Lokeren-Temse are expected to edge out KRC Genk II at home, with the model picking a home win. The match is projected to be a high-scoring affair, averaging 3.4 goals, and the most likely total is three, with a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.3% probability. Lokeren-Temse, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, have scored an average of 2.08 goals and conceded 1.42, while Genk II, on the road, have managed 1.23 goals and yielded 2.31. Home win odds stand at 46%, a draw at 24%, and an away win at 30%. The model’s selections include: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0% (edge 4%); Away under 2.5 2H goals98.2% (edge 6%); Under 7.597.6% (edge 1%); Under 6.593.9% (edge 1%); Away under 3.5 goals93.2% (edge 2%); Home under 2.5 HT goals93.0% (edge 3%); Over 19.5 fouls92.7%; and Away under 1.5 HT goals92.2% (edge 5%). Lokeren-Temse’s recent form shows a two-game winning streak, while Genk II has endured two consecutive defeats.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Lokeren-Temse, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-4 in favour of KRC Genk II, extending the away side’s recent win streak. The model had called a home win with a 46% probability, but the result proved wrong. The model’s selections were mixed: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 93.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 91.3%; however, Away under 3.5 goals missed at 93.2% and Away under 1.5 HT goals missed at 92.7%. The final score of 2-4 matched the model’s most likely 3-goal outcome but not the predicted winner.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lokeren-Temse win✗ Miss
46.5%
Avg Implied 56.6% · @ 1.62
Edge
-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Dafabet
1.67
Superbet
1.64
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.02
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Bet365
4.10
KRC Genk II win✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.47
Edge
+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.72
Dafabet
4.60
Betfair
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.38
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lokeren-Temse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.23
1.93
1.47
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.29
2.08
1.42
1.33
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.03
1.47
1.87
1.33
2.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.30
2.00
1.36
1.71
1.23
2.31
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
2.33
3.00
4.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.7%
@ 1.12+3.7%
Under 1.5
13.3%
@ 5.48-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Pinnacle
5.99
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.8%
@ 1.44+2.5%
Under 2.5
33.2%
@ 2.60-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Bet365
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.62
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.0%
@ 2.12+1.1%
Under 3.5
55.0%
@ 1.67-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.6%
@ 1.47+4.9%
No
32.4%
@ 2.47-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
No
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.48
10Bet
2.45
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%@ 7.58+4.6%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.36+3.2%
1-2
7.1%@ 12.19+3.6%
2-2
6.8%@ 10.66+2.8%
2-0
5.9%@ 9.18+1.3%
3-1
5.8%@ 10.16+1.5%
1-0
5.2%@ 9.53+0.7%
3-2
4.4%@ 14.50+1.4%
Lokeren-Temse goals ↓
KRC Genk II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.9%
3.7%
1.9%
0.7%
1
5.2%
10%
7.1%
3.6%
1.4%
2
5.9%
9.0%
6.8%
3.4%
1.3%
3
3.8%
5.8%
4.4%
2.2%
0.8%
4
1.8%
2.8%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokeren-Temse goals (down), columns = KRC Genk II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
Lokeren-Temse is 0.34 points better than KRC Genk II in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
Lokeren-Temse is 0.19 goals better than KRC Genk II in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
Lokeren-Temse is 0.44 goals better than KRC Genk II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.84).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Lokeren-Temse is 2.4 percentage points better than KRC Genk II in terms of average possession (54% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lokeren-Temse
For 7.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KRC Genk II
For 5.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokeren-Temse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.2
12.1
3.6
4.0
3.1
28.6
29.1
27.9
vs Stronger (4)
9.0
9.0
-
3.0
6.0
0.0
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (40)
11.3
10.6
12.1
3.5
3.5
3.4
29.2
29.1
29.2
vs Weaker (6)
10.8
9.0
12.0
4.5
7.0
3.2
26.0
31.5
22.3
% over line
62%
61%
62%
50%
50%
50%
91%
89%
94%
% under line
38%
39%
38%
50%
50%
50%
9%
11%
6%
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.0
9.6
2.6
2.6
2.5
24.4
24.9
23.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.1
10.9
9.4
2.5
2.6
2.4
24.6
25.6
23.8
vs Weaker (5)
11.8
12.0
11.5
3.2
3.0
3.5
22.5
19.5
25.5
% over line
72%
82%
63%
42%
44%
40%
67%
71%
63%
% under line
28%
18%
37%
58%
56%
60%
33%
29%
37%
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
Francs Borains
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.7
Dender
9.6
Club Brugge II
9.5
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
Liège
4.6
RSC Anderlecht II
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.3
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.2
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
26.9
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.8
Beerschot VA
24.3
Dender
21.2
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.9%
@ 1.52-9.6%
Under 9.5
49.1%
@ 2.33+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.37
Betano
2.37
Unibet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.5%
Under 3.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.8%
Under 21.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokeren-Temse or Draw✗ Miss
70.4%
Avg Implied 79.0% · @ 1.17
Edge
-8.7%
46%
24%
30%
covers Lokeren-Temse + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Lokeren-Temse or KRC Genk II✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied 77.7% · @ 1.19
Edge
-1.6%
46%
24%
30%
covers Lokeren-Temse + KRC Genk II
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Draw or KRC Genk II✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied 43.3% · @ 2.14
Edge
+10.3%
46%
24%
30%
covers Draw + KRC Genk II
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.14
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.4%
@ 1.08-1.0%
Under
14.6%
@ 6.86+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.30
Betano
5.90
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.3%
@ 1.49-5.2%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.47+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.75
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.61
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.45
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.3%
@ 2.52-6.7%
Under
69.7%
@ 1.48+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Lokeren-Temse over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 4.79-6.5%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.16+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.0%
@ 1.33+8.5%
Under
22.0%
@ 3.04-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.7%
@ 2.63+9.6%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.42-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Superbet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.5%
@ 6.29+4.7%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.09-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
6.20
10Bet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
KRC Genk II over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
6.8%
@ 14.88+0.3%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.02-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lokeren-Temse, so a minus line means Lokeren-Temse give that many goals of a start and KRC Genk II receive them. At -1, Lokeren-Temse must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokeren-Temse win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: KRC Genk II
Lokeren-Temse -2
12.3%
@ 4.98-5.6%
Draw -2
14.3%
@ 4.77-4.4%
KRC Genk II +2
73.4%
@ 1.41+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
5.00
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: KRC Genk II
Lokeren-Temse -1
26.6%
@ 2.63-7.2%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 3.74-4.0%
KRC Genk II +1
53.5%
@ 2.10+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.41
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Handicap +1 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: KRC Genk II
Lokeren-Temse +1
70.4%
@ 1.18-2.8%
Draw +1
15.4%
@ 5.58-0.0%
KRC Genk II -1
14.2%
@ 7.58+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Lokeren-Temse)Actual: Draw
Lokeren-Temse +2
85.8%
@ 1.06-2.5%
Draw +2
8.9%
@ 13.00+1.6%
KRC Genk II -2
5.4%
@ 21.00+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lokeren-Temse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.58
0.75
0.67
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.87
1.07
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
1.04
0.79
1.07
0.46
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.22+0.4%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 3.77-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.88
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 2.12-5.9%
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.66+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Unibet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 4.54-6.0%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.16+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.60
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Betano
4.40
Under
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
61.3%
@ 1.53+0.8%
Under
38.7%
@ 2.34-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Betano
2.25
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.5%
@ 3.47-4.1%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.25+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.55
Betano
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 8.63-2.0%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.04+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.00
1xBet
9.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.0%
@ 2.20-6.1%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.60+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Under
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.61
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.3%
@ 7.10-5.7%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.06+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.30
Betano
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 18.62-3.9%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lokeren-Temse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.27
0.80
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.71
1.33
0.75
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.07
0.60
0.80
0.80
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.96
0.57
0.64
0.77
1.31
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.0%
@ 1.12+1.5%
Under 0.5
16.0%
@ 5.27-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.7%
@ 1.67-5.6%
Under 1.5
50.3%
@ 2.07+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Under
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
23.1%
@ 3.01-7.4%
Under 2.5
76.9%
@ 1.33+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.8%
@ 1.37-1.1%
Under
33.2%
@ 2.88+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.10
Betano
2.92
Superbet
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.2%
@ 2.63-3.9%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.42+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.57
Marathonbet
2.54
1xBet
2.48
Under
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
10Bet
1.36
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 6.13-4.4%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.09+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.06
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.8%
@ 1.84-5.3%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.85+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Under
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
11.5%
@ 5.16-6.4%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.12+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 12.38-5.7%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+5.7%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.3%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.06
