This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.19
1.41
1.31
1.08
1.07
1.71
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.77
1.17
1.33
0.86
2.14
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.07
1.43
0.86
1.29
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
26% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
0-2 ✓
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
Lviv goals ↓
Vorskla Poltava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
9.8%
7.4%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.2%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.5%
7.4%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.1%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lviv goals (down), columns = Vorskla Poltava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Lviv is 1.07 points worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Lviv is 0.67 goals worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Lviv is 0.50 goals worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.23).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Lviv is 0.1 percentage points better than Vorskla Poltava in terms of average possession (47% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lviv
For 3.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vorskla Poltava
For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
7.3
7.8
6.9
3.1
3.9
2.4
26.7
27.2
26.1
vs Stronger (17)
8.3
9.2
7.2
3.2
3.9
2.7
27.2
26.2
28.4
vs Similar (8)
4.8
3.5
6.0
2.9
4.0
1.8
25.5
30.5
20.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
20%
25%
14%
44%
50%
38%
87%
88%
86%
% under line
80%
75%
86%
56%
50%
62%
13%
12%
14%
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
9.0
9.0
9.0
2.9
2.9
2.8
27.2
30.2
25.0
vs Stronger (13)
9.3
9.2
9.5
2.2
3.5
1.1
30.8
33.3
27.0
vs Similar (14)
8.7
8.5
8.8
3.4
2.4
4.4
24.6
25.5
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
33%
43%
41%
38%
43%
83%
80%
86%
% under line
62%
67%
57%
59%
62%
57%
17%
20%
14%
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
11.0
Oleksandria
10.8
Metal Kharkiv
10.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.6
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Kolos Kovalivka
9.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.7
Dynamo Kyiv
9.4
Ruh Lviv
9.1
Vorskla Poltava
9.0
Minai
8.8
Inhulets
8.7
Chornomorets
8.6
Dnipro-1
8.3
Kryvbas KR
7.9
Lviv
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
6.5
Vorskla Poltava
5.9
Lviv
5.2
Dynamo Kyiv
5.1
Inhulets
4.8
Veres Rivne
4.8
Metal Kharkiv
4.7
Kolos Kovalivka
4.7
Chornomorets
4.6
Oleksandria
4.5
Kryvbas KR
4.5
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.2
Minai
3.9
Dnipro-1
3.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Inhulets
27.5
Vorskla Poltava
27.2
Lviv
26.7
Dynamo Kyiv
25.8
Ruh Lviv
25.5
Metal Kharkiv
24.6
Kolos Kovalivka
24.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
23.4
Minai
23.1
Dnipro-1
22.8
Veres Rivne
22.7
Chornomorets
22.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.6
Zorya Luhansk
21.4
Oleksandria
21.1
Kryvbas KR
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.7%
Under 9.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.8%
Under 3.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.28
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.23
0.92
vs Stronger (17)
0.12
0.94
0.12
0.75
0.11
1.11
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.56
0.77
0.46
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.85
0.83
0.67
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.29
0.71
0.29
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
0.96
0.50
1.08
0.38
0.85
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
1.06
0.50
1.25
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
32% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.85
0.54
0.62
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.92
0.33
0.67
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.79
0.71
0.57
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vorskla Poltava · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Navin Malysh38%
Denys Ndukve20%
Mykola Kovtaliuk17%
Oleksandr Sklyar14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Ibrahim Kane7%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksandr Sklyar43%
Mykola Kovtaliuk33%
Vladyslav Kulach33%
Artem Cheliadin33%
Milot Avdyli29%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi29%
Yevhen Pavliuk25%
Navin Malysh25%
Oleksandr Chornomorets20%
Pavlo Isenko14%
Luka Guček14%
Anton Salabay14%
Igor Perduta7%
Ilya Krupskyi7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor Perduta14%
Ilya Krupskyi14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Pavlo Isenko7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Oleksandr Sklyar0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milot Avdyli14%
Anton Salabay14%
Oleksandr Sklyar7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Artem Cheliadin0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya