This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.81
1.62
0.91
2.09
0.70
1.10
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
7.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.55
0.67
1.17
1.20
2.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
1.43
1.50
2.25
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
Under 2.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
0-2 ✓
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
Lviv goals ↓
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
1
9.4%
15%
8.1%
3.4%
1.0%
2
5.7%
7.0%
4.3%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.0%
2.5%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lviv goals (down), columns = Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Lviv is 0.63 points worse than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Lviv is 0.17 goals worse than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 0.77).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Lviv is 0.33 goals worse than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Lviv is 2.9 percentage points better than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in terms of average possession (47% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lviv
For 2.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
For 4.1 · Against 7.1 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
7.5
7.8
7.2
2.9
3.6
2.2
28.3
28.2
28.4
vs Stronger (15)
8.4
10.0
7.2
2.9
3.3
2.7
27.8
27.0
28.4
vs Similar (6)
3.5
3.5
-
2.7
4.0
0.0
30.5
30.5
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
27%
33%
20%
43%
50%
36%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
73%
67%
80%
57%
50%
64%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
10.8
9.6
11.6
2.3
1.5
3.3
24.5
27.0
22.7
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
6.0
14.0
2.3
1.0
3.0
19.0
23.0
15.0
vs Similar (11)
11.1
11.0
11.2
2.4
2.0
2.8
23.9
25.7
22.5
vs Weaker (7)
10.3
9.0
11.0
2.3
0.8
4.3
29.7
35.0
27.0
% over line
67%
60%
71%
38%
27%
50%
75%
80%
71%
% under line
33%
40%
29%
62%
73%
50%
25%
20%
29%
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oleksandria
12.2
Veres Rivne
11.4
Metal Kharkiv
11.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.8
Zorya Luhansk
9.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.3
Kolos Kovalivka
9.3
Dynamo Kyiv
9.3
Inhulets
8.9
Ruh Lviv
8.8
Minai
8.7
Vorskla Poltava
8.6
Dnipro-1
8.5
Chornomorets
8.1
Kryvbas KR
8.0
Lviv
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
6.7
Vorskla Poltava
6.2
Lviv
5.5
Dynamo Kyiv
5.3
Inhulets
5.2
Veres Rivne
5.0
Kolos Kovalivka
4.9
Oleksandria
4.9
Chornomorets
4.8
Metal Kharkiv
4.8
Kryvbas KR
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.1
Minai
3.7
Dnipro-1
3.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Inhulets
28.8
Lviv
28.3
Ruh Lviv
26.8
Vorskla Poltava
26.7
Dynamo Kyiv
25.9
Kolos Kovalivka
25.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
24.5
Veres Rivne
24.2
Metal Kharkiv
24.0
Minai
23.3
Chornomorets
22.9
Dnipro-1
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.2
Kryvbas KR
21.9
Oleksandria
21.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.0%
Under 9.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.2%
Under 21.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.24
0.76
0.40
0.60
0.09
0.91
vs Stronger (15)
0.13
0.93
0.17
0.67
0.11
1.11
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.33
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.71
0.45
0.91
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.64
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
1.00
0.60
1.20
0.45
0.82
vs Stronger (15)
0.53
1.13
0.67
1.50
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.90
0.45
1.18
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.91
0.17
0.67
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.86
1.00
1.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Itodo38%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Baton Zabergja15%
Christian Mba15%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi38%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev27%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Yevhen Pavliuk19%
Ilya Krupskyi18%
Volodymyr Salyuk17%
Igor Kogut14%
Artem Shabanov13%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Oleksandr Martinyuk10%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Baton Zabergja8%
Christian Mba8%
Peter Itodo8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Danylo Varakuta6%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Castillo20%
Ari Moura17%
Baton Zabergja8%
Igor Kogut7%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi6%
Denys Antyukh6%
Ilya Krupskyi6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Peter Itodo0%
Cauan Baptistella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Itodo46%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Sebastian Castillo20%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev9%
Baton Zabergja8%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Lviv's squad is €27m less valuable than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's (€2m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Lviv's attack is €9m less valuable than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's (€1m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Lviv's midfield is €7m less valuable than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's (€0m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Lviv's defence is €11m less valuable than Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's (€1m vs €11m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metal Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya