Club Brugge KV’s return to the Jupiler Pro League is the most likely outcome, with a 57% chance of victory, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 20% chance of a Lommel United win. The model projects an average of 3.2 goals, centring on a 3-goal total that is expected 22% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.5% probability, a figure that reflects the balanced scoring and conceding figures: Brugge averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded away against weaker opponents, while Lommel’s home form shows a modest 1-0 win over Cercle Brugge and a 2-game winning run. The suggested selections cover a range of outcomes: Under 7.5 (98.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with an 11% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.7%), Under 6.5 (95.3% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.5%), and Away +2 handicap (92.0%). These selections highlight the model’s confidence in a low-to-mid-scoring affair and a Brugge advantage, especially after their recent five-match run that includes four wins.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lommel United win
19.9%
Avg Implied 10.3% · @ 9.03
Edge
+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
10.50
1xBet
9.65
Betfair
9.50
BetVictor
9.50
Pinnacle
9.30
Draw
22.9%
Avg Implied 15.3% · @ 6.10
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
6.70
Unibet
6.50
Dafabet
6.40
Superbet
6.40
Pinnacle
6.28
Club Brugge KV win
57.2%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.25
Edge
-17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
Dafabet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lommel United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.20
2.12
1.12
1.50
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.73
1.09
2.18
0.91
1.27
1.27
vs Weaker (8)
2.12
1.50
2.00
1.60
2.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.63
1.27
3.27
1.07
2.00
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
2.70
1.80
3.40
1.40
2.00
2.20
vs Weaker (20)
2.60
1.00
3.20
0.90
2.00
1.10
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.2%
@ 1.07-3.3%
Under 1.5
15.8%
@ 7.50+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Under
Superbet
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.7%
@ 1.29-10.1%
Under 2.5
37.3%
@ 3.44+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.53
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.5%
@ 1.76-13.4%
Under 3.5
59.5%
@ 2.05+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
SBO
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.06
Both teams to score
Yes
61.0%
@ 1.59+2.7%
No
39.0%
@ 2.23-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
No
Superbet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%@ 11.75+6.7%
1-2
9.8%@ 8.49+4.6%
0-2
8.4%@ 8.33+3.1%
0-1
7.2%@ 11.10+3.2%
1-3
6.8%@ 8.92+1.8%
0-3
5.8%@ 8.72+0.7%
2-2
5.7%@ 15.75+2.9%
2-1
5.5%@ 24.20+3.7%
Lommel United goals ↓
Club Brugge KV goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
7.2%
8.4%
5.8%
3.0%
1
3.6%
10%
9.8%
6.8%
3.5%
2
2.7%
5.5%
5.7%
3.9%
2.0%
3
1.0%
2.1%
2.2%
1.5%
0.8%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lommel United goals (down), columns = Club Brugge KV goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Lommel United is 0.47 points better than Club Brugge KV in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Lommel United is 0.06 goals better than Club Brugge KV in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 2.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Lommel United is 0.29 goals better than Club Brugge KV in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Lommel United is 15.0 percentage points worse than Club Brugge KV in terms of average possession (45% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lommel United
For 3.4 · Against 7.6 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Club Brugge KV
For 7.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 9.3 · Total 17.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lommel United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.4
3.1
2.8
3.4
23.8
23.9
23.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.8
9.0
10.6
3.1
2.9
3.3
23.4
23.5
23.3
vs Weaker (16)
10.7
11.4
10.2
3.2
2.6
3.8
24.8
25.4
24.3
% over line
48%
45%
50%
44%
48%
40%
60%
70%
50%
% under line
52%
55%
50%
56%
52%
60%
40%
30%
50%
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.3
3.3
2.7
3.8
20.1
19.4
20.8
vs Stronger (3)
6.3
4.5
10.0
2.7
3.5
1.0
17.7
18.0
17.0
vs Similar (14)
10.6
12.2
9.4
4.6
3.5
5.4
20.8
20.3
21.1
vs Weaker (33)
10.7
10.6
10.8
2.8
2.4
3.2
20.0
19.2
20.9
% over line
57%
58%
57%
36%
24%
48%
36%
29%
43%
% under line
43%
42%
43%
64%
76%
52%
64%
71%
57%
This opponent (Lommel United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.2
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
24.9
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.5
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Gent
21.2
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.5%
@ 1.46-4.3%
Under 9.5
41.5%
@ 2.47+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
Under
Marathonbet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Unibet
2.48
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.37
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.6%
@ 2.08+7.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
@ 1.64-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
Unibet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.67
Superbet
1.61
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
41.1%
Under 21.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lommel United or Draw
42.8%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.74
Edge
+17.6%
20%
23%
57%
covers Lommel United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Betano
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Lommel United or Club Brugge KV
77.1%
Avg Implied 85.2% · @ 1.11
Edge
-8.1%
20%
23%
57%
covers Lommel United + Club Brugge KV
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Draw or Club Brugge KV
80.1%
Avg Implied 89.6% · @ 1.05
Edge
-9.5%
20%
23%
57%
covers Draw + Club Brugge KV
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
10Bet
1.06
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lommel United over/under 0.5
Over
68.8%
@ 1.52+7.8%
Under
31.2%
@ 2.38-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.60
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.47
10Bet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
Lommel United over/under 1.5
Over
32.5%
@ 3.56+6.3%
Under
67.5%
@ 1.26-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.68
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Under
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Lommel United over/under 2.5
Over
11.3%
@ 9.33+1.3%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.04-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.40
Marathonbet
9.40
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Lommel United over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
@ 24.17-0.9%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5
Over
87.4%
@ 1.03-4.2%
Under
12.6%
@ 11.16+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Under
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
11.20
Unibet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5
Over
61.2%
@ 1.21-15.9%
Under
38.8%
@ 4.06+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.29
Unibet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5
Over
34.2%
@ 1.70-20.7%
Under
65.8%
@ 2.07+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Under
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Club Brugge KV over/under 3.5
Over
15.5%
@ 2.76-18.1%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.40+18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
BetVictor
2.80
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Under
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lommel United, so a minus line means Lommel United give that many goals of a start and Club Brugge KV receive them. At -1, Lommel United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lommel United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lommel United)
Lommel United -2
2.4%
Draw -2
5.6%
Club Brugge KV +2
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lommel United)
Lommel United -1
8.0%
@ 22.33+3.9%
Draw -1
11.9%
@ 12.17+4.4%
Club Brugge KV +1
80.1%
@ 1.04-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
Unibet
18.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
10.50
Away
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.01
Handicap +1 (Lommel United)
Lommel United +1
42.8%
@ 3.79+19.0%
Draw +1
21.9%
@ 4.30+0.9%
Club Brugge KV -1
35.3%
@ 1.64-19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
Superbet
3.70
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Away
Superbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +2 (Lommel United)
Lommel United +2
64.7%
@ 2.14+22.8%
Draw +2
17.6%
@ 4.12-4.1%
Club Brugge KV -2
17.7%
@ 2.46-18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.25
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lommel United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
1.06
0.50
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.36
1.00
0.27
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.88
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.50
1.67
0.40
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.50
0.70
1.80
0.60
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
0.40
1.60
0.30
0.80
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.16-6.5%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 4.69+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
Under
Superbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 1.83-13.2%
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.92+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
SBO
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
SBO
1.94
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 3.57-12.3%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.25+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.2%
@ 2.62+14.8%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.44-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Unibet
2.75
Betano
2.62
Marathonbet
2.58
10Bet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Lommel United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.7%
@ 9.39+8.8%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.03-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.80
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Lommel United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.0%
@ 37.00-96.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.8%
@ 1.31-29.0%
Under
58.2%
@ 3.18+29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Under
Superbet
3.25
Unibet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.00
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.9%
@ 2.43-29.3%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.50+29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Marathonbet
2.46
Unibet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
@ 5.52-14.8%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.11+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.70
1xBet
5.60
Unibet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lommel United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.06
0.62
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.73
1.18
0.64
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.62
0.80
0.60
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.77
1.60
0.67
1.07
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.10
1.60
0.80
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (20)
1.40
0.60
1.60
0.60
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.09-6.0%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 6.62+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Under
1xBet
7.80
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.40
William Hil
6.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.0%
@ 1.49-13.5%
Under 1.5
51.0%
@ 2.48+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Under
Unibet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.9%
@ 2.51-16.1%
Under 2.5
79.1%
@ 1.47+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.70
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.4%
@ 2.14+13.2%
Under
43.6%
@ 1.63-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.18
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
Lommel United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.2%
@ 6.82+7.6%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.07-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Lommel United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.7%
@ 18.00-0.6%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.9%
@ 1.20-25.7%
Under
48.1%
@ 4.15+25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.7%
@ 1.92-30.6%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.79+30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 3.84-21.3%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.22+21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.85
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.11
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+14.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+6.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.6%
Away +2 handicap
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.1%
1.18
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
+9.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
88.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-1.3%
Away over 0.5 goals
87.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
-4.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.25
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+12.3%
Under 25.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
84.5%
1.40
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
+18.1%
Over 1.5
84.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-3.3%
Under 5.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-8.8%
Draw or Away
80.1%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
10Bet
1.06
-9.5%
Away +1 handicap
80.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.01
-
-
-8.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
-6.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.47
Betano
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
+16.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-7.6%
Under 4.5
77.5%
1.44
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+12.2%
Home or Away
77.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.12
-8.1%
Under 23.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.16
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
-6.5%
Over 2.5 cards
72.3%
1.55
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.46
-
-
+12.6%
Over 8.5 corners
70.5%
1.26
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-1.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lommel United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Reyners50%
Ralf Seuntjens33%
Lucas Schoofs25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Jason van Duiven0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Timothy Eyoma25%
Dries Wouters25%
Lucas Schoofs25%
Shawn Adewoye25%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Jason van Duiven0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Juho Talvitie33%
Jason van Duiven25%
Stredair Appuah25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Lucas Schoofs0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jason van Duiven25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Lucas Schoofs0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Club Brugge KV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolò Tresoldi67%
Hans Vanaken33%
Hugo Vetlesen33%
Carlos Forbs33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Yann Sommer0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Freddie Potts0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Freddie Potts67%
Brandon Mechele33%
Joaquin Seys33%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Hugo Vetlesen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Forbs67%
Mamadou Diakhon33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Hugo Vetlesen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Freddie Potts0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hugo Vetlesen33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Freddie Potts0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Lommel United's squad is €169m less valuable than Club Brugge KV's (€26m vs €196m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Lommel United's attack is €84m less valuable than Club Brugge KV's (€8m vs €92m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Lommel United's midfield is €8m less valuable than Club Brugge KV's (€15m vs €23m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Lommel United's defence is €77m less valuable than Club Brugge KV's (€4m vs €81m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk