This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.37
2.20
1.13
1.47
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
6.00
-
-
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (28)
1.86
1.21
2.20
1.13
1.46
1.31
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.0%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
Lommel United goals ↓
Deinze goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
8.0%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
7.1%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.8%
8.7%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.6%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lommel United goals (down), columns = Deinze goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RAAL La Louvière
2.14
Zulte Waregem
2.07
RWDM
2.03
Patro Eisden
1.88
SK Beveren
1.65
Club Brugge II
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.39
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
Deinze
1.29
Liège
1.28
AS Eupen
1.07
Francs Borains
1.07
Lommel United
1.03
RSC Anderlecht II
0.79
Seraing United
0.76
KRC Genk II
0.48
Lommel United is 0.25 points worse than Deinze in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zulte Waregem
1.97
Patro Eisden
1.88
RAAL La Louvière
1.79
Club Brugge II
1.59
RWDM
1.55
SK Beveren
1.45
RSC Anderlecht II
1.45
Liège
1.41
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
AS Eupen
1.36
Deinze
1.29
Lokeren-Temse
1.15
Lommel United
1.14
Francs Borains
1.10
KRC Genk II
1.03
Seraing United
1.00
Lommel United is 0.15 goals worse than Deinze in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RAAL La Louvière
0.86
RWDM
0.87
Patro Eisden
1.03
Zulte Waregem
1.10
SK Beveren
1.13
K. Lierse S.K.
1.24
Lokeren-Temse
1.24
Club Brugge II
1.28
Deinze
1.43
Liège
1.52
Lommel United
1.62
AS Eupen
1.68
Francs Borains
1.72
Seraing United
1.90
RSC Anderlecht II
2.00
KRC Genk II
2.17
Lommel United is 0.19 goals worse than Deinze in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge II
57%
Lommel United
57%
Zulte Waregem
56%
RWDM
56%
Deinze
54%
SK Beveren
54%
KRC Genk II
52%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
50%
Lokeren-Temse
49%
Francs Borains
48%
Seraing United
44%
Liège
43%
RAAL La Louvière
42%
Patro Eisden
38%
Lommel United is 2.7 percentage points better than Deinze in terms of average possession (57% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lommel United
For 4.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 14.1 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deinze
For 5.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lommel United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.7
9.9
3.4
3.7
3.1
23.5
23.7
23.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
9.8
9.3
10.3
3.4
3.8
3.1
24.2
25.3
23.2
vs Weaker (18)
8.4
7.7
9.1
3.3
3.4
3.2
22.3
21.1
23.4
% over line
41%
33%
47%
50%
58%
42%
54%
56%
53%
% under line
59%
67%
53%
50%
42%
58%
46%
44%
47%
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.9
10.3
3.5
2.8
4.2
26.0
25.9
26.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.7
10.4
11.0
3.7
3.0
4.4
26.5
26.2
26.8
vs Weaker (5)
9.3
18.0
5.0
2.2
1.0
4.0
20.3
21.0
20.0
% over line
60%
65%
56%
52%
44%
60%
69%
76%
61%
% under line
40%
35%
44%
48%
56%
40%
31%
24%
39%
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
11.6
Lokeren-Temse
11.4
Seraing United
11.1
KRC Genk II
10.8
Deinze
10.6
RWDM
10.4
SK Beveren
10.4
K. Lierse S.K.
10.2
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Francs Borains
9.9
Club Brugge II
9.8
Patro Eisden
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.5
RAAL La Louvière
9.5
AS Eupen
9.5
Lommel United
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
7.1
RAAL La Louvière
6.0
Francs Borains
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.7
KRC Genk II
5.6
Liège
5.4
K. Lierse S.K.
5.3
Seraing United
5.2
RSC Anderlecht II
5.1
Deinze
5.0
Lommel United
4.8
SK Beveren
4.7
Zulte Waregem
4.3
Club Brugge II
4.2
RWDM
4.1
AS Eupen
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
RAAL La Louvière
30.8
Lokeren-Temse
29.2
Francs Borains
28.6
KRC Genk II
27.4
Patro Eisden
27.2
Seraing United
26.8
RSC Anderlecht II
26.2
Deinze
26.0
K. Lierse S.K.
25.9
SK Beveren
25.5
AS Eupen
25.1
Liège
25.1
Club Brugge II
24.0
Lommel United
23.5
Zulte Waregem
23.2
RWDM
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.4%
Under 9.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.7%
Under 3.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
81.9%
Under 21.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lommel United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.47
0.47
0.93
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.45
0.70
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.93
0.60
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.64
0.93
0.60
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lommel United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
0.93
0.47
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.67
1.09
0.55
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.44
0.50
0.25
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.70
1.27
0.53
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (28)
1.14
0.57
1.27
0.53
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lommel United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Diego Rosa33%
Lucas Schoofs29%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri25%
Nicolás Siri20%
Jason van Duiven11%
Filip Stevanović10%
Sam De Grand8%
Álvaro Santos7%
Dries Wouters7%
Ibrahima Kébé4%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Kluiverth Aguilar0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Karim Dermane0%
Tsoanelo Letsosa0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Jhon Banguera0%
Daniel McGrath0%
Yvann Titi0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Leon Lalić0%
Henry Oware0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leon Lalić60%
Jesper Tolinsson26%
Joey Pelupessy25%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde25%
Jason van Duiven25%
Yvann Titi23%
Diego Rosa22%
Yeboah Amankwah20%
Karim Dermane20%
Álvaro Santos19%
Ibrahima Kébé17%
Lucas Schoofs14%
Kluiverth Aguilar12%
Jhon Banguera11%
Matthias Pieklak11%
Dries Wouters11%
Nicolás Siri10%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri7%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Filip Stevanović0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Tsoanelo Letsosa0%
Sam De Grand0%
Daniel McGrath0%
Henry Oware0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri18%
Sam De Grand15%
Karim Dermane13%
Filip Stevanović10%
Joey Pelupessy8%
Jason van Duiven7%
Kluiverth Aguilar6%
Diego Rosa6%
Lucas Schoofs5%
Jesper Tolinsson4%
Ibrahima Kébé4%
Álvaro Santos4%
Dries Wouters4%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Tsoanelo Letsosa0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Jhon Banguera0%
Daniel McGrath0%
Yvann Titi0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Leon Lalić0%
Henry Oware0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jason van Duiven25%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri21%
Álvaro Santos15%
Diego Rosa11%
Nicolás Siri10%
Karim Dermane7%
Ibrahima Kébé4%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Lucas Schoofs0%
Filip Stevanović0%
Kluiverth Aguilar0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Tsoanelo Letsosa0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Sam De Grand0%
Jhon Banguera0%
Daniel McGrath0%
Yvann Titi0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Leon Lalić0%
Henry Oware0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
Deinze
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guillaume De Schryver40%
Zakaria Fdaouch30%
Erdon Daci25%
Lennart Mertens20%
Gaetan Hendrickx12%
Jannes Vansteenkiste12%
Tuur Dierckx11%
Christophe Janssens11%
Jellert Van Landschoot9%
Thibaut Van Acker9%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Prychynenko50%
Jaime Sierra50%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas33%
Alessio Staelens30%
Christophe Janssens22%
Guillaume De Schryver20%
Kenneth Schuermans18%
Steve De Ridder17%
Gaetan Hendrickx12%
Erdon Daci12%
Gonzalo Almenara11%
Zakaria Fdaouch10%
Lennart Mertens10%
Thibaut Van Acker9%
Tuur Dierckx0%
Jellert Van Landschoot0%
Jannes Vansteenkiste0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetan Hendrickx25%
Guillaume De Schryver20%
Zakaria Fdaouch20%
Jellert Van Landschoot18%
Erdon Daci12%
Tuur Dierckx11%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Thibaut Van Acker0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Jannes Vansteenkiste0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zakaria Fdaouch40%
Lennart Mertens30%
Thibaut Van Acker18%
Jannes Vansteenkiste12%
Erdon Daci12%
Guillaume De Schryver10%
Jellert Van Landschoot9%
Gaetan Hendrickx0%
Tuur Dierckx0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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RWDM
Patro Eisden
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
SK Beveren
Club Brugge II
Lokeren-Temse
K. Lierse S.K.
Liège
Francs Borains
AS Eupen
RSC Anderlecht II
Seraing United
KRC Genk II