This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
1.23
1.12
0.75
0.40
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
1.00
1.30
1.14
0.86
0.67
2.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-1 ✓
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
Lviv goals ↓
Kolos Kovalivka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
6.5%
4.4%
1.6%
0.5%
1
9.5%
13%
6.8%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.3%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.3%
4.8%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lviv goals (down), columns = Kolos Kovalivka goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Lviv is 0.77 points worse than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Lviv is 0.17 goals worse than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 0.77).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Lviv is 0.53 goals worse than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Lviv is 0.7 percentage points worse than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of average possession (47% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lviv
For 1.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 13.0 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kolos Kovalivka
For 2.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
4.3
5.0
4.0
1.5
2.4
0.9
30.3
31.0
30.0
vs Stronger (8)
4.0
-
4.0
0.9
0.0
1.2
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (5)
5.0
5.0
-
2.4
4.0
0.0
31.0
31.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
15%
20%
12%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
85%
80%
88%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
7.8
8.5
7.0
2.0
1.2
3.2
24.8
20.5
29.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
-
8.0
5.0
-
5.0
29.0
-
29.0
vs Similar (10)
7.7
8.5
6.0
1.6
1.4
2.0
23.3
20.5
29.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
50%
0%
31%
25%
40%
75%
50%
100%
% under line
75%
50%
100%
69%
75%
60%
25%
50%
0%
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
12.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
10.2
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.6
Oleksandria
9.0
Minai
9.0
Inhulets
8.8
Metal Kharkiv
8.0
Kolos Kovalivka
7.8
Dnipro-1
7.6
Ruh Lviv
7.0
Chornomorets
6.0
Vorskla Poltava
5.7
Lviv
4.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
10.0
Kolos Kovalivka
6.5
Lviv
6.3
Dynamo Kyiv
5.7
Inhulets
5.3
Minai
5.2
Metal Kharkiv
5.0
Oleksandria
4.5
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Vorskla Poltava
4.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.2
Veres Rivne
3.8
Chornomorets
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.4
Dnipro-1
3.3
Kryvbas KR
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lviv
30.3
Inhulets
28.5
Ruh Lviv
28.5
Minai
25.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
25.2
Vorskla Poltava
25.0
Kolos Kovalivka
24.8
Dynamo Kyiv
24.6
Veres Rivne
24.4
Metal Kharkiv
23.3
Chornomorets
22.3
Oleksandria
22.0
Kryvbas KR
22.0
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dnipro-1
20.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.4%
Under 9.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
89.2%
Under 3.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.2%
Under 21.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.77
0.80
1.00
0.12
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.31
0.69
0.38
0.50
0.20
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.80
0.43
0.57
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.31
0.77
0.40
1.20
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.17
0.50
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.54
0.75
0.25
0.20
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.50
0.71
0.29
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
69% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kolos Kovalivka · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Salabay23%
Yurii Klymchuk19%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Elias Telles13%
Ilir Krasniqi12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Ibrahim Kane6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Oleksandr Demchenko0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Husol60%
Zurab Rukhadze33%
Anton Salabay31%
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Valeriy Bondarenko22%
Elias Telles20%
Luka Stankovski17%
Nika Gagnidze15%
Ivan Pakholiuk13%
Andriy Poniedielnik12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Danyil Alefirenko8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Demchenko15%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Andriy Tsurikov12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Nika Gagnidze8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Elias Telles7%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Anton Salabay15%
Artem Husol14%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Andriy Poniedielnik6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Andriy Tsurikov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Elias Telles0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Eduard Kozik0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Lviv's squad is €11m less valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€2m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Lviv's attack is €4m less valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€1m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Lviv's midfield is €3m less valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€0m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Lviv's defence is €5m less valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€1m vs €5m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya