Lommel United hosts KVC Westerlo in the Belgium: Jupiler Pro League, but this match is finely balanced, with the home side coming off a defeat against Charleroi. KVC Westerlo, on the other hand, has been impressive in their recent form, having won their last four matches before a 2-3 loss to Genk.
The model predicts an away win, with a 41% chance of victory for KVC Westerlo, while Lommel United has a 32% chance of winning at home and a 27% chance of drawing. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.7%.
Lommel United has an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded at home, while KVC Westerlo scores an average of 1.29 goals and concedes 0.57 goals away, particularly against similar opponents.
The model's selections include an Over 1.5 goal total with a 79.4% chance and Home or Away with a 72.9% chance. Lommel United has a 32% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 41% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win, failed to materialise as Lommel United overturned expectations with a 4-0 triumph. The model had pegged the outcome at 41 % for the visitors, yet the home side’s recent form - four wins and one draw, including a 4-0 win over Westerlo - proved decisive. The model’s selection was wrong. Among the suggested picks, the model’s eight choices all hit except the Home under 3.5 goals, which missed. The hits were: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Under 7.5 at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5 %, Under 6.5 at 97.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.1 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.1 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 93.0 %. The lone miss, Home under 3.5 goals, came at 95.2 %.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lommel United win✓ Hit
32.2%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.81
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.98
1xBet
2.91
Dafabet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.87
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.47
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.62
Dafabet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
KVC Westerlo win✗ Miss
40.7%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.34
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.55
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
1xBet
2.37
Dafabet
2.36
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lommel United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.40
1.94
1.25
1.71
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.62
1.24
1.91
1.09
1.30
1.40
vs Weaker (9)
2.33
1.78
2.00
1.60
2.75
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
1.27
1.80
1.00
1.13
vs Stronger (14)
1.00
1.79
1.12
1.75
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (16)
1.25
1.19
1.43
1.86
1.11
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
@ 1.19+0.8%
Under 1.5
20.7%
@ 4.35-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.85
Superbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.65-2.3%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.21+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.31
SBO
2.29
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.5%
@ 2.61-3.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
@ 1.46+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.1%
@ 1.53-1.8%
No
40.9%
@ 2.37+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
No
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.34+5.7%
1-2
8.9%@ 8.44+3.6%
2-1
7.8%@ 9.38+3.0%
0-1
7.5%@ 9.31+2.7%
0-0
6.8%@ 12.74+3.3%
0-2
6.6%@ 12.18+3.0%
1-0
6.4%@ 10.53+2.2%
2-2
6.0%@ 10.53+1.7%
Lommel United goals ↓
KVC Westerlo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
7.5%
6.6%
3.4%
1.3%
1
6.4%
13%
8.9%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.1%
7.8%
6.0%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.3%
3.5%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lommel United goals (down), columns = KVC Westerlo goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Lommel United is 1.37 points better than KVC Westerlo in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Lommel United is 1.08 goals better than KVC Westerlo in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Lommel United is 0.59 goals better than KVC Westerlo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Lommel United is 4.0 percentage points worse than KVC Westerlo in terms of average possession (45% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lommel United
For 3.8 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KVC Westerlo
For 4.1 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lommel United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.6
10.1
3.1
2.9
3.4
24.0
24.5
23.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.5
9.0
10.1
3.1
3.1
3.2
23.7
24.2
23.1
vs Weaker (16)
10.7
11.4
10.2
3.2
2.6
3.8
24.8
25.4
24.3
% over line
45%
45%
45%
42%
48%
36%
62%
75%
50%
% under line
55%
55%
55%
58%
52%
64%
38%
25%
50%
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.1
11.2
3.9
3.8
4.0
23.2
22.5
24.0
vs Stronger (18)
10.2
10.1
10.3
4.4
4.3
4.4
24.8
23.0
26.6
vs Similar (32)
10.9
10.1
11.6
3.7
3.5
3.8
22.4
22.2
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
50%
72%
58%
62%
54%
63%
62%
64%
% under line
39%
50%
28%
42%
38%
46%
37%
38%
36%
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
10.8
Club Brugge KV
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Anderlecht
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.1
Standard Liege
10.1
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.8
SK Beveren
9.8
Lommel United
9.6
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.2
RAAL La Louvière
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.7
SK Beveren
4.5
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
St. Truiden
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
Cercle Brugge
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
Lommel United
4.0
KVC Westerlo
3.9
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Gent
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.2
Anderlecht
25.0
RAAL La Louvière
25.0
Lommel United
24.3
Antwerp
24.0
SK Beveren
23.5
Kortrijk
23.3
Cercle Brugge
23.1
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
22.4
KV Mechelen
22.0
Charleroi
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.3
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.1%
@ 1.57+3.3%
Under 9.5
37.9%
@ 2.24-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.59
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.26
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.3%
@ 1.79-1.4%
Under 3.5
49.7%
@ 1.92+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Unibet
1.79
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.6%
Under 21.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lommel United or Draw✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied 60.2% · @ 1.55
Edge
-1.0%
32%
27%
41%
covers Lommel United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
SBO
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
Lommel United or KVC Westerlo✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.2%
32%
27%
41%
covers Lommel United + KVC Westerlo
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Draw or KVC Westerlo✗ Miss
67.8%
Avg Implied 66.6% · @ 1.40
Edge
+1.2%
32%
27%
41%
covers Draw + KVC Westerlo
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lommel United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.9%
@ 1.25-0.7%
Under
26.1%
@ 3.66+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.98
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Lommel United over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.8%
@ 2.23-3.1%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.61+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Unibet
2.28
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Betfair
1.62
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Lommel United over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.3%
@ 4.90-3.7%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.15+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
Lommel United over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.8%
@ 11.06-3.8%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.4%
@ 1.20+0.8%
Under
21.6%
@ 4.15-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.58
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Superbet
4.25
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 1.99-1.6%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.76+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.02
888Sport
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 4.17-2.4%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.20+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.24
888Sport
4.20
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
KVC Westerlo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 9.07-3.3%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.04+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lommel United, so a minus line means Lommel United give that many goals of a start and KVC Westerlo receive them. At -1, Lommel United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lommel United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lommel United)Actual: Lommel United
Lommel United -2
5.2%
@ 11.12-2.7%
Draw -2
9.6%
@ 7.26-2.6%
KVC Westerlo +2
85.2%
@ 1.11+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Lommel United)Actual: Lommel United
Lommel United -1
14.8%
@ 5.28-2.1%
Draw -1
17.4%
@ 4.47-2.5%
KVC Westerlo +1
67.8%
@ 1.41+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.25
10Bet
4.75
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.35
10Bet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Handicap +1 (Lommel United)Actual: Lommel United
Lommel United +1
59.3%
@ 1.53+1.0%
Draw +1
20.0%
@ 4.16-1.5%
KVC Westerlo -1
20.7%
@ 4.43+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Away
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Unibet
4.30
Handicap +2 (Lommel United)Actual: Lommel United
Lommel United +2
79.3%
@ 1.17+2.4%
Draw +2
12.5%
@ 6.70-0.9%
KVC Westerlo -2
8.2%
@ 9.36-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Away
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
8.90
Marathonbet
7.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lommel United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
1.00
0.50
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.38
0.91
0.27
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
1.00
1.20
1.00
1.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.53
1.20
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
0.86
0.50
0.88
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.81
0.57
1.57
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.31+3.8%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 3.26-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.0%
@ 2.41+1.3%
Under 1.5
60.0%
@ 1.52-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.43
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.56
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 5.40-2.1%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.12+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
60.5%
@ 1.99+13.6%
Under
39.5%
@ 1.75-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.02
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Lommel United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
24.4%
@ 6.09+9.2%
Under
75.6%
@ 1.09-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.00
Superbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Lommel United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 16.58+0.1%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.6%
@ 1.86-14.3%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.85+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
Superbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 5.35-10.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.12+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 15.33-5.3%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lommel United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
0.94
0.75
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.86
1.00
0.82
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.78
0.80
0.60
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KVC Westerlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.73
0.60
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.93
0.62
0.88
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.38
0.86
0.29
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.7%
@ 1.17+2.3%
Under 0.5
18.3%
@ 4.51-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.60
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.4%
@ 1.84-3.0%
Under 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.88+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Under
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.7%
@ 3.64-2.9%
Under 2.5
77.3%
@ 1.25+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.80
William Hil
3.75
888Sport
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.7%
@ 1.69+9.9%
Under
35.3%
@ 2.04-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Lommel United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
29.4%
@ 4.31+7.9%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.18-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Lommel United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 11.12+1.6%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.03-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.2%
@ 1.58-15.6%
Under
56.8%
@ 2.25+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 3.72-13.8%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.23+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 9.12-8.7%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.04+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+13.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.12
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
83.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.17
Betano
1.19
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
80.0%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.3%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.3%
1.17
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.20
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.25
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-9.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.2%
1.31
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.9%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.6%
1.33
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.9%
1.28
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.2%
1.34
Superbet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
-
Over 19.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.6%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-7.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lommel United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Reyners50%
Ralf Seuntjens33%
Lucas Schoofs25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Jason van Duiven0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Timothy Eyoma25%
Dries Wouters25%
Lucas Schoofs25%
Shawn Adewoye25%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Jason van Duiven0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Juho Talvitie33%
Jason van Duiven25%
Stredair Appuah25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Lucas Schoofs0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jason van Duiven25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Lucas Schoofs0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
KVC Westerlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Norman Bassette67%
Shunsuke Saito33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
David Amegnaglo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cisse Sandra33%
Lasse Flø33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Norman Bassette0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isa Sakamoto33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Norman Bassette0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norman Bassette33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Lommel United's squad is €11m less valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€26m vs €38m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Lommel United's attack is €8m less valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€8m vs €16m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Lommel United's midfield is €5m more valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€15m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Lommel United's defence is €8m less valuable than KVC Westerlo's (€4m vs €12m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
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Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven
Kortrijk