This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.71
0.76
2.00
0.89
1.38
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.71
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.75
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.70
0.60
2.17
0.83
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
35% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.9%
No
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-1 ✓
11.5%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
Lyngby goals ↓
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
14%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1
4.9%
12%
9.3%
5.5%
2.4%
2
2.1%
3.7%
3.3%
1.9%
0.9%
3
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyngby goals (down), columns = FC Nordsjaelland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
Lyngby is 0.84 points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
Lyngby is 0.62 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
Lyngby is 0.44 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
Lyngby is 9.5 percentage points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average possession (45% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lyngby
For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
For 6.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 10.1 · Total 19.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lyngby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
10.0
10.1
9.9
4.1
4.1
4.1
20.5
20.8
20.2
vs Stronger (9)
9.4
8.2
10.4
3.9
4.2
3.6
19.7
20.0
19.4
vs Similar (8)
10.6
12.0
9.2
4.4
4.0
4.8
21.4
21.5
21.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
62%
56%
59%
62%
56%
41%
38%
44%
% under line
41%
38%
44%
41%
38%
44%
59%
62%
56%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
9.5
8.6
10.6
4.5
4.7
4.4
20.6
19.9
21.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
9.4
9.3
9.5
5.4
6.7
4.5
22.7
23.3
22.2
vs Weaker (10)
9.6
8.2
11.8
3.9
3.7
4.2
19.1
18.2
20.5
% over line
59%
44%
75%
71%
67%
75%
53%
56%
50%
% under line
41%
56%
25%
29%
33%
25%
47%
44%
50%
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brondby
11.6
FC Midtjylland
10.6
Randers FC
10.6
Odense
10.4
Lyngby
10.0
Aalborg
9.9
AC Horsens
9.8
Aarhus
9.6
FC Copenhagen
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
9.5
Viborg
9.3
Silkeborg
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
5.1
FC Midtjylland
4.9
Brondby
4.7
FC Nordsjaelland
4.5
AC Horsens
4.2
Lyngby
4.1
Randers FC
4.1
Odense
4.0
Viborg
3.9
Aalborg
3.7
Aarhus
3.6
Silkeborg
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aarhus
22.1
FC Midtjylland
22.0
FC Nordsjaelland
20.6
Lyngby
20.5
Aalborg
20.3
FC Copenhagen
19.9
Odense
19.5
Brondby
19.3
Viborg
19.0
Randers FC
18.4
AC Horsens
17.4
Silkeborg
14.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.3%
Under 9.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.1%
Under 3.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.9%
Under 21.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.29
0.94
0.38
0.88
0.22
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.11
0.50
1.25
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
35% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.24
1.11
0.22
0.62
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.14
1.33
0.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.30
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
82% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.94
0.38
1.12
0.78
0.78
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.88
0.25
1.50
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
35% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.82
0.53
0.89
0.67
0.75
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.30
1.17
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lyngby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Petur Knudsen25%
Kasper Jørgensen24%
Frederik Gytkjær23%
Emil Nielsen22%
Sævar Atli Magnússon19%
Alfreð Finnbogason17%
Kristian Riis11%
Mathias Kristensen8%
Rezan Corlu8%
Kolbeinn Finnsson7%
Tochi Chukwuani5%
Marcel Rømer3%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Magnus Kaastrup0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Magnus Westergaard0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hamalainen0%
Timo Letschert0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Casper Winther0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Tobias Storm0%
Willy Kumado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Timo Letschert40%
Andreas Bjelland35%
Gustav Mortensen33%
Tochi Chukwuani27%
Magnus Westergaard27%
Marcel Rømer23%
Casper Winther23%
Frederik Gytkjær23%
Emil Nielsen22%
Sævar Atli Magnússon22%
Lucas Hey17%
Mathias Kristensen17%
Petur Knudsen12%
Rezan Corlu12%
Kristian Riis11%
Pascal Gregor11%
Magnus Kaastrup11%
Alfreð Finnbogason8%
Brian Hamalainen8%
Kolbeinn Finnsson7%
Adam Sørensen6%
Kasper Jørgensen6%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg4%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Tobias Storm0%
Willy Kumado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alfreð Finnbogason25%
Brian Hamalainen24%
Kolbeinn Finnsson21%
Sanders Ngabo12%
Willy Kumado12%
Rasmus Thellufsen11%
Lucas Hey9%
Sævar Atli Magnússon7%
Adam Sørensen6%
Magnus Kaastrup5%
Mathias Kristensen4%
Pascal Gregor4%
Marcel Rømer3%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Kristian Riis0%
Kasper Jørgensen0%
Rezan Corlu0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Magnus Westergaard0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Emil Nielsen0%
Timo Letschert0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Petur Knudsen0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Casper Winther0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Tobias Storm0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Kristensen25%
Kristian Riis22%
Kasper Jørgensen18%
Petur Knudsen12%
Rezan Corlu12%
Emil Nielsen11%
Magnus Kaastrup11%
Magnus Westergaard7%
Frederik Gytkjær5%
Sævar Atli Magnússon4%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Alfreð Finnbogason0%
Marcel Rømer0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hamalainen0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Timo Letschert0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Casper Winther0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Tobias Storm0%
Willy Kumado0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Schjelderup53%
Emiliano Marcondes38%
Ernest Nuamah37%
Wahid Faghir19%
Rocco Ascone17%
Mohammed Diomande16%
Oliver Antman12%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Martin Frese8%
Daniel Svensson7%
Mads Hansen4%
Adamo Nagalo4%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Bidstrup0%
Leo Walta0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Osman33%
Martin Frese27%
Jacob Christensen27%
Adamo Nagalo18%
Mads Bidstrup17%
Erik Marxen16%
Ernest Nuamah13%
Mario Dorgeles13%
Emiliano Marcondes12%
Mohammed Diomande12%
Andreas Schjelderup12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Oliver Villadsen10%
Rocco Ascone8%
Benjamin Nygren8%
Mads Hansen8%
Daniel Svensson7%
Kian Hansen6%
Andreas Hansen6%
Oliver Antman0%
Leo Walta0%
Wahid Faghir0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Christensen20%
Ernest Nuamah13%
Mario Dorgeles13%
Emiliano Marcondes12%
Mohammed Diomande12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Oliver Villadsen10%
Daniel Svensson7%
Kian Hansen6%
Oliver Antman6%
Wahid Faghir6%
Erik Marxen5%
Benjamin Nygren4%
Martin Frese4%
Mads Hansen4%
Adamo Nagalo4%
Mads Bidstrup3%
Andreas Hansen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Leo Walta0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emiliano Marcondes38%
Ernest Nuamah37%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Andreas Schjelderup12%
Mads Hansen12%
Mohammed Diomande6%
Wahid Faghir6%
Martin Frese4%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Oliver Antman0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Bidstrup0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Leo Walta0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Lasso Coulibaly0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
Lyngby's squad is €24m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€13m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Lyngby's attack is €15m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€3m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Lyngby's midfield is €2m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€5m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Lyngby's defence is €7m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€5m vs €12m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →