Lynx are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6% probability, indicating a tight contest. Lynx, playing against a weaker side, average 1.75 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded at home, while College 1975, facing a stronger opponent on the road, manage 0.9 goals scored and concede 2.4. The win-draw-away percentages stand at 44%, 27%, and 30% respectively. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 7.5 at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0%, Under 6.5 at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.7%, and Under 5.5 at 92.6%. Lynx, fresh from a defeat, face College 1975, who also come off a loss, setting the stage for a cautious, low-scoring match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lynx win
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
College 1975 win
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lynx
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.67
1.29
1.93
1.56
1.44
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
2.36
0.50
3.75
1.43
1.57
vs Similar (12)
1.42
1.75
1.50
1.83
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
0.43
1.75
0.25
2.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
College 1975
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.93
0.73
2.07
1.00
1.80
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
2.23
0.58
2.08
0.90
2.40
vs Similar (8)
1.25
1.12
1.33
2.00
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lynx) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
Lynx goals ↓
College 1975 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
6.0%
4.6%
2.0%
0.6%
1
7.7%
13%
7.4%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.2%
5.9%
2.6%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.9%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lynx goals (down), columns = College 1975 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Lynx is 0.62 points better than College 1975 in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 0.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Europa
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Lynx is 0.73 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Lynx is 0.38 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.05).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lynx or Draw
70.4%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
30%
covers Lynx + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lynx or College 1975
73.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
30%
covers Lynx + College 1975
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or College 1975
56.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
30%
covers Draw + College 1975
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lynx over/under 0.5
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 1.5
Over
47.7%
Under
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 2.5
Over
21.8%
Under
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 3.5
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5
Over
72.5%
Under
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5
Over
37.0%
Under
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5
Over
14.1%
Under
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 3.5
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lynx, so a minus line means Lynx give that many goals of a start and College 1975 receive them. At -1, Lynx must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lynx win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lynx)
Lynx -2
9.5%
Draw -2
13.5%
College 1975 +2
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lynx)
Lynx -1
23.0%
Draw -1
20.7%
College 1975 +1
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lynx)
Lynx +1
70.4%
Draw +1
16.4%
College 1975 -1
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lynx)
Lynx +2
86.8%
Draw +2
8.7%
College 1975 -2
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lynx
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.50
0.79
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.91
0.25
1.00
0.86
0.86
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.08
0.67
1.17
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.14
0.50
0.00
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
College 1975
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.83
0.20
0.93
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.14
1.00
0.08
0.92
0.20
1.10
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.38
0.67
1.00
0.40
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lynx) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.1%
Under 0.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.6%
Under 1.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.3%
Under 2.5
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lynx over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.4%
Under
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.3%
Under
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lynx
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.79
1.14
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.45
0.25
2.75
0.57
0.71
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.29
1.25
0.25
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
College 1975
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.53
1.13
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
0.59
1.23
0.50
1.17
0.70
1.30
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.75
0.67
1.00
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lynx) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.7%
Under 0.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.5%
Under 1.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.5%
Under 2.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lynx over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.0%
Under
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.3%
Under
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Lynx and College 1975 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Lynx and College 1975 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Lynx and College 1975 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Lynx and College 1975 have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →