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Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar Result & Analysis

Date: 15/12/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
Magpies
Magpies
Vs
70%
19%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Magpies win✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar win✗ Miss
11.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W13L11D10W21W70W01L21W20W40WH·CRU07/07A·CRU14/07A·EUR30/09H·MAN14/10A·ST 22/10H·EUR29/10H·LYN06/11A·GLA27/11H·MON04/12A·COL11/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.200.802.400.402.001.20
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (6)1.171.001.250.501.002.00
vs Weaker (3)4.330.337.000.003.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L10W00D01L11D51W06L03LH·ST 02/10A·EUR09/10H·LYN16/10A·GLA22/10H·MON29/10H·COL04/11A·LIN02/12H·EUR10/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.001.401.800.332.33
vs Stronger (3)0.334.330.503.500.006.00
vs Similar (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Weaker (3)2.000.675.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %25% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
Magpies goals ↓
Lions Gibraltar goals →
01234
04.9%2.7%1.5%0.4%0.1%
18.8%9.0%3.5%1.0%0.2%
211%9.6%4.1%1.2%0.3%
38.7%7.5%3.2%0.9%0.2%
45.1%4.4%1.9%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Magpies goals (down), columns = Lions Gibraltar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
Europa
2.20
Magpies
1.85
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.61
Manchester 62
1.56
St Joseph S Fc
1.50
Lions Gibraltar
1.06
Glacis United
0.65
College 1975
0.50
Europa Point
0.39
Magpies is 0.79 points better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.40
Europa
2.40
Magpies
1.95
Manchester 62
1.89
St Joseph S Fc
1.75
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.56
Lions Gibraltar
1.39
College 1975
1.06
Glacis United
0.95
Europa Point
0.67
Magpies is 0.56 goals better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.70
Europa
0.75
Magpies
0.90
St Joseph S Fc
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.39
Lynx
1.45
Manchester 62
1.67
Lions Gibraltar
2.06
Glacis United
2.45
College 1975
2.83
Europa Point
3.61
Magpies is 1.16 goals better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 2.06).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D10W00D01L50W00D01L10W10WH·CRU07/07A·CRU14/07A·EUR30/09H·MAN14/10A·ST 22/10H·EUR29/10H·LYN06/11A·GLA27/11H·MON04/12A·COL11/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.301.400.000.600.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.670.170.500.001.000.50
vs Weaker (3)2.000.335.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D00D00D10W20W04L01LH·ST 02/10A·EUR09/10H·LYN16/10A·GLA22/10H·MON29/10H·COL04/11A·LIN02/12H·EUR10/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.750.800.400.001.33
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.501.000.004.00
vs Similar (2)0.500.000.500.00--
vs Weaker (3)0.670.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L01L10W20W20W01L20W10W30WH·CRU07/07A·CRU14/07A·EUR30/09H·MAN14/10A·ST 22/10H·EUR29/10H·LYN06/11A·GLA27/11H·MON04/12A·COL11/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.501.000.401.400.60
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (6)0.500.830.750.500.001.50
vs Weaker (3)2.330.002.000.002.500.00
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W00D01L01L31W02L02LH·ST 02/10A·EUR09/10H·LYN16/10A·GLA22/10H·MON29/10H·COL04/11A·LIN02/12H·EUR10/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.250.601.400.331.00
vs Stronger (3)0.002.330.002.500.002.00
vs Similar (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Weaker (3)1.330.673.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %25% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Magpies and Lions Gibraltar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Magpies and Lions Gibraltar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Magpies and Lions Gibraltar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Magpies and Lions Gibraltar have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MAG wins
0
Draws
0
LG wins

Head-to-head

Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar · H/A from MAG
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/22ACollege 1975 Vs MAG0-4
04/12/22HMAG Vs Mons Calpe2-0
27/11/22AGlacis United Vs MAG1-2
06/11/22HMAG Vs Lynx0-1
29/10/22HMAG Vs Europa Point7-0
22/10/22ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG1-2
14/10/22HMAG Vs Manchester 621-0
30/09/22AEuropa Vs MAG1-1
14/07/22ACrusaders FC Vs MAG3-1
07/07/22HMAG Vs Crusaders FC2-1

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/22HLG Vs Europa0-3
02/12/22ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs LG6-0
04/11/22HLG Vs College 19755-1
29/10/22HLG Vs Mons Calpe1-1
22/10/22AGlacis United Vs LG1-0
16/10/22HLG Vs Lynx0-0
09/10/22AEuropa Point Vs LG0-1
02/10/22HLG Vs St Joseph S Fc1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Magpies
Magpies
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.20
HomeWWWLW2.40
AwayLDWWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%80%60%
AVG goals3.002.803.20
Over 1.5 %80%60%100%
Over 2.5 %60%40%80%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored2.202.402.00
Conceded0.800.401.20
BTTS50%20%80%
Clean Sheet40%60%20%
Corners9.5010.009.00
Cards6.508.005.00
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.00
HomeLDDWL1.00
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%20%33%
AVG goals3.003.202.67
Over 1.5 %62%80%33%
Over 2.5 %50%60%33%
Over 3.5 %38%40%33%
Scored1.001.400.33
Conceded2.001.802.33
BTTS38%60%0%
Clean Sheet25%20%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2052
85%
2.6
6814+54
4.1
90%
85%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.7
-
2EuropaEuropa2044
70%
2.2
4815+33
3.1
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.40.8
-
3MagpiesMagpies2037
55%
1.9
3918+21
2.9
75%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.9
-
4LynxLynx2033
50%
1.6
3329+4
3.1
85%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2030
45%
1.5
3527+8
3.1
85%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.4
-
6Mons CalpeMons Calpe1829
50%
1.6
2825+3
2.9
83%
61%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
7Manchester 62Manchester 621828
50%
1.6
3430+4
3.6
89%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
8Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar1819
28%
1.1
2537-12
3.4
78%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.1
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2013
20%
0.7
1949-30
3.4
75%
60%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.5
-
10College 1975College 1975189
11%
0.5
1951-32
3.9
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.8
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point187
6%
0.4
1265-53
4.3
83%
72%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.6
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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