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Lviv vs Metal Kharkiv Result & Analysis

Date: 30/10/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 1-1
Lviv
Lviv
Vs
18%
23%
59%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Metal Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
Ukraine: Premier League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lviv win✗ Miss
18.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv win✗ Miss
58.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LvivLviv

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L00D01L10W03L22D13L02LH·ZOR27/08A·KRY04/09A·DYN11/09A·MIN25/09H·DNI01/10A·MET15/10H·VER18/10A·OLE22/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.751.003.000.601.00
vs Stronger (6)0.671.831.003.000.501.25
vs Similar (2)1.001.501.003.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W11D31W01L16L21W32W01LA·RUH24/08H·INH29/08A·OLE05/09A·KOL11/09H·SHA01/10A·VER07/10H·VOR15/10H·DNI23/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.751.252.501.751.00
vs Stronger (5)1.002.000.672.671.501.00
vs Similar (3)2.331.333.002.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
Lviv goals ↓
Metal Kharkiv goals →
01234
05.4%8.1%9.2%6.3%3.2%
13.8%11%9.9%6.7%3.4%
22.6%5.2%5.3%3.6%1.9%
30.9%1.9%1.9%1.3%0.7%
40.2%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lviv goals (down), columns = Metal Kharkiv goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Lviv is 0.30 points worse than Metal Kharkiv in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 0.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Lviv is 0.30 goals worse than Metal Kharkiv in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 0.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Lviv is 0.20 goals better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Lviv is 1.6 percentage points worse than Metal Kharkiv in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LvivLviv

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

LvivLviv

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
11.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.8
Dnipro-1
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dynamo Kyiv
5.8
Zorya Luhansk
5.0
Dnipro-1
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dynamo Kyiv
26.6
Dnipro-1
22.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LvivLviv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L00D02L12L11D01LH·ZOR27/08A·KRY04/09A·DYN11/09A·MIN25/09H·DNI01/10A·MET15/10H·VER18/10A·OLE22/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.381.000.671.330.200.80
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.501.500.251.00
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W11D00D04L10W10W00DA·RUH24/08H·INH29/08A·OLE05/09A·KOL11/09H·SHA01/10A·VER07/10H·VOR15/10H·DNI23/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.750.501.000.750.50
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.331.330.500.50
vs Similar (3)1.000.331.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LvivLviv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D10W01L10W02L01LH·ZOR27/08A·KRY04/09A·DYN11/09A·MIN25/09H·DNI01/10A·MET15/10H·VER18/10A·OLE22/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.750.331.670.400.20
vs Stronger (6)0.330.670.501.500.250.25
vs Similar (2)0.501.000.002.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L20W01L12L11D22D01LA·RUH24/08H·INH29/08A·OLE05/09A·KOL11/09H·SHA01/10A·VER07/10H·VOR15/10H·DNI23/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.000.751.501.000.50
vs Stronger (5)0.601.000.331.331.000.50
vs Similar (3)1.331.002.002.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Lviv's squad is €1m less valuable than Metal Kharkiv's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Lviv and Metal Kharkiv have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Lviv and Metal Kharkiv have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Lviv's defence is €1m less valuable than Metal Kharkiv's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LVI wins
0
Draws
0
MK wins

Head-to-head

Lviv vs Metal Kharkiv · H/A from LVI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LvivLviv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22AOleksandria Vs LVI2-0
18/10/22HLVI Vs Veres Rivne1-3
15/10/22AMetalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs LVI2-2
01/10/22HLVI Vs Dnipro-10-3
25/09/22AMinai Vs LVI0-1
11/09/22ADynamo Kyiv Vs LVI1-0
04/09/22AKryvbas KR Vs LVI0-0
27/08/22HLVI Vs Zorya Luhansk2-3

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/22HMK Vs Dnipro-10-1
15/10/22HMK Vs Vorskla Poltava3-2
07/10/22AVeres Rivne Vs MK1-2
01/10/22HMK Vs Shakhtar Donetsk1-6
11/09/22AKolos Kovalivka Vs MK1-0
05/09/22AOleksandria Vs MK1-3
29/08/22HMK Vs Inhulets1-1
24/08/22ARuh Lviv Vs MK1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lviv
Lviv
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL0.62
HomeLLL0.00
AwayDLWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%0%20%
AVG goals2.504.001.60
Over 1.5 %62%100%40%
Over 2.5 %50%100%20%
Over 3.5 %38%67%20%
Scored0.751.000.60
Conceded1.753.001.00
BTTS38%67%20%
Clean Sheet25%0%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Metal Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.62
HomeDLWL1.00
AwayWWLW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%25%75%
AVG goals3.253.752.75
Over 1.5 %75%75%75%
Over 2.5 %62%50%75%
Over 3.5 %38%50%25%
Scored1.501.251.75
Conceded1.752.501.00
BTTS75%75%75%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk3072
73%
2.4
6921+48
3.0
83%
63%
30%
9.8
41%
3.6
36%
22.3
64%
186
11519522.30.7
56%
2Dnipro-1Dnipro-13067
70%
2.2
6127+34
2.9
80%
67%
27%
8.8
48%
4.0
67%
22.8
63%
0
0002.00.9
56%
3Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk3067
70%
2.2
6431+33
3.2
80%
70%
47%
10.1
60%
4.0
60%
22.1
50%
11
3362.11.0
54%
4Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv3060
60%
2.0
5125+26
2.5
73%
50%
23%
9.0
50%
4.5
68%
23.5
52%
91
3226331.70.8
56%
5Vorskla PoltavaVorskla Poltava3045
43%
1.5
3837+1
2.5
70%
47%
23%
9.6
44%
5.4
72%
27.9
88%
0
0001.31.2
47%
6OleksandriaOleksandria3044
33%
1.5
4239+3
2.7
80%
50%
33%
10.1
50%
4.4
59%
21.2
43%
8
3131.41.3
52%
7Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR3041
40%
1.4
2630-4
1.9
47%
33%
13%
7.6
39%
4.3
61%
21.7
53%
11
3260.91.0
51%
8Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka3036
33%
1.2
2336-13
2.0
57%
33%
13%
10.1
52%
4.8
76%
25.4
80%
13
5350.81.2
47%
9ChornomoretsChornomorets3035
30%
1.2
3540-5
2.5
70%
53%
27%
9.3
57%
4.6
81%
22.4
45%
5
2221.21.3
49%
10Veres RivneVeres Rivne3234
28%
1.1
4147-6
2.8
62%
47%
31%
10.9
60%
4.5
60%
21.2
45%
7
3141.31.5
49%
11MinaiMinai3033
27%
1.1
2233-11
1.8
57%
23%
7%
9.2
43%
4.2
62%
24.0
67%
0
0000.71.1
45%
12Ruh LvivRuh Lviv3032
23%
1.1
3137-6
2.3
70%
43%
20%
9.2
30%
5.8
80%
25.2
70%
0
0001.01.2
49%
13InhuletsInhulets3232
25%
1.0
2437-13
1.9
62%
38%
3%
9.0
36%
4.9
73%
26.0
77%
1
0010.81.2
49%
14Metalist 1925 KharkivMetalist 1925 Kharkiv3032
20%
1.1
2342-19
2.2
67%
37%
17%
10.0
57%
4.5
67%
22.0
62%
28
107110.81.4
44%
15Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv3022
17%
0.7
2758-31
2.8
67%
53%
30%
10.3
53%
4.8
68%
24.2
59%
3
0120.91.9
48%
16LvivLviv3013
10%
0.4
1852-34
2.3
63%
33%
23%
8.0
30%
4.8
65%
26.6
80%
2
1010.61.7
47%
17LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
8571.51.0
-
18Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya23
50%
1.5
26-4
4.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →

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