This match is expected to be a closely contested home win for Lokeren-Temse. The home side has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 2-0 win over Seraing United. Meanwhile, AS Eupen is coming off a win but has a mixed recent form. Lokeren-Temse is the favourite to win with a 42% chance, followed by a 27% draw probability and a 31% chance of an AS Eupen win.
The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability.
At home, Lokeren-Temse has averaged 2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match against similar opponents. Away from home, AS Eupen has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with the following other selections: Over 21.5 fouls (87%), Over 1.5 (80% with a 5% edge), and Home or Away (72%). The home win percentage is 42%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 31%.
Results analysis
Lokeren-Temse’s 2-1 victory over AS Eupen extended their two-game winning run, confirming the model’s pre-match pick of a home win with a 43 % probability. The final score matched the predicted outcome, and the model’s choice was correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.2 %; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 %; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0 %; Under 6.5 hit at 97.6 %; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.1 %; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.1 %; Under 5.5 hit at 93.5 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every pick’s outcome was noted without repetition.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lokeren-Temse win✓ Hit
43.5%
Avg Implied 49.5% · @ 1.85
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.25
Dafabet
1.89
Unibet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.66
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.04
Dafabet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Bet365
3.70
AS Eupen win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.62
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.79
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lokeren-Temse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.23
1.93
1.50
1.31
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
2.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.70
1.30
2.09
1.45
1.33
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.20
1.60
1.13
1.27
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
2.67
1.00
2.00
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.44
1.04
1.62
1.00
1.25
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
@ 1.21+3.9%
Under 1.5
19.6%
@ 3.95-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.21
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.5%
@ 1.71+2.0%
Under 2.5
43.5%
@ 2.05-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.1%
@ 2.79+1.0%
Under 3.5
65.9%
@ 1.38-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
888Sport
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.1%
@ 1.63+3.3%
No
39.9%
@ 2.14-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betfair
1.62
William Hil
1.62
No
888Sport
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 6.34+5.6%
2-1 ✓
9.2%@ 7.57+3.5%
1-2
7.5%@ 10.47+3.3%
1-0
7.4%@ 7.68+1.8%
2-0
6.9%@ 9.05+2.2%
0-0
6.4%@ 11.27+2.5%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.44+2.3%
0-1
5.8%@ 10.61+1.7%
Lokeren-Temse goals ↓
AS Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.8%
4.6%
2.0%
0.7%
1
7.4%
12%
7.5%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.2%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.8%
5.0%
3.3%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokeren-Temse goals (down), columns = AS Eupen goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
Lokeren-Temse is 0.16 points worse than AS Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
Lokeren-Temse is 0.12 goals better than AS Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
Lokeren-Temse is 0.28 goals worse than AS Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Lokeren-Temse is 3.0 percentage points better than AS Eupen in terms of average possession (54% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lokeren-Temse
For 7.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Eupen
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 12.6 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokeren-Temse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.1
12.1
3.7
4.4
3.1
28.2
28.5
27.9
vs Stronger (4)
9.0
9.0
-
3.0
6.0
0.0
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (40)
11.2
10.4
12.1
3.7
4.0
3.4
28.8
28.3
29.2
vs Weaker (6)
10.8
9.0
12.0
4.5
7.0
3.2
26.0
31.5
22.3
% over line
60%
58%
62%
52%
54%
50%
89%
84%
94%
% under line
40%
42%
38%
48%
46%
50%
11%
16%
6%
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.2
3.5
3.0
24.9
25.6
24.1
vs Stronger (7)
12.4
11.0
13.3
3.7
3.7
3.8
22.4
23.5
21.7
vs Similar (41)
9.7
9.7
9.8
3.1
3.4
2.7
25.7
25.8
25.5
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
20.0
26.0
14.0
% over line
54%
57%
50%
36%
38%
33%
73%
76%
69%
% under line
46%
43%
50%
64%
62%
67%
27%
24%
31%
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.8
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.6
Club Brugge II
9.5
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Patro Eisden
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
Liège
4.6
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.3
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.2
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.5
Club Brugge II
26.9
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.8
Beerschot VA
24.3
Dender
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.6%
@ 1.62-3.4%
Under 9.5
46.4%
@ 2.15+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.56
Under
Unibet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.08
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.2%
Under 3.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.3%
Under 21.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokeren-Temse or Draw✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
-12.2%
43%
26%
30%
covers Lokeren-Temse + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Lokeren-Temse or AS Eupen✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.8%
43%
26%
30%
covers Lokeren-Temse + AS Eupen
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or AS Eupen✗ Miss
65.9%
Avg Implied 50.8% · @ 1.83
Edge
+15.1%
43%
26%
30%
covers Draw + AS Eupen
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
888Sport
1.91
William Hil
1.91
BetVictor
1.87
Superbet
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.1%
@ 1.17-5.3%
Under
25.9%
@ 4.50+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.2%
@ 1.82-11.7%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.89+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
BetVictor
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.91
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 3.60-10.2%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.25+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Lokeren-Temse over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 7.55-7.6%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.07+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
7.50
Betano
6.90
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
AS Eupen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.4%
@ 1.37+8.7%
Under
23.6%
@ 2.87-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
AS Eupen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.3%
@ 2.79+9.1%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.39-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.98
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.87
Under
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
AS Eupen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 6.94+4.3%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.08-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Under
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
AS Eupen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 18.50+0.7%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lokeren-Temse, so a minus line means Lokeren-Temse give that many goals of a start and AS Eupen receive them. At -1, Lokeren-Temse must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokeren-Temse win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: AS Eupen
Lokeren-Temse -2
5.7%
@ 6.79-7.5%
Draw -2
10.2%
@ 5.54-5.9%
AS Eupen +2
84.1%
@ 1.26+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
6.75
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.10
Away
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: Draw
Lokeren-Temse -1
15.9%
@ 3.51-9.6%
Draw -1
18.2%
@ 3.77-5.4%
AS Eupen +1
65.9%
@ 1.76+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Away
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.57
Handicap +1 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: Lokeren-Temse
Lokeren-Temse +1
61.8%
@ 1.30-7.6%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 5.08+1.8%
AS Eupen -1
18.7%
@ 7.01+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
Marathonbet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
8.30
Unibet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: Lokeren-Temse
Lokeren-Temse +2
81.3%
@ 1.08-4.5%
Draw +2
11.6%
@ 10.00+2.4%
AS Eupen -2
7.0%
@ 19.00+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lokeren-Temse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.64
0.71
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.61
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.80
0.60
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.52
0.85
0.54
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.7%
@ 1.31-2.0%
Under 0.5
31.3%
@ 3.16+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.31
BetVictor
3.25
Marathonbet
3.25
1xBet
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.5%
@ 2.48-4.8%
Under 1.5
67.5%
@ 1.47+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Pinnacle
2.59
Superbet
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Under
BetVictor
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 5.92-3.7%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.09+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
Under
Betfair
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.2%
@ 1.74-8.9%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.98+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 4.84-6.3%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.14+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 13.25-5.1%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
AS Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 2.27+1.3%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.57-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.23
Under
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
Betano
1.53
AS Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 7.71-0.3%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.05+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Betano
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
AS Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 17.12-3.8%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.25
