PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Vs
44%
24%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotivi Tbilisi win✓ Hit
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L11D50W02L21W01L11D20W13L10WH·SIO03/08A·DIN08/08H·MER13/08A·SPA18/08H·KOL23/08A·WIT02/09H·KOL15/09A·MER22/09H·GAR27/09A·SIO02/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.801.601.331.072.27
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)1.381.831.711.361.072.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L11D32W01L12L30W10W12L42W23LA·SPA04/08H·LOK08/08A·GAR13/08H·WIT18/08A·KOL23/08H·MER27/08A·SIO01/09A·KOL15/09H·MER22/09H·SPA30/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.712.431.501.711.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)2.071.712.431.501.711.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotivi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.2%
Under 2.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 3.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.3%
No
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
5.5%
3-1 ✓
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
Lokomotivi Tbilisi goals ↓
Dinamo Tbilisi II goals →
01234
04.1%4.1%4.0%2.1%0.8%
14.9%10%7.4%4.0%1.6%
25.5%8.7%7.0%3.7%1.5%
33.4%5.4%4.3%2.3%0.9%
41.6%2.5%2.0%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotivi Tbilisi goals (down), columns = Dinamo Tbilisi II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Poti
2.14
Gareji
2.11
Spaeri
1.83
Sioni
1.64
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.44
WIT Georgia
1.33
Kolkheti Khobi
1.28
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.11
Merani Martvili
0.72
Merani Tbilisi
0.39
Lokomotivi Tbilisi is 0.33 points worse than Dinamo Tbilisi II in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gareji
2.44
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.97
Kolkheti Poti
1.94
Sioni
1.89
Spaeri
1.89
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.53
WIT Georgia
1.44
Kolkheti Khobi
1.22
Merani Martvili
0.94
Merani Tbilisi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi is 0.44 goals worse than Dinamo Tbilisi II in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Poti
0.78
Gareji
1.06
Sioni
1.28
Spaeri
1.33
Kolkheti Khobi
1.44
WIT Georgia
1.58
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.61
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.61
Merani Martvili
2.33
Merani Tbilisi
3.06
Lokomotivi Tbilisi and Dinamo Tbilisi II are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D30W01L01L01L11D20W02L00DH·SIO03/08A·DIN08/08H·MER13/08A·SPA18/08H·KOL23/08A·WIT02/09H·KOL15/09A·MER22/09H·GAR27/09A·SIO02/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.800.730.531.07
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.690.930.860.790.531.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D01L00D10W10W01L22D02LA·SPA04/08H·LOK08/08A·GAR13/08H·WIT18/08A·KOL23/08H·MER27/08A·SIO01/09A·KOL15/09H·MER22/09H·SPA30/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.820.860.790.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.710.820.860.790.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotivi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D20W01L20W00D00D00D11D10WH·SIO03/08A·DIN08/08H·MER13/08A·SPA18/08H·KOL23/08A·WIT02/09H·KOL15/09A·MER22/09H·GAR27/09A·SIO02/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.800.600.531.20
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.690.900.860.570.531.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D21W00D12L20W00D11D20W21WA·SPA04/08H·LOK08/08A·GAR13/08H·WIT18/08A·KOL23/08H·MER27/08A·SIO01/09A·KOL15/09H·MER22/09H·SPA30/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.360.891.570.711.141.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.360.891.570.711.141.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotivi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (8)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (8)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
LT wins
1
Draws
2
DTI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II · H/A from LT
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/23ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs LT1-1
05/05/23HLT Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II0-2
05/03/23ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs LT3-1

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/23ASioni Vs LT0-1
27/09/23HLT Vs Gareji1-3
22/09/23AMerani Tbilisi Vs LT0-2
15/09/23HLT Vs Kolkheti Poti1-1
02/09/23AWIT Georgia Vs LT1-0
23/08/23HLT Vs Kolkheti Khobi2-1
18/08/23ASpaeri Vs LT2-0
13/08/23HLT Vs Merani Martvili5-0
08/08/23ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs LT1-1
03/08/23HLT Vs Sioni1-2

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23HDTI Vs Spaeri2-3
22/09/23HDTI Vs Merani Martvili4-2
15/09/23AKolkheti Khobi Vs DTI2-1
01/09/23ASioni Vs DTI0-1
27/08/23HDTI Vs Merani Tbilisi3-0
23/08/23AKolkheti Poti Vs DTI2-1
18/08/23HDTI Vs WIT Georgia0-1
13/08/23AGareji Vs DTI2-3
08/08/23HDTI Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi1-1
04/08/23ASpaeri Vs DTI3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW0.68
HomeLWWDL1.04
AwayDLLWW0.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%28%8%
AVG goals3.202.803.60
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %42%28%56%
Scored1.101.280.92
Conceded2.101.522.68
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.57
HomeDLWWL1.86
AwayLWLWL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%57%43%
AVG goals3.793.933.64
Over 1.5 %89%93%86%
Over 2.5 %75%79%71%
Over 3.5 %50%64%36%
Scored2.072.431.71
Conceded1.711.501.93
BTTS64%71%57%
Clean Sheet21%14%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3677
64%
2.1
7028+42
2.7
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
2GarejiGareji3676
64%
2.1
8838+50
3.5
86%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.1
-
3SpaeriSpaeri3666
56%
1.8
6848+20
3.2
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.3
-
4SioniSioni3659
50%
1.6
6846+22
3.2
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
5Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3652
44%
1.4
7158+13
3.6
86%
72%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
6WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3648
36%
1.3
5257-5
3.0
81%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi3646
33%
1.3
4452-8
2.7
81%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3640
33%
1.1
5558-3
3.1
86%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
9Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3626
17%
0.7
3484-50
3.3
75%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
10Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3614
3%
0.4
29110-81
3.9
92%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.1
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

← all matches