This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.20
2.00
0.94
1.14
1.50
vs Stronger (18)
1.39
1.06
1.64
0.91
1.00
1.29
vs Similar (12)
1.92
1.42
2.80
1.00
1.29
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.8%
Under 1.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.4%
@ 2.54-5.5%
Under 2.5
68.6%
@ 1.49+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.3%
1-1 ✓
14.8%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
Lugo goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
12%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.3%
1.9%
0.4%
2
7.5%
7.0%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lugo goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Lugo is 0.64 points worse than FC Cartagena in terms of average points per game (0.74 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Lugo is 0.48 goals worse than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (0.64 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Lugo is 0.19 goals worse than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lugo
For 2.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 3.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lugo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.9
8.6
3.5
3.4
3.6
27.9
27.7
28.1
vs Stronger (28)
8.8
9.2
8.5
3.7
3.7
3.7
28.4
27.3
29.5
vs Similar (22)
9.7
10.8
8.6
3.2
2.9
3.4
27.2
28.2
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
56%
39%
48%
40%
56%
86%
78%
94%
% under line
53%
44%
61%
52%
60%
44%
14%
22%
6%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.6
7.6
3.7
3.3
4.1
28.9
29.9
27.9
vs Stronger (28)
8.9
9.8
8.0
3.7
3.9
3.5
30.5
33.3
27.3
vs Similar (22)
8.2
9.2
7.2
3.6
2.5
4.7
27.2
25.8
28.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
61%
22%
54%
46%
62%
86%
89%
83%
% under line
58%
39%
78%
46%
54%
38%
14%
11%
17%
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.8%
Under 9.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.6%
Under 21.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lugo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.47
0.13
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.38
0.38
0.00
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.50
0.57
0.29
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.69
0.38
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.39
0.64
0.36
0.57
0.43
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.75
0.80
0.40
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lugo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lugo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.27
0.67
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
0.88
0.38
0.50
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.43
1.00
0.14
0.86
0.71
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.31
0.56
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (18)
0.78
0.67
1.00
0.55
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.67
2.00
0.60
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lugo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lugo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Ramos25%
Sebas Moyano12%
Alberto Rodríguez8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Javier Avilés6%
Xavi Torres6%
Josep Señé6%
Jaume Cuéllar5%
Juanpe4%
Ángel Baena3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Pablo Clavería0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neyder Lozano56%
Patrick Sequeira50%
Jose Ricardo40%
Bruno Pirri38%
Aleksandar Pantić30%
Juanpe26%
Miguel Loureiro25%
Cesar Rodriguez25%
Xavi Torres24%
Pablo Clavería24%
Gui23%
El Hacen19%
Josep Señé18%
Jaume Cuéllar16%
Jordi Calavera15%
Castrín14%
Alberto Rodríguez14%
Andoni López12%
Chris Ramos12%
Marc Carbo10%
Manu Barreiro9%
Javier Avilés6%
Ángel Baena3%
Óscar Whalley3%
Sebas Moyano2%
Marko Šćepović0%
Álex Pérez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Idrissa Thiam17%
Jaume Cuéllar11%
Jose Ricardo10%
Juanpe9%
Gui8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Ángel Baena6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Javier Avilés0%
Chris Ramos0%
Josep Señé0%
Sebas Moyano0%
Marc Carbo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Ramos46%
Sebas Moyano15%
Javier Avilés12%
Juanpe9%
Manu Barreiro6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Ángel Baena3%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Josep Señé0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Jaume Cuéllar0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armando Sadiku26%
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Darío Poveda20%
Borja Valle13%
Óscar Arribas Pasero10%
Mikel Rico8%
Franchu7%
Isak Jansson7%
Iván Martos6%
Pablo Vázquez6%
Jairo Izquierdo González5%
Pablo De Blasis5%
Kiko Olivas4%
Pedro Alcalá3%
Damián Musto3%
Ivan Calero3%
Toni Datković0%
Pêpê0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Yan Eteki0%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Luca Sangalli0%
David Ferreiro0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Oscar Ureña0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Damián Musto44%
Toni Datković33%
Yan Eteki30%
Franchu26%
Sergio Tejera25%
Pêpê24%
Luca Sangalli23%
Pablo Vázquez22%
Jairo Izquierdo González21%
Ivan Calero21%
Oscar Ureña20%
David Ferreiro19%
Pablo De Blasis17%
Pedro Alcalá16%
Darío Poveda13%
Iván Martos12%
Mikel Rico11%
Borja Valle10%
Armando Sadiku10%
Aarón Escandell8%
Isak Jansson4%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pêpê29%
Oscar Ureña20%
David Ferreiro19%
Pablo De Blasis17%
Jairo Izquierdo González16%
Julián Delmás11%
Pablo Vázquez11%
Ivan Calero8%
Toni Datković5%
Luca Sangalli5%
Damián Musto3%
Franchu0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Borja Valle0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Iván Martos0%
Yan Eteki0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Jaime Romero0%
Mikel Rico0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Armando Sadiku0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Darío Poveda0%
Isak Jansson0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alfredo Ortuño30%
Oscar Ureña20%
Borja Valle10%
Armando Sadiku10%
Jairo Izquierdo González8%
Ivan Calero8%
Darío Poveda7%
Pablo Vázquez6%
Franchu4%
Pedro Alcalá3%
Pablo De Blasis2%
Toni Datković0%
Pêpê0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Iván Martos0%
Yan Eteki0%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Mikel Rico0%
Luca Sangalli0%
Kiko Olivas0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Isak Jansson0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Levante
Alaves
Granada CF
Las Palmas
Eibar
Albacete
FC Andorra
Oviedo
Tenerife
Racing Santander
Burgos
Zaragoza
Leganes
Huesca
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Villarreal II
Malaga
Ponferradina
Ibiza