Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring encounter as LNZ Cherkasy, who have kept a clean sheet in their last five matches, host Veres Rivne, who have struggled to keep opponents from scoring. The model favours a home win, with a 53% chance, a 32% draw probability and a 15% chance of an away victory. The expected total is 1.9 goals, centring on the most likely total of two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for LNZ Cherkasy, with a 19.1% chance.
LNZ Cherkasy’s home form shows an average of 1.8 goals scored and none conceded against weaker opposition, while Veres Rivne, playing away against stronger teams, average only 0.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4%), Under 5.5 with a 7% edge (98.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (98.0%) and Home +2 handicap (96.2%).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, LNZ Cherkasy, failed to deliver as the match ended 0-1 in favour of Veres Rivne, a result that shocked the model’s prediction. The model had called a home win with a 53% probability, but the outcome proved wrong. The final score was 0-1, confirming the away win. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 99.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, Under 5.5 at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 goals at 98.0%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and every pick was reported with its outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
LNZ Cherkasy win✗ Miss
53.5%
Avg Implied 66.6% · @ 1.38
Edge
-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.14
Edge
+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.57
Dafabet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Pinnacle
4.11
Veres Rivne win✓ Hit
15.0%
Avg Implied 11.3% · @ 8.13
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
9.20
Dafabet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
8.70
William Hil
8.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
LNZ Cherkasy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.29
0.50
1.25
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
vs Similar (15)
0.93
0.87
1.00
0.71
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.70
0.20
1.80
0.00
1.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Veres Rivne) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veres Rivne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.30
1.07
1.43
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
1.81
0.43
1.86
0.56
1.78
vs Similar (14)
1.36
0.71
1.71
1.00
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.5%
@ 1.34-12.4%
Under 1.5
43.5%
@ 2.97+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.12
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.4%
@ 2.07-16.6%
Under 2.5
71.6%
@ 1.69+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.17
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
Under
1xBet
1.77
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.8%
@ 3.64-13.6%
Under 3.5
88.2%
@ 1.24+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.55
Under
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
32.3%
@ 2.38-6.3%
No
67.7%
@ 1.50+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
William Hil
2.38
No
William Hil
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
19.1%@ 4.86+11.1%
0-0
16.8%@ 8.40+12.2%
2-0
13.1%@ 5.16+5.6%
1-1
12.5%@ 7.96+7.6%
0-1 ✓
7.7%@ 15.69+5.2%
2-1
7.4%@ 8.04+2.5%
3-0
5.6%@ 7.96+0.8%
1-2
3.2%@ 25.23+1.7%
LNZ Cherkasy goals ↓
Veres Rivne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
7.7%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
19%
13%
3.2%
0.6%
0.1%
2
13%
7.4%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
5.6%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = LNZ Cherkasy goals (down), columns = Veres Rivne goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Livyi Bereh
2.00
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Polessya
1.97
Dynamo Kyiv
1.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.70
Kolos Kovalivka
1.63
Kryvbas KR
1.60
Zorya Luhansk
1.53
Karpaty
1.37
Chornomorets
1.36
Bukovyna
1.29
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.03
Obolon'-Brovar
0.97
Kudrivka
0.94
LNZ Cherkasy is 0.97 points better than Veres Rivne in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.20
Kryvbas KR
1.77
Polessya
1.70
Zorya Luhansk
1.40
Karpaty
1.33
LNZ Cherkasy
1.30
Chornomorets
1.23
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.20
Bukovyna
1.17
Kudrivka
1.06
Kolos Kovalivka
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Veres Rivne
0.87
Obolon'-Brovar
0.86
LNZ Cherkasy is 0.43 goals better than Veres Rivne in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.87).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy
0.57
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.63
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Polessya
0.70
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Karpaty
1.03
Zorya Luhansk
1.20
Dynamo Kyiv
1.20
Chornomorets
1.24
Bukovyna
1.30
Veres Rivne
1.33
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.50
Kryvbas KR
1.53
Kudrivka
1.56
Obolon'-Brovar
1.69
LNZ Cherkasy is 0.77 goals better than Veres Rivne in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
68%
Dynamo Kyiv
62%
Livyi Bereh
58%
Polessya
57%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
52%
Kolos Kovalivka
49%
Kudrivka
49%
Karpaty
49%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
48%
Kryvbas KR
48%
LNZ Cherkasy
44%
Veres Rivne
43%
Obolon'-Brovar
42%
LNZ Cherkasy is 1.3 percentage points better than Veres Rivne in terms of average possession (44% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
LNZ Cherkasy
For 4.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 8.9 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Veres Rivne
For 4.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
LNZ Cherkasy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.6
9.3
2.4
2.2
2.5
22.1
21.5
22.8
vs Stronger (7)
10.0
11.0
9.5
1.4
0.5
2.7
16.7
15.0
17.5
vs Similar (25)
9.9
9.5
10.3
2.7
3.2
2.2
21.4
20.5
22.7
vs Weaker (18)
7.4
6.2
8.2
2.2
1.6
2.7
24.8
25.0
24.7
% over line
44%
46%
43%
30%
29%
31%
56%
54%
57%
% under line
56%
54%
57%
70%
71%
69%
44%
46%
43%
This opponent (Veres Rivne) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veres Rivne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
22.0
26.3
19.9
vs Stronger (26)
10.7
9.2
11.6
1.4
1.3
1.5
19.9
25.2
16.9
vs Similar (24)
9.9
11.0
9.4
1.7
1.8
1.6
24.4
27.7
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
43%
71%
16%
18%
14%
52%
86%
36%
% under line
38%
57%
29%
84%
82%
86%
48%
14%
64%
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zorya Luhansk
10.5
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.8
Veres Rivne
9.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.7
Polessya
9.5
Kudrivka
9.4
Livyi Bereh
9.2
Obolon'-Brovar
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
Chornomorets
8.8
Kolos Kovalivka
8.6
Karpaty
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Karpaty
4.9
Obolon'-Brovar
4.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.4
Chornomorets
4.4
Livyi Bereh
4.4
Polessya
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
4.1
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Kolos Kovalivka
3.9
Kudrivka
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.9
Livyi Bereh
26.2
Kudrivka
25.1
Kryvbas KR
24.6
Karpaty
24.2
Kolos Kovalivka
24.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
23.7
LNZ Cherkasy
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.8
Chornomorets
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dynamo Kyiv
21.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.2
Polessya
20.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.1%
@ 2.00+1.6%
Under 9.5
51.9%
@ 1.73-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Under
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
45.1%
Under 21.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
LNZ Cherkasy or Draw✗ Miss
85.0%
Avg Implied 88.1% · @ 1.06
Edge
-3.1%
53%
32%
15%
covers LNZ Cherkasy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
LNZ Cherkasy or Veres Rivne✓ Hit
68.5%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.18
Edge
-10.4%
53%
32%
15%
covers LNZ Cherkasy + Veres Rivne
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw or Veres Rivne✓ Hit
46.5%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.82
Edge
+13.5%
53%
32%
15%
covers Draw + Veres Rivne
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Betano
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.6%
@ 1.13-9.9%
Under
27.4%
@ 5.28+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.70
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.1%
@ 1.67-18.3%
Under
62.9%
@ 2.08+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 3.13-15.5%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.32+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.93
Under
1xBet
1.37
Betfair
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 6.65-9.7%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.08+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Veres Rivne over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
43.0%
@ 2.11-0.8%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.65+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Veres Rivne over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 6.80-2.7%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.42
Superbet
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Veres Rivne over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 18.50-98.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Veres Rivne over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to LNZ Cherkasy, so a minus line means LNZ Cherkasy give that many goals of a start and Veres Rivne receive them. At -1, LNZ Cherkasy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal LNZ Cherkasy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (LNZ Cherkasy)Actual: Veres Rivne
LNZ Cherkasy -2
9.5%
@ 4.07-11.9%
Draw -2
16.6%
@ 3.85-6.1%
Veres Rivne +2
73.9%
@ 1.56+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.98
Unibet
3.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.25
Away
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.47
Handicap -1 (LNZ Cherkasy)Actual: Veres Rivne
LNZ Cherkasy -1
26.1%
@ 2.12-15.4%
Draw -1
27.4%
@ 3.13-0.7%
Veres Rivne +1
46.5%
@ 2.89+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.05
Draw
Marathonbet
3.26
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Unibet
2.70
Away
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
Unibet
2.55
Handicap +1 (LNZ Cherkasy)Actual: Draw
LNZ Cherkasy +1
85.0%
@ 1.07-2.9%
Draw +1
11.3%
@ 11.00+2.7%
Veres Rivne -1
3.8%
@ 26.00+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
Handicap +2 (LNZ Cherkasy)Actual: LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy +2
96.2%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Draw +2
3.1%
@ 34.00+0.3%
Veres Rivne -2
0.6%
@ 101.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.01
Draw
Bet365
34.00
Away
Bet365
101.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
LNZ Cherkasy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.27
0.64
0.36
0.38
0.19
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.40
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.27
0.33
0.29
0.43
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.10
1.00
0.00
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Veres Rivne) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veres Rivne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.60
0.14
0.71
0.38
0.50
vs Stronger (16)
0.12
0.81
0.00
0.86
0.22
0.78
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.36
0.29
0.57
0.57
0.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.42+2.8%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 2.64-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.73
Pinnacle
2.66
10Bet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 3.02+3.9%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.34-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.99
Under
1xBet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 7.60+0.6%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.06-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Under
1xBet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.9%
@ 1.65-0.2%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.12+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.57
Under
1xBet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 4.17-4.6%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.18+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veres Rivne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.3%
@ 3.73+7.6%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.22-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.75
Betano
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Under
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Veres Rivne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veres Rivne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
LNZ Cherkasy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.64
0.14
0.88
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.53
0.71
0.29
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.10
0.80
0.00
1.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Veres Rivne) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veres Rivne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.93
0.71
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
1.00
0.43
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.36
1.43
0.43
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.7%
@ 1.29+2.4%
Under 0.5
25.3%
@ 3.36-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.57
Marathonbet
3.44
William Hil
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.4%
@ 2.28-1.5%
Under 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.57+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.40
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Under
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
William Hil
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 5.23-2.1%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.13+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.35
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.85
Under
1xBet
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.2%
@ 1.48-1.6%
Under
38.8%
@ 2.48+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.37
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.9%
@ 3.02-5.7%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.33+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 7.90-4.6%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.04+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Under
1xBet
1.04
Veres Rivne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 3.13+6.8%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.31-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
2.95
Under
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Veres Rivne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veres Rivne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
89.0%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
88.2%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
+13.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.06
1xBet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.9%
1.32
1xBet
1.37
Betfair
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
+15.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.0%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-3.1%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
85.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-2.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.13
1xBet
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.6%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.0%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
+0.3%
-
Under 4.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.9%
1.56
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.47
-
+18.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.6%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.10
-9.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
71.6%
1.69
1xBet
1.77
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
+16.6%
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
LNZ Cherkasy · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mark Assinor35%
Illia Putria25%
Prosper Obah25%
Muharrem Jashari23%
Denys Kuzyk16%
Shota Nonikashvili15%
Danylo Kravchuk12%
Artur Ryabov11%
Yehor Tverdokhlib11%
Nazariy Muravskyi6%
Yevhenii Pastukh6%
Hennadii Pasich5%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleg Horin0%
Roman Didyk0%
Oleksandr Drambaev0%
Ajdi Dajko0%
Abdul Awudu0%
Artur Mykytyshyn0%
Jewison Bennette0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shota Nonikashvili31%
Oleg Horin29%
Mark Assinor29%
Nazariy Muravskyi18%
Denys Kuzyk16%
Muharrem Jashari15%
Roman Didyk15%
Prosper Obah12%
Yevhenii Pastukh12%
Artur Ryabov11%
Yehor Tverdokhlib11%
Oleksandr Drambaev6%
Danylo Kravchuk6%
Hennadii Pasich5%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Illia Putria0%
Ajdi Dajko0%
Abdul Awudu0%
Artur Mykytyshyn0%
Jewison Bennette0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Prosper Obah25%
Yehor Tverdokhlib22%
Denys Kuzyk21%
Muharrem Jashari15%
Mark Assinor12%
Yevhenii Pastukh12%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi11%
Oleg Horin6%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Artur Ryabov0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Illia Putria0%
Roman Didyk0%
Oleksandr Drambaev0%
Ajdi Dajko0%
Nazariy Muravskyi0%
Shota Nonikashvili0%
Abdul Awudu0%
Danylo Kravchuk0%
Artur Mykytyshyn0%
Jewison Bennette0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Prosper Obah38%
Illia Putria25%
Muharrem Jashari23%
Roman Didyk15%
Oleg Horin12%
Mark Assinor12%
Danylo Kravchuk6%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Artur Ryabov0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Denys Kuzyk0%
Oleksandr Drambaev0%
Ajdi Dajko0%
Nazariy Muravskyi0%
Shota Nonikashvili0%
Abdul Awudu0%
Yehor Tverdokhlib0%
Artur Mykytyshyn0%
Jewison Bennette0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Veres Rivne · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mykhailo Protasevych25%
Vladyslav Sharay18%
Vitaliy Boyko8%
Giorgi Kutsia0%
Igor Kharatin0%
Dmytro Klyots0%
Rostyslav Taranukha0%
Roman Honcharenko0%
Kai Cipot0%
Konstantinos Stamoulis0%
Valerii Kucherov0%
Valentyn Horokh0%
Semen Vovchenko0%
Denys Ndukve0%
Serhii Sten0%
Wesley Pomba0%
Maksym Smiyan0%
Eren Aydın0%
André Gonçalves0%
Fabrício Yan0%
Dmytro Godya0%
Sergiy Korniychuk0%
Guilherme Bahia0%
Ignat Pushkutsa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgi Kutsia33%
Dmytro Godya33%
Sergiy Korniychuk33%
Igor Kharatin27%
Rostyslav Taranukha25%
André Gonçalves25%
Dmytro Klyots22%
Semen Vovchenko20%
Fabrício Yan20%
Guilherme Bahia20%
Vladyslav Sharay18%
Vitaliy Boyko17%
Wesley Pomba17%
Serhii Sten14%
Roman Honcharenko11%
Denys Ndukve11%
Valentyn Horokh8%
Kai Cipot0%
Konstantinos Stamoulis0%
Valerii Kucherov0%
Maksym Smiyan0%
Eren Aydın0%
Mykhailo Protasevych0%
Ignat Pushkutsa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eren Aydın20%
Maksym Smiyan9%
Giorgi Kutsia0%
Igor Kharatin0%
Dmytro Klyots0%
Vladyslav Sharay0%
Rostyslav Taranukha0%
Roman Honcharenko0%
Kai Cipot0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Konstantinos Stamoulis0%
Valerii Kucherov0%
Valentyn Horokh0%
Semen Vovchenko0%
Denys Ndukve0%
Serhii Sten0%
Wesley Pomba0%
André Gonçalves0%
Fabrício Yan0%
Mykhailo Protasevych0%
Dmytro Godya0%
Sergiy Korniychuk0%
Guilherme Bahia0%
Ignat Pushkutsa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rostyslav Taranukha25%
Mykhailo Protasevych25%
Vladyslav Sharay18%
Wesley Pomba17%
Serhii Sten14%
Denys Ndukve11%
Igor Kharatin9%
Giorgi Kutsia0%
Dmytro Klyots0%
Roman Honcharenko0%
Kai Cipot0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Konstantinos Stamoulis0%
Valerii Kucherov0%
Valentyn Horokh0%
Semen Vovchenko0%
Maksym Smiyan0%
Eren Aydın0%
André Gonçalves0%
Fabrício Yan0%
Dmytro Godya0%
Sergiy Korniychuk0%
Guilherme Bahia0%
Ignat Pushkutsa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
BUK (25)
€9m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
KUD (24)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
LNZ Cherkasy's squad is €13m more valuable than Veres Rivne's (€20m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
LNZ Cherkasy's attack is €6m more valuable than Veres Rivne's (€8m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KAR (5)
€2m
KK (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
LNZ Cherkasy's midfield is €4m more valuable than Veres Rivne's (€5m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LNZ Cherkasy's defence is €4m more valuable than Veres Rivne's (€7m vs €4m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Bukovyna
Kryvbas KR
Livyi Bereh
Chornomorets
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
Kolos Kovalivka