This opponent (Leganes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.17
1.13
1.20
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.18
0.83
1.50
0.80
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.88
1.12
1.12
1.00
0.67
1.22
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.0%
Under 1.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.0%
@ 2.65+1.6%
Under 2.5
63.0%
@ 1.45-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.8%
No
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.1%
2-0
13.0%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
6.6%
0-1 ✓
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
Logrones goals ↓
Leganes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
6.4%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
3.8%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
8.6%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
6.6%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.5%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Logrones goals (down), columns = Leganes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Logrones is 0.69 points worse than Leganes in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Logrones is 0.55 goals worse than Leganes in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Logrones is 0.50 goals worse than Leganes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
L
Logrones
For 6.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 16.8 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leganes
For 4.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 14.9 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
L
Logrones
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (4)
11.2
12.5
10.0
3.5
3.5
3.5
32.0
32.0
32.0
vs Stronger (4)
11.2
12.5
10.0
3.5
3.5
3.5
32.0
32.0
32.0
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
75%
100%
50%
50%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
25%
0%
50%
50%
50%
50%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Leganes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.9
8.8
5.8
6.0
5.7
29.2
28.9
29.5
vs Stronger (21)
8.7
7.8
9.6
5.8
5.4
6.2
28.4
28.9
27.8
vs Similar (27)
8.1
8.1
8.1
5.9
6.4
5.4
30.3
29.4
31.2
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
5.5
6.0
5.0
23.0
22.0
24.0
% over line
40%
31%
50%
78%
77%
79%
88%
81%
96%
% under line
60%
69%
50%
22%
23%
21%
12%
19%
4%
This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
11.4
Logrones
11.2
Sabadell
10.0
Lugo
9.8
Mirandes
9.7
Mallorca
9.4
Zaragoza
9.2
FC Cartagena
9.2
Oviedo
9.1
Espanyol
9.1
Malaga
9.1
Rayo Vallecano
9.0
Albacete
9.0
Almeria
8.9
Las Palmas
8.9
Sporting Gijon
8.7
Alcorcon
8.5
Tenerife
8.4
Ponferradina
8.4
Leganes
8.3
Fuenlabrada
8.3
Girona
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Las Palmas
6.5
Albacete
6.5
FC Cartagena
6.4
Fuenlabrada
6.3
Alcorcon
6.0
Girona
6.0
Oviedo
5.9
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Leganes
5.8
Mallorca
5.8
Ponferradina
5.8
Malaga
5.6
Lugo
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Tenerife
5.6
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Mirandes
5.2
Zaragoza
5.1
Espanyol
4.9
Castellón
4.6
Sabadell
3.8
Logrones
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
33.4
Oviedo
33.2
Alcorcon
33.0
Fuenlabrada
32.7
Rayo Vallecano
32.6
Ponferradina
32.5
Almeria
32.1
Logrones
32.0
Girona
31.8
Las Palmas
31.6
Malaga
30.4
Sporting Gijon
30.3
FC Cartagena
30.0
Tenerife
29.6
Lugo
29.4
Leganes
29.2
Mirandes
29.1
Mallorca
28.8
Espanyol
28.1
Sabadell
28.0
Zaragoza
27.7
Castellón
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.5%
Under 3.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.8%
Under 21.5
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
L
Logrones
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+69pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
0.64
0.33
0.83
0.00
0.40
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.59
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Logrones over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
L
Logrones
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.55
0.50
0.67
0.80
0.40
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.53
0.62
0.50
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Logrones over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Leganes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Atienza33%
Ismael Gharbi33%
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ignasi Miquel33%
Álex Millán33%
Marvel33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →