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Lokomotiv vs Dynamo Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
Vs
46%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dynamo
Dynamo
Russia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Lokomotiv’s recent run of two straight defeats has left them looking for a turnaround, while Dynamo, fresh from a win, carries momentum into their away fixture. The model favours a Lokomotiv victory, assigning a 46 % chance to a home win, 28 % to a draw and 26 % to a Dynamo win. With an expected total of 2.6 goals, the most likely total is 2, a 26 % probability, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4 %. Lokomotiv typically scores 1.25 and concedes 1.5 against similar opposition at home, whereas Dynamo averages 1.12 goals scored and 0.88 conceded on the road against comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Under 6.5 (98.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6 % with a 10 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.7 %) and Over 19.5 fouls (95.5 %).

Results analysis

Lokomotiv’s poor run of three straight defeats at home was expected to keep the match tight, yet Dynamo’s two-game winning streak at away venues tipped the balance. The final score of 0-1 saw Dynamo claim the away win, a result that surprised the model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, which had a 46% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.5%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.3%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.6%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.1%) hit, and Over 19.5 fouls (95.5%) hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv winâś— Miss
46.0%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.21
Edge
+16.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.51
Marathonbet
3.46
Pinnacle
3.44
Dafabet
3.25
Superbet
2.95
Drawâś— Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.62
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.82
Pinnacle
3.77
Marathonbet
3.74
Dafabet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Dynamo winâś“ Hit
25.8%
Avg Implied 44.4% · @ 2.13
Edge
-18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.22
SBO
2.16
Dafabet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Pinnacle
2.09

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

LokomotivLokomotiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W13L11D12L11D00D11D01L23LH·DYN01/05H·BAL10/05A·CSK17/05H·AKH26/07A·DIN01/08H·CSK04/08H·AKR08/08A·FC 14/08A·FC 18/08A·CSK22/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.380.921.291.76
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (13)1.231.771.201.201.252.12
vs Weaker (15)1.601.131.710.861.501.38
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DynamoDynamo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W21W00D12L10W31W03L01L31WA·FC 07/05H·FC 11/05A·BAL17/05H·KRY25/07A·BAL01/08A·FAK05/08H·DIN09/08A·ZEN16/08H·FC 19/08H·ROD23/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.071.801.071.271.07
vs Stronger (4)1.002.000.502.001.502.00
vs Similar (14)1.210.861.401.001.110.78
vs Weaker (12)2.081.002.380.881.501.25
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.1%
@ 1.18-5.3%
Under 1.5
25.9%
@ 4.52+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Pinnacle
4.83
Superbet
4.65
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.64-10.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 2.31+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
@ 2.47-11.8%
Under 3.5
74.0%
@ 1.50+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.61
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.44
Superbet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.5%
@ 1.52-8.6%
No
47.5%
@ 2.38+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.49
No
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.33

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.67+6.8%
1-0
10.2%@ 12.27+6.6%
2-1
9.2%@ 10.79+5.1%
0-0
8.8%@ 15.47+5.9%
2-0
8.6%@ 18.60+6.2%
0-1 âś“
6.9%@ 9.58+2.3%
1-2
6.6%@ 8.30+1.2%
2-2
5.0%@ 11.07+1.0%
Lokomotiv goals ↓
Dynamo goals →
01234
08.8%6.9%4.4%1.6%0.4%
110%13%6.6%2.4%0.6%
28.6%9.2%5.0%1.8%0.5%
34.3%4.6%2.5%0.9%0.2%
41.6%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv goals (down), columns = Dynamo goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Lokomotiv is 1.17 points worse than Dynamo in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Lokomotiv is 0.50 goals worse than Dynamo in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Lokomotiv is 0.17 goals worse than Dynamo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Lokomotiv is 12.0 percentage points worse than Dynamo in terms of average possession (51% vs 63%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LokomotivLokomotiv

For 4.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.2

đźš© Corners

110152626912553526583336881078711116A·CSKA·FC H·AKRA·DINH·AKHA·CSKH·BALH·DYNA·KRYH·ZEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

701231124112213143223435333174A·CSKA·FC A·FC H·AKRH·CSKA·DINH·AKHA·CSKH·BALH·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 26.0

⚠️ Fouls

31013141812141711920910111412191189161327303120292126301729A·CSKA·FC H·AKRA·DINH·AKHA·CSKH·BALH·DYNA·KRYH·ZEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DynamoDynamo

For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0

đźš© Corners

1505271428262252656558778610878111015H·RODA·ZENH·DINA·BALH·KRYA·BALH·FC A·LOKH·FC H·RUB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

7042212233112343122236346227445H·RODH·FC A·ZENH·DINA·FAKA·BALA·BALH·FC A·LOKH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 16.5 · Total 29.0

⚠️ Fouls

34011121515131710151514824161811191213141823303025293234302532H·RODA·ZENH·DINA·BALH·KRYA·BALH·FC A·LOKH·FC H·RUB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LokomotivLokomotiv

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.39.34.34.44.127.628.426.8
vs Stronger (2)7.06.08.07.512.03.028.529.028.0
vs Similar (24)8.47.98.94.03.84.327.728.127.2
vs Weaker (24)9.48.99.84.24.54.127.428.726.3
% over line43%33%53%48%52%44%84%83%84%
% under line57%67%47%52%48%56%16%17%16%
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DynamoDynamo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.78.810.54.04.14.027.827.428.1
vs Stronger (5)9.39.09.54.23.05.029.326.031.0
vs Similar (23)9.810.09.74.24.04.330.431.129.8
vs Weaker (22)9.68.011.93.94.33.325.024.925.1
% over line47%33%61%64%68%60%97%100%94%
% under line53%67%39%36%32%40%3%0%6%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đźš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rodina Moskva
10.8
CSKA Moscow
10.2
FC Orenburg
10.1
Dynamo
9.9
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Akhmat
9.4
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Akron
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.0
Lokomotiv
9.0
FC Krasnodar
8.5
Rubin
8.5
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.3
Baltika
4.9
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.6
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Akhmat
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Fakel
4.1
Zenit
4.1
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Baltika
30.1
Spartak Moscow
30.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.0
FC Rostov
28.8
Akhmat
28.7
Rubin
28.6
FC Orenburg
28.6
FC Krasnodar
28.5
Fakel
28.0
Akron
27.5
Lokomotiv
27.5
Dynamo
27.4
Zenit
27.3
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Rodina Moskva
26.6
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.5%
@ 1.85-2.9%
Under 9.5
52.5%
@ 1.88+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.5%
Under 3.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.0%
Under 21.5
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokomotiv or Drawâś— Miss
74.2%
Avg Implied 55.0% · @ 1.72
Edge
+19.2%
46%
28%
26%
covers Lokomotiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
SBO
1.65
Superbet
1.61
Lokomotiv or Dynamoâś“ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.27
Edge
-2.6%
46%
28%
26%
covers Lokomotiv + Dynamo
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.20
Draw or Dynamoâś“ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied 70.6% · @ 1.34
Edge
-16.6%
46%
28%
26%
covers Draw + Dynamo
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
SBO
1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.8%
@ 1.28+4.8%
Under
22.2%
@ 3.46-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.25
Under
Superbet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.59
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.4%
@ 2.38+4.8%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.56-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.3%
@ 5.38+2.0%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.12-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
4.80
Under
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 11.00-1.9%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Superbet
11.00
Under
Superbet
1.03
Dynamo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.8%
@ 1.17-14.3%
Under
34.2%
@ 4.70+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Dynamo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.2%
@ 1.85-22.1%
Under
70.8%
@ 1.94+22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.87
Dynamo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 3.63-16.4%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.26+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.73
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Dynamo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 7.97-9.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.05+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Superbet
8.10
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lokomotiv, so a minus line means Lokomotiv give that many goals of a start and Dynamo receive them. At -1, Lokomotiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokomotiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Dynamo
Lokomotiv -2
9.4%
@ 8.80-0.3%
Draw -2
14.3%
@ 6.17+0.5%
Dynamo +2
76.3%
@ 1.11-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Superbet
7.60
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Dynamo
Lokomotiv -1
23.7%
@ 6.50+9.8%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 5.05+4.3%
Dynamo +1
54.0%
@ 1.33-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Draw
Lokomotiv +1
74.2%
@ 1.72+21.8%
Draw +1
15.5%
@ 3.96-7.2%
Dynamo -1
10.3%
@ 3.62-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.81
Superbet
1.63
Draw
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.82
Away
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.38
Handicap +2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv +2
89.7%
@ 1.24+17.5%
Draw +2
7.3%
@ 5.88-7.9%
Dynamo -2
3.0%
@ 7.05-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Draw
Superbet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Away
Superbet
7.60
Marathonbet
6.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LokomotivLokomotiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W01L10W10W01L00D10W00D11DH·DYN01/05H·BAL10/05A·CSK17/05H·AKH26/07A·DIN01/08H·CSK04/08H·AKR08/08A·FC 14/08A·FC 18/08A·CSK22/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.850.540.760.71
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.690.600.800.620.62
vs Weaker (15)1.070.601.140.431.000.75
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DynamoDynamo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D00D00D00D02L01L11DA·FC 07/05H·FC 11/05A·BAL17/05H·KRY25/07A·BAL01/08A·FAK05/08H·DIN09/08A·ZEN16/08H·FC 19/08H·ROD23/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.670.600.600.33
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.430.360.200.800.560.11
vs Weaker (12)1.000.331.000.251.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.30-3.2%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 3.36+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.28
Under
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.9%
@ 2.38-6.6%
Under 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.56+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 5.23-6.9%
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.12+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.6%
@ 2.08+0.7%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.70-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 6.47-2.5%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.08+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
5.80
Under
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 19.00-97.6%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.1%
@ 1.76-13.0%
Under
59.9%
@ 2.00+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Dynamo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 4.73-9.3%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.15+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Under
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Dynamo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 14.00-5.1%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Under
Superbet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LokomotivLokomotiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L01L02L10W00D01L01L12LH·DYN01/05H·BAL10/05A·CSK17/05H·AKH26/07A·DIN01/08H·CSK04/08H·AKR08/08A·FC 14/08A·FC 18/08A·CSK22/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.540.380.531.06
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.621.080.600.400.621.50
vs Weaker (15)0.530.530.570.430.500.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DynamoDynamo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W11D00D12L10W31W01L00D20WA·FC 07/05H·FC 11/05A·BAL17/05H·KRY25/07A·BAL01/08A·FAK05/08H·DIN09/08A·ZEN16/08H·FC 19/08H·ROD23/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.601.130.470.670.73
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.000.501.501.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.501.200.200.560.67
vs Weaker (12)1.080.671.380.620.500.75
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.16-5.1%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 4.70+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 1.84-10.6%
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.95+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.2%
@ 3.45-9.8%
Under 2.5
82.8%
@ 1.27+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.45
Under
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 1.74-3.0%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.99+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.68
Under
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.2%
@ 4.65-1.7%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.15+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.30
Under
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 12.00-4.0%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
Dynamo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.7%
@ 1.53-15.1%
Under
54.3%
@ 2.38+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.43
Superbet
2.32
Dynamo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 3.41-14.2%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.27+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Dynamo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 9.40-7.0%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------âś“ Hit
Under 6.598.3%1.02
Superbet
1.02
----+4.7%âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.3%1.01
Superbet
1.01
----+5.1%âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.6%-------âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%1.05
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
--+9.3%âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.2%1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
---+7.0%âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.1%1.02
Superbet
1.02
----+4.0%âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls95.5%-------âś“ Hit
Under 5.595.2%1.04
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--+7.4%âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.4%1.03
Superbet
1.03
----+1.9%âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.6%1.26
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
-+16.4%âś“ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls90.0%-------âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.8%1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
--+9.3%âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.7%1.24
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.22
---+17.5%âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.2%1.12
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
--+6.9%âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.2%1.08
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
--+2.5%âś“ Hit
Under 4.588.0%1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-+9.6%âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.1%1.27
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
--+14.2%âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.1%-------âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.8%1.27
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
--+9.8%âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals81.8%1.15
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
--+1.7%âś“ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls81.0%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+11.3%âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.7%1.12
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
---2.0%âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.8%1.28
Pinnacle
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.25
-+4.8%âś— Miss
Away +2 handicap76.3%1.11
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
----0.2%âś“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.5%1.30
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
--+5.4%âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals75.1%1.16
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
---5.1%âś“ Hit
Home or Draw74.2%1.72
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
SBO
1.65
Superbet
1.61
-+19.2%âś— Miss
Over 1.574.1%1.18
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
--5.3%âś— Miss
Under 3.574.0%1.50
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
-+11.8%âś“ Hit
Home or Away71.8%1.27
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.20
--2.6%âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Aleksandr Silyanov17%
Sergey Pinyaev17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Batrakov75%
Gerzino Nyamsi40%
Maksim Nenakhov33%
Ilya Lantratov33%
Vladislav Golubev25%
Ilya Eremeev20%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Lucas Fasson17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Aleksandr Silyanov17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gerzino Nyamsi40%
Vadim Rakov33%
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
Dynamo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Miranchuk33%
Dmitri Skopintsev20%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Arthur Gomes17%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Bitello0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Ricardo50%
Viktor Okishor33%
Daniil Fomin25%
Juan Cáceres20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Yaroslav Gladyshev17%
Rubens17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Bitello0%
Konstantin Tyukavin0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Viktor Okishor33%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Konstantin Tyukavin40%
Anton Miranchuk17%
Arthur Gomes17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Lokomotiv's squad is €42m less valuable than Dynamo's (€68m vs €110m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Lokomotiv's attack is €24m less valuable than Dynamo's (€21m vs €45m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Lokomotiv's midfield is €16m less valuable than Dynamo's (€8m vs €24m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Lokomotiv's defence is €2m less valuable than Dynamo's (€40m vs €42m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
LOK wins
2
Draws
3
DYN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv vs Dynamo · H/A from LOK
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26HLOK Vs Dynamo1-1
04/10/25ADynamo Vs LOK3-5
15/03/25HLOK Vs Dynamo2-1
28/11/24HLOK Vs Dynamo0-1
05/11/24ADynamo Vs LOK1-2
27/07/24ADynamo Vs LOK3-1
03/03/24ADynamo Vs LOK2-1
21/10/23HLOK Vs Dynamo0-0

LokomotivLokomotiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26ACSKA Moscow Vs LOK3-2
18/08/26AFC Rostov Vs LOK1-0
14/08/26AFC Orenburg Vs LOK1-1
08/08/26HLOK Vs Akron0-0
04/08/26HLOK Vs CSKA Moscow1-1
01/08/26ADinamo Makhachkala Vs LOK2-1
26/07/26HLOK Vs Akhmat1-1
17/05/26ACSKA Moscow Vs LOK3-1
10/05/26HLOK Vs Baltika1-0
01/05/26HLOK Vs Dynamo1-1

DynamoDynamo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26HDYN Vs Rodina Moskva3-1
19/08/26HDYN Vs FC Krasnodar0-1
16/08/26AZenit Vs DYN3-0
09/08/26HDYN Vs Dinamo Makhachkala3-1
05/08/26AFakel Vs DYN0-1
01/08/26ABaltika Vs DYN2-1
25/07/26HDYN Vs Krylia Sovetov0-0
17/05/26ABaltika Vs DYN1-2
11/05/26HDYN Vs FC Krasnodar2-1
07/05/26AFC Krasnodar Vs DYN0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL1.62
HomeDWDDD1.83
AwayLLDLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%43%41%
AVG goals2.962.653.22
Over 1.5 %82%74%89%
Over 2.5 %54%43%63%
Over 3.5 %34%30%37%
Scored1.681.741.63
Conceded1.280.911.59
BTTS68%57%78%
Clean Sheet24%43%7%
Corners8.818.289.32
Cards4.554.644.48
Dynamo
Dynamo
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.48
HomeWDWLW1.56
AwayDWLWL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.803.282.32
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %38%52%24%
Scored1.561.881.24
Conceded1.241.401.08
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners9.678.8310.50
Cards4.394.254.55

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar618
100%
3.0
114+7
2.5
50%
50%
33%
8.7
50%
4.5
83%
25.2
67%
114
3435451.80.7
57%
2Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
100%
67%
0%
10.5
50%
6.5
83%
30.3
100%
129
5937341.80.8
62%
3ZenitZenit612
67%
2.0
134+9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
9.8
33%
5.0
83%
26.3
67%
182
10031502.20.7
60%
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow612
50%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
50%
33%
7.3
17%
3.8
33%
26.8
83%
111
3748261.51.0
57%
5BaltikaBaltika610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
8.8
33%
3.5
33%
27.3
83%
30
106151.71.0
36%
6DynamoDynamo610
50%
1.7
87+1
2.5
67%
67%
33%
7.0
17%
4.4
80%
27.2
100%
110
4524421.31.2
63%
7RubinRubin69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
100%
50%
33%
7.7
17%
3.7
33%
24.3
67%
45
812251.51.3
47%
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala69
50%
1.5
1010+0
3.3
83%
83%
50%
9.5
67%
4.5
50%
23.7
67%
20
9381.71.7
40%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg67
17%
1.2
57-2
2.0
83%
33%
0%
8.5
33%
5.7
67%
30.7
100%
18
8370.81.2
39%
10AkhmatAkhmat66
17%
1.0
98+1
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.8
17%
3.8
50%
25.5
83%
30
17491.51.3
47%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
8.5
17%
5.0
60%
27.3
83%
26
96111.31.7
46%
12FC RostovFC Rostov65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.7
33%
4.5
33%
27.7
83%
32
145131.21.7
49%
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva64
17%
0.7
817-9
4.2
100%
100%
50%
10.2
50%
3.8
33%
28.2
83%
17
7371.32.8
44%
14LokomotivLokomotiv63
0%
0.5
58-3
2.2
67%
33%
17%
7.0
17%
3.5
33%
27.2
83%
68
218400.81.3
51%
15AkronAkron63
0%
0.5
615-9
3.5
83%
83%
50%
8.5
17%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
25
11681.02.5
54%
16FakelFakel62
0%
0.3
37-4
1.7
33%
33%
17%
9.8
67%
3.7
67%
25.3
83%
14
5270.51.2
48%
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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