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lokeren-Temse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.29
0.79
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.70
1.36
0.73
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.53
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.52
0.77
0.46
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.05
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.09
Betfair
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.9%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.14
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.1%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
-
+13.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.3%
1.08
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.3%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.4%
1.21
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
888Sport
1.22
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.4%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.1%
1.17
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.3%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
1.46
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
+7.1%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lokeren-Temse · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vancy Mabanza78%
Radja Nainggolan44%
Mohamed Soumaré29%
Sumaila Wasiu25%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sebastiaan Brebels11%
Sam Van Aerschot10%
Toon Janssen10%
Jordi Palacios8%
Rune Van Den Bergh8%
Indy Boonen6%
Iñaki Elejalde5%
Diego Camara5%
Tom Boere0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Naïm Boujouh0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Jeovanni Dianganga0%
Tein Troost0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
Matias Lloci0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeovanni Dianganga46%
Toon Janssen45%
Diego Camara35%
Jarno Vervaque29%
Maxime Pau29%
Sumaila Wasiu25%
Naïm Boujouh23%
Rune Van Den Bergh23%
Vancy Mabanza22%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sam Van Aerschot20%
Mohamed Soumaré19%
Sebastiaan Brebels16%
Matias Lloci16%
Jonas Vinck14%
Radja Nainggolan11%
Jordi Palacios8%
Andreas Spegelaere8%
Tein Troost8%
Iñaki Elejalde5%
Indy Boonen0%
Tom Boere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Soumaré24%
Toon Janssen20%
Sebastiaan Brebels16%
Jonas Vinck14%
Anisse Brrou13%
Jordi Palacios12%
Radja Nainggolan11%
Andreas Spegelaere8%
Naïm Boujouh8%
Jeovanni Dianganga8%
Rune Van Den Bergh8%
Tom Boere6%
Matias Lloci5%
Indy Boonen0%
Sam Van Aerschot0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Iñaki Elejalde0%
Diego Camara0%
Tein Troost0%
Sumaila Wasiu0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Vancy Mabanza0%
Yben Baert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vancy Mabanza56%
Radja Nainggolan33%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sumaila Wasiu12%
Iñaki Elejalde11%
Jordi Palacios8%
Matias Lloci5%
Sam Van Aerschot5%
Mohamed Soumaré5%
Indy Boonen0%
Sebastiaan Brebels0%
Tom Boere0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Naïm Boujouh0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Diego Camara0%
Jeovanni Dianganga0%
Toon Janssen0%
Tein Troost0%
Rune Van Den Bergh0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
AS Eupen · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isaac Nuhu27%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet25%
Daniel Kasper22%
Zakaria Atteri20%
Yoram Zague14%
Kevin Möhwald11%
Nathan Bitumazala11%
Merveille Bokadi9%
Kikas9%
Bertan Caliskan6%
Scott Kennedy6%
Nicolas Gavory6%
Yentl Van Genechten5%
Mark Müller5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Oriol Busquets0%
Igor Plastun0%
Marco Hiller0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Amadou Keita0%
Lorenzo Youndje0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Möhwald39%
Igor Plastun25%
Lorenzo Youndje25%
Isaac Nuhu23%
Mondy Prunier20%
Scott Kennedy17%
Gabriel Bares16%
Oriol Busquets14%
Yoram Zague14%
Mark Müller14%
Nicolas Gavory11%
Yentl Van Genechten11%
Amadou Keita11%
Merveille Bokadi9%
Kikas9%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Marco Hiller5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Bertan Caliskan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mark Müller18%
Nicolas Gavory17%
Yoram Zague14%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet12%
Lorenzo Youndje12%
Yentl Van Genechten11%
Kikas9%
Isaac Nuhu9%
Bertan Caliskan6%
Kevin Möhwald6%
Amadou Keita5%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Oriol Busquets0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Scott Kennedy0%
Igor Plastun0%
Marco Hiller0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kikas18%
Isaac Nuhu18%
Zakaria Atteri15%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet12%
Kevin Möhwald6%
Oriol Busquets0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Scott Kennedy0%
Igor Plastun0%
Yentl Van Genechten0%
Marco Hiller0%
Nicolas Gavory0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Mark Müller0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Amadou Keita0%
Rune Paeshuyse0%
Bertan Caliskan0%
Yoram Zague0%
Lorenzo Youndje0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
Lokeren-Temse's squad is €7m less valuable than AS Eupen's (€5m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
Lokeren-Temse's attack is €5m less valuable than AS Eupen's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
Lokeren-Temse's midfield is €2m less valuable than AS Eupen's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
Lokeren-Temse and AS Eupen have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →