This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.17
2.12
1.06
2.14
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.65
1.35
1.44
1.33
1.88
1.38
vs Weaker (13)
2.77
0.92
3.00
0.71
2.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2 ✓
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
Lyngby goals ↓
Brondby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
7.5%
7.7%
4.6%
2.1%
1
4.9%
12%
9.6%
5.8%
2.6%
2
3.7%
6.7%
6.0%
3.6%
1.6%
3
1.5%
2.8%
2.5%
1.5%
0.7%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyngby goals (down), columns = Brondby goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
Lyngby is 0.75 points worse than Brondby in terms of average points per game (0.84 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
Lyngby is 1.00 goals worse than Brondby in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
Lyngby is 0.09 goals better than Brondby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
Lyngby is 7.7 percentage points worse than Brondby in terms of average possession (47% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lyngby
For 4.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brondby
For 6.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lyngby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.1
11.0
3.9
4.0
3.8
24.3
24.9
23.7
vs Stronger (20)
10.5
9.9
11.2
4.4
4.5
4.2
24.7
26.4
22.7
vs Similar (30)
10.6
10.3
10.9
3.5
3.5
3.5
24.0
23.7
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
70%
64%
76%
52%
56%
48%
80%
84%
76%
% under line
30%
36%
24%
48%
44%
52%
20%
16%
24%
This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.2
10.1
3.9
3.8
4.0
21.1
19.3
22.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
9.5
9.9
9.2
4.1
4.4
3.9
21.8
20.5
22.8
vs Weaker (21)
11.0
10.5
11.6
3.7
3.2
4.2
20.0
17.9
22.4
% over line
54%
50%
58%
56%
54%
58%
48%
29%
65%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
44%
46%
42%
52%
71%
35%
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sonderjyske
11.0
Lyngby
10.6
Vejle
10.6
FC Copenhagen
10.5
Randers FC
10.3
FC Nordsjaelland
10.2
Brondby
10.1
Viborg
10.1
Aalborg
10.1
Silkeborg
9.6
Aarhus
9.0
FC Midtjylland
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Midtjylland
4.4
Aarhus
4.3
Vejle
4.1
Brondby
4.0
FC Nordsjaelland
4.0
Lyngby
3.9
Viborg
3.8
Randers FC
3.6
FC Copenhagen
3.6
Aalborg
3.5
Silkeborg
3.1
Sonderjyske
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
24.3
Sonderjyske
24.0
Randers FC
23.9
Aarhus
23.7
Vejle
23.1
Viborg
22.1
FC Midtjylland
21.7
Brondby
21.1
Aalborg
21.0
FC Nordsjaelland
20.5
FC Copenhagen
19.6
Silkeborg
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.4%
Under 3.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.40
0.47
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.18
0.33
1.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.53
0.44
0.11
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.40
1.31
0.25
1.14
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.53
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (13)
1.54
0.23
1.71
0.14
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
1.00
0.80
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.73
1.17
0.50
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.89
0.89
1.00
0.30
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.81
0.81
1.00
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.82
0.44
1.00
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.23
0.69
1.29
0.57
1.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lyngby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederik Gytkjær26%
Michael Opoku19%
Jonathan Amon13%
Sævar Atli Magnússon13%
Rasmus Thelander8%
Jesper Cornelius7%
Leon Klassen5%
Casper Winther4%
Magnus Jensen4%
Lucas Lissens4%
Lauge Sandgrav3%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Marcel Rømer0%
Mathias Hebo Rasmussen0%
Jannich Storch0%
Magnus Warming0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hämälainen0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Adam Andersson0%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Malik Abubakari0%
Baptiste Rolland0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Jonathan Ægidius0%
Tobias Storm0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Willy Kumado0%
Peter Langhoff0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rasmus Thelander33%
Malik Abubakari29%
Marcel Rømer27%
Leon Klassen27%
Mathias Hebo Rasmussen24%
Pascal Gregor20%
Adam Andersson20%
Casper Winther19%
Frederik Gytkjær19%
Magnus Jensen18%
Peter Langhoff18%
Sævar Atli Magnússon16%
Lucas Lissens14%
Baptiste Rolland14%
Willy Kumado12%
Gustav Fraulo10%
Michael Opoku10%
Magnus Warming9%
Jannich Storch8%
Brian Hämälainen8%
Jesper Cornelius7%
Jonathan Amon4%
Lauge Sandgrav3%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Jonathan Ægidius0%
Tobias Storm0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon Klassen14%
Magnus Jensen11%
Tobias Storm10%
Lauge Sandgrav9%
Oskar Buur8%
Frederik Gytkjær7%
Sævar Atli Magnússon6%
Jannich Storch4%
Casper Winther4%
Lucas Lissens4%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Marcel Rømer0%
Mathias Hebo Rasmussen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Magnus Warming0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hämälainen0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Adam Andersson0%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen0%
Malik Abubakari0%
Baptiste Rolland0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Jonathan Ægidius0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Willy Kumado0%
Peter Langhoff0%
Jesper Cornelius0%
Michael Opoku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Opoku24%
Malik Abubakari12%
Sævar Atli Magnússon10%
Magnus Warming9%
Jesper Cornelius7%
Mathias Hebo Rasmussen5%
Frederik Gytkjær4%
Magnus Jensen4%
Lucas Lissens4%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Marcel Rømer0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jannich Storch0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hämälainen0%
Leon Klassen0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Adam Andersson0%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Casper Winther0%
Baptiste Rolland0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Jonathan Ægidius0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Tobias Storm0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Willy Kumado0%
Peter Langhoff0%
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathias Kvistgaarden50%
Yuito Suzuki31%
Ohi Omoijuanfo25%
Emmanuel Yeboah25%
Nicolai Vallys20%
Mathias Greve17%
Mileta Rajović17%
Noah Nartey12%
Oscar Schwartau12%
Filip Bundgaard11%
Daniel Wass9%
Jordi Vanlerberghe9%
Frederik Alves8%
Clement Bischoff6%
Marko Divković4%
Sebastian Sebulonsen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Josip Radošević0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Jacob Rasmussen0%
Stijn Spierings0%
Sean Klaiber0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Benjamin Tahirović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordi Vanlerberghe22%
Kevin Tshiembe20%
Noah Nartey19%
Mathias Greve17%
Stijn Spierings17%
Jacob Rasmussen16%
Rasmus Lauritsen15%
Benjamin Tahirović13%
Mathias Kvistgaarden12%
Emmanuel Yeboah12%
Oscar Schwartau12%
Daniel Wass12%
Clement Bischoff12%
Sean Klaiber10%
Yuito Suzuki9%
Frederik Alves8%
Nicolai Vallys8%
Filip Bundgaard7%
Marko Divković7%
Josip Radošević5%
Mileta Rajović4%
Sebastian Sebulonsen3%
Patrick Pentz3%
Ohi Omoijuanfo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathias Kvistgaarden19%
Sebastian Sebulonsen16%
Noah Nartey16%
Sean Klaiber14%
Oscar Schwartau12%
Daniel Wass12%
Clement Bischoff12%
Yuito Suzuki11%
Marko Divković11%
Mileta Rajović8%
Nicolai Vallys8%
Filip Bundgaard7%
Benjamin Tahirović7%
Jacob Rasmussen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Mathias Greve0%
Josip Radošević0%
Frederik Alves0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Stijn Spierings0%
Ohi Omoijuanfo0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Kvistgaarden41%
Ohi Omoijuanfo25%
Yuito Suzuki23%
Mileta Rajović21%
Emmanuel Yeboah12%
Nicolai Vallys8%
Sean Klaiber7%
Noah Nartey6%
Daniel Wass6%
Clement Bischoff6%
Jordi Vanlerberghe4%
Frederik Alves4%
Filip Bundgaard4%
Sebastian Sebulonsen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Mathias Greve0%
Josip Radošević0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Jacob Rasmussen0%
Stijn Spierings0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Marko Divković0%
Benjamin Tahirović0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
Lyngby's squad is €35m less valuable than Brondby's (€13m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Lyngby's attack is €12m less valuable than Brondby's (€3m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Lyngby's midfield is €6m less valuable than Brondby's (€5m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
Lyngby's defence is €17m less valuable than Brondby's (€5m vs €22m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg
Randers FC
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
Vejle
Aalborg