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Magpies vs Europa Result & Analysis

Date: 12/09/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 1-2
Magpies
Magpies
Vs
30%
25%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Magpies win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Europa win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W21W02L02L01L24L23L14L22D00DH·MON15/03A·LIO05/04H·ST 11/04H·MAN19/04A·LIN27/04A·EUR04/05H·PAI10/07A·PAI17/07H·MAN23/08A·MON31/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.731.711.792.121.69
vs Stronger (9)0.782.891.003.000.602.80
vs Similar (15)1.671.401.571.141.751.62
vs Weaker (6)4.330.833.001.675.670.00
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W12L30W21W04L12L41W42W10W02LH·LYN07/02A·ST 07/03H·LIO15/03A·MAN06/04H·LIN12/04A·ST 19/04A·LIO25/04H·MAG04/05A·MON22/08H·LYN30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.202.201.132.201.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.591.531.881.621.331.44
vs Weaker (13)3.000.772.570.573.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.1%
Under 2.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
1-2 ✓
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
Magpies goals ↓
Europa goals →
01234
04.7%5.7%6.2%3.8%1.7%
14.4%11%9.1%5.5%2.5%
24.0%7.3%6.7%4.1%1.9%
32.0%3.6%3.3%2.0%0.9%
40.7%1.3%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Magpies goals (down), columns = Europa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
Manchester 62
0.77
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Magpies is 0.80 points worse than Europa in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.07).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Manchester 62
1.27
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Magpies is 0.83 goals worse than Europa in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.96).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Manchester 62
3.59
Magpies is 0.68 goals worse than Europa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.78).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W01L01L01L11D12L01L12L00DH·MON15/03A·LIO05/04H·ST 11/04H·MAN19/04A·LIN27/04A·EUR04/05H·PAI10/07A·PAI17/07H·MAN23/08A·MON31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.640.790.810.62
vs Stronger (9)0.561.110.751.500.400.80
vs Similar (15)0.670.670.570.570.750.75
vs Weaker (6)1.170.170.670.331.670.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W11D02L01L21W11D00D02LH·LYN07/02A·ST 07/03H·LIO15/03A·MAN06/04H·LIN12/04A·ST 19/04A·LIO25/04H·MAG04/05A·MON22/08H·LYN30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.601.000.670.730.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.711.000.880.560.56
vs Weaker (13)1.000.461.000.431.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D01L01L00D13L11D13L10W00DH·MON15/03A·LIO05/04H·ST 11/04H·MAN19/04A·LIN27/04A·EUR04/05H·PAI10/07A·PAI17/07H·MAN23/08A·MON31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.031.071.001.311.06
vs Stronger (9)0.221.780.251.500.202.00
vs Similar (15)1.000.731.000.571.000.88
vs Weaker (6)3.170.672.331.334.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EuropaEuropa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L20W10W02L11D20W31W10W00DH·LYN07/02A·ST 07/03H·LIO15/03A·MAN06/04H·LIN12/04A·ST 19/04A·LIO25/04H·MAG04/05A·MON22/08H·LYN30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.601.200.471.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.820.820.880.750.780.89
vs Weaker (13)2.000.311.570.142.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Magpies and Europa have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Magpies and Europa have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Magpies and Europa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Magpies and Europa have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MAG wins
3
Draws
4
EUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Magpies vs Europa · H/A from MAG
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25AEuropa Vs MAG4-2
11/01/25AEuropa Vs MAG2-0
28/09/24HMAG Vs Europa0-0
11/02/24AEuropa Vs MAG4-3
21/10/23HMAG Vs Europa3-1
16/04/23HMAG Vs Europa1-2
03/02/23AEuropa Vs MAG0-0
30/09/22AEuropa Vs MAG1-1

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25AMons Calpe Vs MAG0-0
23/08/25HMAG Vs Manchester 622-2
17/07/25APaide Vs MAG4-1
10/07/25HMAG Vs Paide2-3
04/05/25AEuropa Vs MAG4-2
27/04/25ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MAG1-0
19/04/25HMAG Vs Manchester 620-2
11/04/25HMAG Vs St Joseph S Fc0-2
05/04/25ALions Gibraltar Vs MAG1-2
15/03/25HMAG Vs Mons Calpe4-1

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HEUR Vs Lynx0-2
22/08/25AMons Calpe Vs EUR0-1
04/05/25HEUR Vs Magpies4-2
25/04/25ALions Gibraltar Vs EUR1-4
19/04/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs EUR2-1
12/04/25HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-4
06/04/25AManchester 62 Vs EUR1-2
15/03/25HEUR Vs Lions Gibraltar3-0
07/03/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs EUR2-1
07/02/25HEUR Vs Lynx3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Magpies
Magpies
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.44
HomeWLLLD1.75
AwayWLLLD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals3.583.673.50
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %72%79%65%
Over 3.5 %46%54%38%
Scored1.922.041.81
Conceded1.661.621.69
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners9.5011.008.00
Cards3.002.004.00
Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.56
HomeWWLWL1.46
AwayLWLWW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals3.243.423.08
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %72%71%73%
Over 3.5 %42%46%38%
Scored1.821.831.81
Conceded1.421.581.27
BTTS56%46%65%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.509.0010.00
Cards9.5012.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2772
85%
2.7
8917+72
3.9
93%
81%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.30.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2763
74%
2.3
9617+79
4.2
81%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0013.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2756
67%
2.1
5321+32
2.7
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.00.8
-
4Mons CalpeMons Calpe2753
63%
2.0
6335+28
3.6
93%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.31.3
-
5Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2743
48%
1.6
5344+9
3.6
89%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.01.6
-
6LynxLynx2734
37%
1.3
3845-7
3.1
70%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
7MagpiesMagpies2228
36%
1.3
2532-7
2.6
68%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
8Europa PointEuropa Point2222
32%
1.0
3161-30
4.2
86%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.8
-
9Manchester 62Manchester 622217
23%
0.8
2879-51
4.9
86%
82%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.6
-
10College 1975College 19752214
14%
0.6
1545-30
2.7
68%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
11Glacis UnitedGlacis United2212
14%
0.5
1857-39
3.4
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.6
-
12Hound DogsHound Dogs228
5%
0.4
1066-56
3.5
91%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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