This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.17
1.69
1.00
2.54
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (9)
1.44
2.00
1.40
1.60
1.50
2.50
vs Weaker (18)
2.50
0.72
1.90
0.70
3.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
34% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.3%
Under 1.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.3%
Under 2.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3
11.4%
0-2
10.7%
0-4
9.1%
1-3
7.7%
1-2 ✓
7.2%
0-1
6.2%
1-4
6.2%
0-5
5.8%
Lviv goals ↓
Shakhtar Donetsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.5%
6.2%
11%
11%
9.1%
1
1.0%
5.0%
7.2%
7.7%
6.2%
2
0.5%
1.5%
2.4%
2.6%
2.1%
3
0.1%
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lviv goals (down), columns = Shakhtar Donetsk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Lviv is 1.97 points worse than Shakhtar Donetsk in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Lviv is 1.70 goals worse than Shakhtar Donetsk in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 2.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Lviv is 1.03 goals worse than Shakhtar Donetsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 0.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Lviv is 9.4 percentage points worse than Shakhtar Donetsk in terms of average possession (47% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lviv
For 2.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 6.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 14.9 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shakhtar Donetsk
For 3.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
6.1
5.6
6.8
2.7
3.8
1.7
29.0
28.4
29.8
vs Stronger (13)
6.9
7.0
6.8
2.7
3.6
2.1
28.6
27.0
29.8
vs Similar (6)
3.5
3.5
-
2.7
4.0
0.0
30.5
30.5
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
22%
20%
25%
42%
56%
30%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
78%
80%
75%
58%
44%
70%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
9.0
9.4
8.6
2.3
2.1
2.7
20.7
20.0
21.4
vs Stronger (2)
14.0
17.0
11.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
17.5
14.0
21.0
vs Similar (9)
8.0
7.8
8.2
3.1
2.2
4.2
21.0
21.0
21.0
vs Weaker (18)
8.8
9.2
8.5
1.9
1.8
2.0
21.1
20.4
21.7
% over line
38%
40%
36%
28%
19%
38%
43%
40%
45%
% under line
62%
60%
64%
72%
81%
62%
57%
60%
55%
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oleksandria
12.1
Veres Rivne
11.3
Metal Kharkiv
10.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.5
Zorya Luhansk
9.6
Dynamo Kyiv
9.5
Kolos Kovalivka
9.5
Vorskla Poltava
9.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.0
Inhulets
8.8
Ruh Lviv
8.8
Minai
8.7
Dnipro-1
8.3
Chornomorets
8.3
Kryvbas KR
7.6
Lviv
6.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
6.7
Vorskla Poltava
5.9
Lviv
5.7
Dynamo Kyiv
5.2
Veres Rivne
5.2
Inhulets
5.0
Oleksandria
5.0
Kolos Kovalivka
4.9
Chornomorets
4.7
Zorya Luhansk
4.7
Metal Kharkiv
4.2
Kryvbas KR
4.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.1
Dnipro-1
3.6
Minai
3.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vorskla Poltava
29.3
Inhulets
29.2
Lviv
29.0
Kolos Kovalivka
25.9
Dynamo Kyiv
25.5
Ruh Lviv
25.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
24.4
Metal Kharkiv
24.2
Veres Rivne
24.1
Chornomorets
23.5
Dnipro-1
23.0
Minai
22.9
Zorya Luhansk
22.3
Oleksandria
21.3
Kryvbas KR
20.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
29.2%
Under 9.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.2%
Under 21.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.26
0.79
0.44
0.67
0.10
0.90
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.12
1.12
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.33
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.52
0.69
0.31
1.31
0.77
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.67
0.80
0.40
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.22
0.39
0.70
0.30
1.88
0.50
Clean sheet %
62% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.95
0.56
1.11
0.50
0.80
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.08
0.60
1.40
0.50
0.88
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.66
1.00
0.69
1.23
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.33
0.60
1.20
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (18)
1.28
0.33
1.20
0.40
1.38
0.25
Clean sheet %
55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away win
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Shakhtar Donetsk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mykhaylo Mudryk50%
Kevin Kelsy33%
Maryan Shved25%
Dmytro Kryskiv25%
Oleksandr Zubkov22%
Lassina Traoré10%
Artem Bondarenko10%
Anatolii Trubin0%
Valeriy Bondar0%
Mykola Matviyenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Yehor Nazaryna0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Lucas Taylor0%
Danylo Sikan0%
Yukhym Konoplia0%
Heorhii Sudakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko43%
Yukhym Konoplia38%
Valeriy Bondar33%
Mykhaylo Mudryk33%
Oleksandr Zubkov22%
Mykola Matviyenko20%
Taras Stepanenko20%
Artem Bondarenko20%
Lucas Taylor17%
Danylo Sikan14%
Neven Đurasek12%
Lassina Traoré10%
Anatolii Trubin10%
Heorhii Sudakov10%
Yehor Nazaryna0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Maryan Shved0%
Dmytro Kryskiv0%
Kevin Kelsy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Heorhii Sudakov30%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko29%
Mykhaylo Mudryk17%
Danylo Sikan14%
Mykola Matviyenko10%
Lassina Traoré0%
Anatolii Trubin0%
Valeriy Bondar0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Yehor Nazaryna0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Lucas Taylor0%
Maryan Shved0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Yukhym Konoplia0%
Artem Bondarenko0%
Dmytro Kryskiv0%
Kevin Kelsy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mykhaylo Mudryk17%
Oleksandr Zubkov11%
Lassina Traoré10%
Anatolii Trubin0%
Valeriy Bondar0%
Mykola Matviyenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Yehor Nazaryna0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Lucas Taylor0%
Maryan Shved0%
Danylo Sikan0%
Yukhym Konoplia0%
Heorhii Sudakov0%
Artem Bondarenko0%
Dmytro Kryskiv0%
Kevin Kelsy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Lviv's squad is €184m less valuable than Shakhtar Donetsk's (€2m vs €186m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Lviv's attack is €114m less valuable than Shakhtar Donetsk's (€1m vs €115m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Lviv's midfield is €19m less valuable than Shakhtar Donetsk's (€0m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Lviv's defence is €51m less valuable than Shakhtar Donetsk's (€1m vs €52m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya