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Lokomotiv Gomel vs Niva Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2025
Time: 10:00
Final 1-1
Lokomotiv Gomel
Lokomotiv Gomel
Vs
50%
24%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv Gomel win✗ Miss
49.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Niva win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D21W01L10W40W12L12L30W00D20WA·VOL10/08H·OST15/08A·MIN24/08H·LID30/08H·ORS05/09A·SLO13/09H·BEL21/09H·BUM04/10A·FC 11/10H·BAT19/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.102.270.731.131.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)2.331.002.670.672.001.33
vs Weaker (24)1.541.122.170.750.921.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NivaNiva

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-741W70W22D02L01L24L21W22D07L11DA·ORS16/08A·OSI23/08H·UNI30/08H·BAR13/09A·GOM21/09H·VOL28/09A·OST04/10H·MIN12/10A·LID18/10A·ABF22/10
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.731.871.732.201.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.762.101.902.001.642.18
vs Weaker (9)2.670.891.801.203.750.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.8%
Under 2.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.3%
No
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
4.5%
Lokomotiv Gomel goals ↓
Niva goals →
01234
04.5%3.9%3.4%1.6%0.5%
16.0%11%6.6%3.1%1.1%
26.8%9.4%6.5%3.0%1.0%
34.4%6.1%4.2%2.0%0.7%
42.2%3.0%2.1%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv Gomel goals (down), columns = Niva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Baranovichi
2.18
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.97
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.88
Belshina
1.85
Lida
1.74
Bumprom
1.74
Niva
1.62
BATE II
1.56
Minsk II
1.50
Ostrovets FC
1.50
Volna
1.41
ABFF U19
1.24
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Uni Minsk
1.06
Gomel II
0.82
Orsha
0.74
Osipovichy
0.64
Slonim
0.61
Lokomotiv Gomel is 0.26 points better than Niva in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Baranovichi
2.21
Lida
2.18
BATE II
2.06
Niva
2.00
Volna
1.91
Belshina
1.88
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.74
Ostrovets FC
1.65
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.65
Bumprom
1.65
Uni Minsk
1.59
Minsk II
1.44
ABFF U19
1.29
Orsha
1.24
Osipovichy
1.18
Gomel II
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
1.00
Slonim
0.91
Lokomotiv Gomel is 0.35 goals worse than Niva in terms of goals scored per game (1.65 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Baranovichi
0.85
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Bumprom
1.06
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Belshina
1.18
Lida
1.29
Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.41
ABFF U19
1.44
BATE II
1.53
Volna
1.62
Niva
1.65
Uni Minsk
2.12
Slonim
2.33
Osipovichy
2.33
Gomel II
2.44
Orsha
2.74
Lokomotiv Gomel is 0.65 goals better than Niva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D00D00D02L02L20W00D10WA·VOL10/08H·OST15/08A·MIN24/08H·LID30/08H·ORS05/09A·SLO13/09H·BEL21/09H·BUM04/10A·FC 11/10H·BAT19/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.670.470.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.830.670.670.671.000.67
vs Weaker (24)0.620.540.670.420.580.67
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NivaNiva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W30W01L02L00D11D20W11D05L00DA·ORS16/08A·OSI23/08H·UNI30/08H·BAR13/09A·GOM21/09H·VOL28/09A·OST04/10H·MIN12/10A·LID18/10A·ABF22/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.730.870.600.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.710.900.900.700.551.09
vs Weaker (9)1.220.330.800.401.750.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D01L10W40W10W10W10W00D10WA·VOL10/08H·OST15/08A·MIN24/08H·LID30/08H·ORS05/09A·SLO13/09H·BEL21/09H·BUM04/10A·FC 11/10H·BAT19/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.531.600.270.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.500.332.000.001.000.67
vs Weaker (24)0.920.581.500.330.330.83
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NivaNiva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W21W00D01L13L01L11D02L11DA·ORS16/08A·OSI23/08H·UNI30/08H·BAR13/09A·GOM21/09H·VOL28/09A·OST04/10H·MIN12/10A·LID18/10A·ABF22/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.001.001.131.330.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.051.191.001.301.091.09
vs Weaker (9)1.440.561.000.802.000.25
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (25)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
UM (29)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (9)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (6)
€1m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
BAR (4)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (10)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
LG wins
1
Draws
2
NIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Gomel vs Niva · H/A from LG
DateH/AGameScore
21/06/25ANiva Vs LG2-4
23/11/24HLG Vs Niva4-0
01/08/24ANiva Vs LG2-0
01/10/23ANiva Vs LG1-1
28/05/23HLG Vs Niva3-4

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/25HLG Vs BATE II2-0
11/10/25AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs LG0-0
04/10/25HLG Vs Bumprom3-0
21/09/25HLG Vs Belshina1-2
13/09/25ASlonim Vs LG2-1
05/09/25HLG Vs Orsha4-0
30/08/25HLG Vs Lida1-0
24/08/25AMinsk II Vs LG1-0
15/08/25HLG Vs Ostrovets FC2-1
10/08/25AVolna Vs LG1-1

NivaNiva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/25AABFF U19 Vs NIV1-1
18/10/25ALida Vs NIV7-0
12/10/25HNIV Vs Minsk II2-2
04/10/25AOstrovets FC Vs NIV1-2
28/09/25HNIV Vs Volna2-4
21/09/25AGomel II Vs NIV1-0
13/09/25HNIV Vs Baranovichi0-2
30/08/25HNIV Vs Uni Minsk2-2
23/08/25AOsipovichy Vs NIV0-7
16/08/25AOrsha Vs NIV1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv Gomel
Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.46
HomeWWLWW2.12
AwayDDLLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%67%15%
AVG goals2.763.122.42
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %28%38%19%
Scored1.482.080.92
Conceded1.281.041.50
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet30%46%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.74
HomeWDLLD1.85
AwayWLWLD1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals3.363.543.17
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %60%65%54%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.942.041.83
Conceded1.421.501.33
BTTS52%69%33%
Clean Sheet30%23%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BaranovichiBaranovichi3474
68%
2.2
7529+46
3.1
85%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3467
59%
2.0
5937+22
2.8
85%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.1
-
3Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3464
53%
1.9
5634+22
2.6
68%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4BelshinaBelshina3463
56%
1.9
6440+24
3.1
85%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
5LidaLida3459
56%
1.7
7444+30
3.5
85%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.21.3
-
6BumpromBumprom3459
47%
1.7
5636+20
2.7
85%
44%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7NivaNiva3455
44%
1.6
6856+12
3.6
85%
68%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.01.6
-
8BATE IIBATE II3453
44%
1.6
7052+18
3.6
88%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
9Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3451
47%
1.5
5648+8
3.1
82%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.4
-
10Minsk IIMinsk II3451
44%
1.5
4947+2
2.8
68%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
11VolnaVolna3448
38%
1.4
6555+10
3.5
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.6
-
12ABFF U19ABFF U193442
32%
1.2
4449-5
2.7
76%
56%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3440
29%
1.2
3440-6
2.2
65%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.01.2
-
14Uni MinskUni Minsk3436
29%
1.1
5472-18
3.7
94%
76%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.62.1
-
15Gomel IIGomel II3428
24%
0.8
3483-49
3.4
79%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
16OrshaOrsha3425
21%
0.7
4293-51
4.0
94%
79%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.7
-
17OsipovichyOsipovichy3321
15%
0.6
3977-38
3.5
97%
70%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.3
-
18SlonimSlonim3320
18%
0.6
3077-47
3.2
91%
70%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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