandria.
The model predicts a 24% chance of a draw and a 13% chance of an away win for Kudrivka. The expected total number of goals is 2.5, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.3% probability.
Livyi Bereh has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.88 goals and conceding just 0.38 goals at home. In contrast, Kudrivka's away form is concerning, scoring only 0.73 goals and conceding 2.18 goals when facing stronger opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with suggested picks including Over 21.5 fouls (87.7%), Under 3.5 (74.7% with a 2% edge), and Over 1.5 (73.3% with a 3% edge). The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 63%, 24%, and 13% respectively.
The draw between Livyi Bereh and Kudrivka extends Livyi Bereh's unbeaten run to six matches, having previously drawn with Kudrivka in their last encounter. The match ended 0-0, defying the model's prediction of a home win, which it had forecast with a 54% probability. The model's selection was incorrect, as the actual result was a draw. The suggested picks included Under 3.5, which hit with a 76.3% probability, and Over 1.5, which missed with a 71.9% probability.
Livyi Bereh| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.63 | 0.63 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1.27 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.94 | 0.59 | 2.00 | 0.56 | 1.88 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (13) | 1.23 | 0.69 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
Kudrivka| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 1.70 | 1.07 | 1.36 | 0.81 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.93 | 2.29 | 1.14 | 1.86 | 0.71 | 2.71 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.94 | 1.19 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 1.44 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-16pp vs league) | |||||
| Kudrivka goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12% | 13% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Livyi Bereh
Kudrivka
Livyi Bereh| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.2 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 27.5 | 30.0 | 25.5 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 9.8 | 9.5 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 25.8 | 29.0 | 22.5 |
| vs Similar (32) | 8.9 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 28.6 | 30.7 | 27.0 |
| vs Weaker (14) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 45% | 40% | 50% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| % under line | 55% | 60% | 50% | 88% | 92% | 84% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Kudrivka| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.4 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 25.1 | 24.3 | 26.4 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 7.9 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 24.0 | 22.8 | 26.0 |
| vs Similar (35) | 10.4 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 25.9 | 25.4 | 26.6 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 40% | 42% | 38% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| % under line | 60% | 58% | 62% | 80% | 74% | 85% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
Livyi Bereh| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.30 | 1.13 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.00 | 0.29 | 1.22 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| vs Weaker (13) | 0.54 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| Clean sheet % | 77% (+44pp vs league) | |||||
Kudrivka| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.37 | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.36 | 1.14 | 0.29 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+11pp vs league) | |||||
Livyi Bereh| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.33 | 0.87 | 0.27 | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 0.94 | 0.29 | 0.78 | 0.22 | 1.12 | 0.38 |
| vs Weaker (13) | 0.69 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Clean sheet % | 73% (+41pp vs league) | |||||
Kudrivka| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.93 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.56 | 1.19 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.57 | 1.14 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 0.29 | 1.71 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.29 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 85.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 cards | 80.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 76.3% | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.25 | +3.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 73.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 73.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 72.5% | 1.22 | 1.30 | 1.19 | 1.17 | - | - | -2.4% | - |
| Over 1.5 | 71.9% | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.29 | +1.2% | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Livyi Bereh| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 05/06/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 01/06/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 22/05/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 24/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 13/04/26 | H | 3-0 |
Kudrivka| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 09/06/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 05/06/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 18/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Karpaty | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 49% |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 2.8 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 186 | 115 | 19 | 52 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 68% |
| 3 | Polessya | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 57% |
| 4 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2.0 | 75% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 48% |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 56% |
| 6 | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 91 | 32 | 26 | 33 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 62% |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 52% |
| 8 | Bukovyna | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 9 | Veres Rivne | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1.2 | 25% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 43% |
| 10 | Kryvbas KR | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 11 | LNZ Cherkasy | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 44% |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 3 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1.3 | 67% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 58% |
| 13 | Chornomorets | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | - |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0.8 | 25% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 42% |
| 15 | Kudrivka | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 49% |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.7 | 67% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 49% |