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Lovćen vs Rudar (Montenegro) Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-0
Lovćen
Lovćen
Vs
24%
25%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovćen win✓ Hit
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L10W34L00D04L10W12L02L03L10WH·MLA14/05A·IBA18/05H·ISK24/05H·ARS30/05A·ARS04/06A·MLA16/08H·ISK23/08A·GRB31/08H·OTR06/09A·INT10/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.531.731.131.07
vs Stronger (20)1.301.601.502.101.101.10
vs Similar (10)1.401.001.601.001.201.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D32W01L01L11D21W21W10W00DH·MLA10/05A·GRB14/05H·IGA18/05A·JEZ30/05H·JEZ04/06A·GRB16/08H·OTR23/08A·INT31/08A·KOM06/09H·BER10/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.031.800.801.671.27
vs Stronger (19)1.790.841.910.821.620.88
vs Similar (11)1.641.361.500.751.711.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.4%
Under 2.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
Lovćen goals ↓
Rudar (Montenegro) goals →
01234
05.4%7.2%7.7%4.8%2.3%
14.5%11%9.7%6.0%2.8%
23.4%6.4%6.0%3.8%1.8%
31.4%2.7%2.5%1.6%0.7%
40.4%0.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lovćen goals (down), columns = Rudar (Montenegro) goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Lovćen is 0.01 points worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Zeta
0.50
Brskovo
0.50
Lovćen is 0.48 goals worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Lovćen is 0.04 goals better than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LovćenLovćen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D20W00D03L00D00D01L02L10WH·MLA14/05A·IBA18/05H·ISK24/05H·ARS30/05A·ARS04/06A·MLA16/08H·ISK23/08A·GRB31/08H·OTR06/09A·INT10/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.800.670.600.33
vs Stronger (20)0.650.550.700.800.600.30
vs Similar (10)0.800.401.000.400.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W01L00D01L11D00D00D00DH·MLA10/05A·GRB14/05H·IGA18/05A·JEZ30/05H·JEZ04/06A·GRB16/08H·OTR23/08A·INT31/08A·KOM06/09H·BER10/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.401.000.200.530.60
vs Stronger (19)0.680.321.000.270.250.38
vs Similar (11)0.910.551.000.000.860.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LovćenLovćen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W14L00D01L10W12L01L01L00DH·MLA14/05A·IBA18/05H·ISK24/05H·ARS30/05A·ARS04/06A·MLA16/08H·ISK23/08A·GRB31/08H·OTR06/09A·INT10/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.731.070.530.73
vs Stronger (20)0.651.050.801.300.500.80
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.600.600.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L12L00D01L10W10W21W10W00DH·MLA10/05A·GRB14/05H·IGA18/05A·JEZ30/05H·JEZ04/06A·GRB16/08H·OTR23/08A·INT31/08A·KOM06/09H·BER10/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.630.800.601.130.67
vs Stronger (19)1.110.530.910.551.380.50
vs Similar (11)0.730.820.500.750.860.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Lovćen and Rudar (Montenegro) have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Lovćen and Rudar (Montenegro) have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (1)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Lovćen and Rudar (Montenegro) have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (5)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Lovćen and Rudar (Montenegro) have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
LOV wins
1
Draws
1
R( wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lovćen vs Rudar (Montenegro) · H/A from LOV
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HLOV Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-0
16/03/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs LOV0-1
30/10/24HLOV Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-3
07/09/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs LOV0-0

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/25AInternacional Podgorica Vs LOV0-1
06/09/25HLOV Vs Otrant-Olympic0-3
31/08/25AGrbalj Vs LOV2-0
23/08/25HLOV Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-2
16/08/25AMladost Lješkopolje Vs LOV0-1
04/06/25AArsenal Tivat Vs LOV4-0
30/05/25HLOV Vs Arsenal Tivat0-0
24/05/25HLOV Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-4
18/05/25AIbar Vs LOV0-1
14/05/25HLOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-5

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/25HR( Vs Berane0-0
06/09/25AKom Vs R(0-1
31/08/25AInternacional Podgorica Vs R(1-2
23/08/25HR( Vs Otrant-Olympic2-1
16/08/25AGrbalj Vs R(1-1
04/06/25HR( Vs Jezero0-1
30/05/25AJezero Vs R(1-0
18/05/25HR( Vs Igalo3-2
14/05/25AGrbalj Vs R(1-1
10/05/25HR( Vs Mladost DG2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.40
HomeLLDLL1.48
AwayWLWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.582.762.40
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.261.441.08
Conceded1.321.321.32
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.56
HomeWWLWD1.88
AwayDLDWW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals2.582.292.85
Over 1.5 %72%62%81%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.421.421.42
Conceded1.160.881.42
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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