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Magpies vs Europa Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2023
Time: 14:30
Final 3-1
Magpies
Magpies
Vs
41%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Magpies win✓ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Europa win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L01L50W12L00D00D13L42W20W20WA·LIN25/02H·ST 04/03A·LYN08/04H·EUR16/04A·GLA23/04H·DUN13/07A·DUN20/07A·MON24/09H·MAN30/09A·LIO05/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.891.001.690.852.071.14
vs Stronger (6)1.672.000.503.002.251.50
vs Similar (16)1.560.881.220.562.001.29
vs Weaker (5)3.200.205.000.002.000.33
Clean sheet %44% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W30W21W21W12L23L03L03L13LA·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03H·ST 09/04A·MAG16/04A·LIN22/04A·DUK13/07H·DUK20/07A·ST 16/09H·COL22/09H·LYN06/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.961.191.931.272.001.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.251.001.121.381.38
vs Weaker (11)3.091.093.001.433.250.50
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
Magpies goals ↓
Europa goals →
01234
06.5%6.2%5.1%2.3%0.8%
17.1%13%7.9%3.6%1.2%
26.4%8.9%6.1%2.8%1.0%
33.3%4.6%3.2%1.5%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Magpies goals (down), columns = Europa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
St Joseph S Fc
2.52
Magpies
1.84
Europa Point
1.40
Lynx
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.32
Manchester 62
1.16
Europa
1.00
Glacis United
0.80
Lions Gibraltar
0.65
College 1975
0.55
Magpies is 0.84 points better than Europa in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.44
St Joseph S Fc
2.48
Magpies
2.20
Manchester 62
1.76
Mons Calpe
1.48
Lynx
1.45
Europa Point
1.28
Europa
1.25
Glacis United
1.05
College 1975
1.05
Lions Gibraltar
0.80
Magpies is 0.95 goals better than Europa in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.60
St Joseph S Fc
0.64
Europa Point
1.24
Magpies
1.44
Lynx
1.55
Mons Calpe
1.56
Europa
1.70
Glacis United
2.35
Lions Gibraltar
2.50
Manchester 62
2.56
College 1975
3.25
Magpies is 0.26 goals better than Europa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.70).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L30W11D00D00D11D11D10W10WA·LIN25/02H·ST 04/03A·LYN08/04H·EUR16/04A·GLA23/04H·DUN13/07A·DUN20/07A·MON24/09H·MAN30/09A·LIO05/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.331.000.311.000.36
vs Stronger (6)0.830.500.001.001.250.25
vs Similar (16)0.810.310.560.221.140.43
vs Weaker (5)1.800.204.000.000.330.33
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D11D10W11D11D00D01L01LA·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03H·ST 09/04A·MAG16/04A·LIN22/04A·DUK13/07H·DUK20/07A·ST 16/09H·COL22/09H·LYN06/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.480.800.530.830.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.380.500.120.620.620.38
vs Weaker (11)1.450.451.570.431.250.50
Clean sheet %59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D20W01L00D00D02L31W10W10WA·LIN25/02H·ST 04/03A·LYN08/04H·EUR16/04A·GLA23/04H·DUN13/07A·DUN20/07A·MON24/09H·MAN30/09A·LIO05/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.670.690.541.070.79
vs Stronger (6)0.831.500.502.001.001.25
vs Similar (16)0.750.560.670.330.860.86
vs Weaker (5)1.400.001.000.001.670.00
Clean sheet %59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W30W10W11D01L12L03L02L12LA·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03H·ST 09/04A·MAG16/04A·LIN22/04A·DUK13/07H·DUK20/07A·ST 16/09H·COL22/09H·LYN06/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.150.701.130.731.170.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.750.880.500.751.00
vs Weaker (11)1.640.641.431.002.000.00
Clean sheet %48% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.0%--------
Over 1.580.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.1%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Magpies and Europa have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Magpies and Europa have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Magpies and Europa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Magpies and Europa have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
MAG wins
2
Draws
1
EUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Magpies vs Europa · H/A from MAG
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23HMAG Vs Europa1-2
03/02/23AEuropa Vs MAG0-0
30/09/22AEuropa Vs MAG1-1

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/23ALions Gibraltar Vs MAG0-2
30/09/23HMAG Vs Manchester 622-0
24/09/23AMons Calpe Vs MAG2-4
20/07/23ADundalk Vs MAG3-1
13/07/23HMAG Vs Dundalk0-0
23/04/23AGlacis United Vs MAG0-0
16/04/23HMAG Vs Europa1-2
08/04/23ALynx Vs MAG0-5
04/03/23HMAG Vs St Joseph S Fc0-1
25/02/23ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MAG3-1

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/23HEUR Vs Lynx1-3
22/09/23HEUR Vs College 19750-3
16/09/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs EUR3-0
20/07/23HEUR Vs Dukagjini2-3
13/07/23ADukagjini Vs EUR2-1
22/04/23ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs EUR1-2
16/04/23AMagpies Vs EUR1-2
09/04/23HEUR Vs St Joseph S Fc3-0
05/03/23AGlacis United Vs EUR0-1
24/02/23ALynx Vs EUR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Magpies
Magpies
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.85
HomeWLLDW1.77
AwayWDLWW1.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%54%57%
AVG goals2.892.543.21
Over 1.5 %78%69%86%
Over 2.5 %56%38%71%
Over 3.5 %37%15%57%
Scored1.891.692.07
Conceded1.000.851.14
BTTS48%31%64%
Clean Sheet44%54%36%
Corners8.008.008.00
Cards5.756.505.00
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.63
HomeLWLLL1.53
AwayWWWLL1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%47%58%
AVG goals3.153.203.08
Over 1.5 %81%80%83%
Over 2.5 %63%67%58%
Over 3.5 %26%33%17%
Scored1.961.932.00
Conceded1.191.271.08
BTTS41%47%33%
Clean Sheet33%33%33%
Corners10.009.0010.50
Cards8.339.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2565
84%
2.6
8615+71
4.0
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2563
80%
2.5
6216+46
3.1
84%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.50.6
-
3MagpiesMagpies2546
56%
1.8
5536+19
3.6
84%
68%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.4
-
4Europa PointEuropa Point2535
40%
1.4
3231+1
2.5
64%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
5Mons CalpeMons Calpe2533
36%
1.3
3739-2
3.0
88%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
6Manchester 62Manchester 622529
36%
1.2
4464-20
4.3
92%
76%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.6
-
7LynxLynx2027
40%
1.4
2931-2
3.0
85%
60%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8EuropaEuropa2020
30%
1.0
2534-9
3.0
65%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.21.7
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2016
25%
0.8
2147-26
3.4
80%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.4
-
10Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2013
15%
0.7
1650-34
3.3
85%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.5
-
11College 1975College 19752011
15%
0.6
2165-44
4.3
90%
75%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.2
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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