PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi Result & Analysis

Date: 31/03/2023
Time: 11:30
Final 0-2
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Vs
39%
33%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kolkheti Khobi
Kolkheti Khobi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotivi Tbilisi win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi win✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D24L02L01L01L25L12L13L10W14LH·TOR22/10A·DIN29/10H·DIN06/11A·DIL12/11H·SAB26/11A·SIO03/12H·SIO28/02A·DIN05/03H·MER11/03A·SPA18/03← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.770.671.731.073.80
vs Stronger (15)0.802.730.621.501.004.14
vs Similar (15)0.932.800.712.001.123.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Khobi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D11D01L20WH·RUS06/12A·RUS10/12A·MER28/02H·KOL05/03A·SPA11/03H·MER18/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.331.330.330.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.830.331.330.330.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotivi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.9%
Under 2.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.0%
Under 3.5
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
0-2 ✓
5.6%
Lokomotivi Tbilisi goals ↓
Kolkheti Khobi goals →
01234
014%10%5.6%1.8%0.4%
113%15%6.4%2.0%0.5%
28.1%7.7%3.6%1.2%0.3%
33.1%2.9%1.4%0.4%0.1%
40.9%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotivi Tbilisi goals (down), columns = Kolkheti Khobi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Poti
2.14
Gareji
2.11
Spaeri
1.83
Sioni
1.64
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.44
WIT Georgia
1.33
Kolkheti Khobi
1.28
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.11
Merani Martvili
0.72
Merani Tbilisi
0.39
Lokomotivi Tbilisi is 0.17 points worse than Kolkheti Khobi in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.28).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gareji
2.44
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.97
Kolkheti Poti
1.94
Sioni
1.89
Spaeri
1.89
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.53
WIT Georgia
1.44
Kolkheti Khobi
1.22
Merani Martvili
0.94
Merani Tbilisi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi is 0.31 goals better than Kolkheti Khobi in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Poti
0.78
Gareji
1.06
Sioni
1.28
Spaeri
1.33
Kolkheti Khobi
1.44
WIT Georgia
1.58
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.61
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.61
Merani Martvili
2.33
Merani Tbilisi
3.06
Lokomotivi Tbilisi is 0.17 goals worse than Kolkheti Khobi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.44).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L01L00D13L11D10W00D11DH·TOR22/10A·DIN29/10H·DIN06/11A·DIL12/11H·SAB26/11A·SIO03/12H·SIO28/02A·DIN05/03H·MER11/03A·SPA18/03← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.330.270.930.731.73
vs Stronger (15)0.401.470.120.750.712.29
vs Similar (15)0.601.200.431.140.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Khobi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D01L00D10WH·RUS06/12A·RUS10/12A·MER28/02H·KOL05/03A·SPA11/03H·MER18/03
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.170.670.330.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.330.170.670.330.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %83% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotivi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D01L00D01L12L01L03L10W03LH·TOR22/10A·DIN29/10H·DIN06/11A·DIL12/11H·SAB26/11A·SIO03/12H·SIO28/02A·DIN05/03H·MER11/03A·SPA18/03← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.430.400.800.332.07
vs Stronger (15)0.401.270.500.750.291.86
vs Similar (15)0.331.600.290.860.382.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Khobi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D10W01L10WH·RUS06/12A·RUS10/12A·MER28/02H·KOL05/03A·SPA11/03H·MER18/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.170.670.000.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.170.670.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %83% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotivi Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotivi Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (8)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (8)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LT wins
0
Draws
0
KK wins

Head-to-head

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi · H/A from LT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23ASpaeri Vs LT4-1
11/03/23HLT Vs Merani Martvili1-0
05/03/23ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs LT3-1
28/02/23HLT Vs Sioni1-2
03/12/22ASioni Vs LT5-2
26/11/22HLT Vs Saburtalo0-1
12/11/22ADila Vs LT1-0
06/11/22HLT Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-2
29/10/22ADinamo Batumi Vs LT4-2
22/10/22HLT Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-0

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HKK Vs Merani Tbilisi2-0
11/03/23ASpaeri Vs KK1-0
05/03/23HKK Vs Kolkheti Poti1-1
28/02/23AMerani Martvili Vs KK0-0
10/12/22ARustavi Vs KK0-1
06/12/22HKK Vs Rustavi1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL0.28
HomeDLLLW0.50
AwayLLLLL0.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %5%10%0%
AVG goals3.552.354.75
Over 1.5 %85%80%90%
Over 2.5 %62%40%85%
Over 3.5 %48%15%80%
Scored0.800.551.05
Conceded2.751.803.70
BTTS55%35%75%
Clean Sheet8%10%5%
Corners---
Cards---
Kolkheti Khobi
Kolkheti Khobi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.83
HomeWDW2.33
AwayWDL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%67%33%
AVG goals1.171.670.67
Over 1.5 %33%67%0%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.831.330.33
Conceded0.330.330.33
BTTS17%33%0%
Clean Sheet67%67%67%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3677
64%
2.1
7028+42
2.7
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
2GarejiGareji3676
64%
2.1
8838+50
3.5
86%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.1
-
3SpaeriSpaeri3666
56%
1.8
6848+20
3.2
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.3
-
4SioniSioni3659
50%
1.6
6846+22
3.2
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
5Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3652
44%
1.4
7158+13
3.6
86%
72%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
6WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3648
36%
1.3
5257-5
3.0
81%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi3646
33%
1.3
4452-8
2.7
81%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3640
33%
1.1
5558-3
3.1
86%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
9Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3626
17%
0.7
3484-50
3.3
75%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
10Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3614
3%
0.4
29110-81
3.9
92%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.1
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

← all matches