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+6.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
87.1%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.7%
1.12
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.13
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.6%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+1.6%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
85.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-2.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.16
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
85.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
80.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
-4.7%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
78.0%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.33
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+7.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.1%
1.19
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.9%
1.22
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.7%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
73.4%
1.41
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.6%
1.54
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.52
-
+12.8%
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.4%
1.17
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
-8.7%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
70.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-2.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lokeren-Temse · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vancy Mabanza78%
Radja Nainggolan44%
Mohamed Soumaré29%
Sumaila Wasiu25%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sebastiaan Brebels11%
Sam Van Aerschot10%
Toon Janssen10%
Jordi Palacios8%
Rune Van Den Bergh8%
Indy Boonen6%
Iñaki Elejalde5%
Diego Camara5%
Tom Boere0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Naïm Boujouh0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Jeovanni Dianganga0%
Tein Troost0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
Matias Lloci0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeovanni Dianganga46%
Toon Janssen45%
Diego Camara35%
Jarno Vervaque29%
Maxime Pau29%
Sumaila Wasiu25%
Naïm Boujouh23%
Rune Van Den Bergh23%
Vancy Mabanza22%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sam Van Aerschot20%
Mohamed Soumaré19%
Sebastiaan Brebels16%
Matias Lloci16%
Jonas Vinck14%
Radja Nainggolan11%
Jordi Palacios8%
Andreas Spegelaere8%
Tein Troost8%
Iñaki Elejalde5%
Indy Boonen0%
Tom Boere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Soumaré24%
Toon Janssen20%
Sebastiaan Brebels16%
Jonas Vinck14%
Anisse Brrou13%
Jordi Palacios12%
Radja Nainggolan11%
Andreas Spegelaere8%
Naïm Boujouh8%
Jeovanni Dianganga8%
Rune Van Den Bergh8%
Tom Boere6%
Matias Lloci5%
Indy Boonen0%
Sam Van Aerschot0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Iñaki Elejalde0%
Diego Camara0%
Tein Troost0%
Sumaila Wasiu0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Vancy Mabanza0%
Yben Baert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vancy Mabanza56%
Radja Nainggolan33%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sumaila Wasiu12%
Iñaki Elejalde11%
Jordi Palacios8%
Matias Lloci5%
Sam Van Aerschot5%
Mohamed Soumaré5%
Indy Boonen0%
Sebastiaan Brebels0%
Tom Boere0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Naïm Boujouh0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Diego Camara0%
Jeovanni Dianganga0%
Toon Janssen0%
Tein Troost0%
Rune Van Den Bergh0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
KRC Genk II · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Bibout56%
Luca Oyen33%
Victory Beniangba29%
Adrian Palacios25%
Jonathan Coenen21%
Ayumu Yokoyama20%
Jelle Driessen11%
Kenan Haroun7%
Ali Camara7%
Djoully Nzoko6%
August De Wannemacker6%
Emmanuel Sarfo6%
Kayden Pierre0%
Kenshin Yasuda0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Christian Akpan0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Kim Myeong-jun0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Manu Mocsnik0%
Alpha Barry0%
Elie Mbavu0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Akpan43%
Kayden Pierre35%
Zion Henry33%
Wout Kapers29%
Alpha Barry20%
Kenshin Yasuda18%
Manu Mocsnik14%
Kenan Haroun13%
Michiel Cauwel12%
Emmanuel Sarfo11%
Jelle Driessen11%
Brad Manguelle8%
Jonathan Coenen7%
Ali Camara7%
Lucca Brughmans6%
August De Wannemacker6%
Victory Beniangba6%
Luca Oyen0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Djoully Nzoko0%
Adrian Palacios0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Kim Myeong-jun0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Elie Mbavu0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayumu Yokoyama40%
August De Wannemacker19%
Christian Akpan14%
Kenan Haroun13%
Kim Myeong-jun12%
Luca Oyen11%
Kenshin Yasuda9%
Elie Mbavu8%
Ali Camara7%
Djoully Nzoko6%
Victory Beniangba6%
Emmanuel Sarfo6%
Kayden Pierre5%
Adrian Palacios0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Manu Mocsnik0%
Alpha Barry0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Jonathan Coenen0%
Jelle Driessen0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayumu Yokoyama60%
Aaron Bibout22%
Djoully Nzoko12%
Kim Myeong-jun12%
Kenshin Yasuda9%
Manu Mocsnik7%
Kenan Haroun7%
Ali Camara7%
Victory Beniangba6%
Luca Oyen0%
Kayden Pierre0%
Adrian Palacios0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Christian Akpan0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Alpha Barry0%
Elie Mbavu0%
August De Wannemacker0%
Emmanuel Sarfo0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Jonathan Coenen0%
Jelle Driessen0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
Lokeren-Temse's squad is €2m less valuable than KRC Genk II's (€5m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
Lokeren-Temse and KRC Genk II have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
Lokeren-Temse's midfield is €1m less valuable than KRC Genk II's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
Lokeren-Temse and KRC Genk II have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beerschot VA
Excelsior Virton
Club Brugge II
Dender
Francs Borains
Sporting Hasselt
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Liège
Patro Eisden
KAA Gent II
Seraing United
RSC Anderlecht II