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Magpies vs Lynx Result & Analysis

Date: 29/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Magpies
Magpies
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lynx
Lynx
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Magpies win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lynx win✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W70W01L21W20W40W20W31W15L31WA·ST 22/10H·EUR29/10H·LYN06/11A·GLA27/11H·MON04/12A·COL11/12H·LIO15/12A·LIN18/12H·LIN08/01A·ST 21/01
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.211.072.141.002.291.14
vs Stronger (4)2.252.001.005.002.671.00
vs Similar (7)1.290.861.400.401.002.00
vs Weaker (3)4.330.337.000.003.000.50
Clean sheet %36% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lynx) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynxLynx

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D12L12L10W42W12L51W20W12L14LA·LIO16/10H·LIN23/10A·EUR30/10A·MAG06/11H·MAN26/11A·ST 03/12H·EUR09/12A·GLA20/12A·EUR06/01H·LIN22/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.332.401.801.141.00
vs Stronger (6)1.502.332.002.671.002.00
vs Similar (4)2.000.505.001.001.000.33
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
Magpies goals ↓
Lynx goals →
01234
07.2%6.4%4.8%2.0%0.6%
18.1%13%7.4%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.1%5.7%2.4%0.8%
33.7%4.7%3.0%1.2%0.4%
41.4%1.8%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Magpies goals (down), columns = Lynx goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
Europa
2.20
Magpies
1.85
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.61
Manchester 62
1.56
St Joseph S Fc
1.50
Lions Gibraltar
1.06
Glacis United
0.65
College 1975
0.50
Europa Point
0.39
Magpies is 0.20 points better than Lynx in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.65).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.40
Europa
2.40
Magpies
1.95
Manchester 62
1.89
St Joseph S Fc
1.75
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.56
Lions Gibraltar
1.39
College 1975
1.06
Glacis United
0.95
Europa Point
0.67
Magpies is 0.30 goals better than Lynx in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 1.65).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.70
Europa
0.75
Magpies
0.90
St Joseph S Fc
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.39
Lynx
1.45
Manchester 62
1.67
Lions Gibraltar
2.06
Glacis United
2.45
College 1975
2.83
Europa Point
3.61
Magpies is 0.55 goals better than Lynx in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.45).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L50W00D01L10W10W00D20W01L20WA·ST 22/10H·EUR29/10H·LYN06/11A·GLA27/11H·MON04/12A·COL11/12H·LIO15/12A·LIN18/12H·LIN08/01A·ST 21/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.291.000.141.000.43
vs Stronger (4)1.000.500.001.001.330.33
vs Similar (7)0.570.140.400.001.000.50
vs Weaker (3)2.000.335.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %71% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Lynx) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynxLynx

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L00D11D02L30W10W02L12LA·LIO16/10H·LIN23/10A·EUR30/10A·MAG06/11H·MAN26/11A·ST 03/12H·EUR09/12A·GLA20/12A·EUR06/01H·LIN22/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.751.200.600.140.86
vs Stronger (6)0.501.331.001.000.001.67
vs Similar (4)0.750.253.000.000.000.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W01L20W10W30W20W11D14L11DA·ST 22/10H·EUR29/10H·LYN06/11A·GLA27/11H·MON04/12A·COL11/12H·LIO15/12A·LIN18/12H·LIN08/01A·ST 21/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.210.791.140.861.290.71
vs Stronger (4)1.251.501.004.001.330.67
vs Similar (7)0.710.711.000.400.001.50
vs Weaker (3)2.330.002.000.002.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lynx) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynxLynx

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L11D10W31W10W21W10W10W02LA·LIO16/10H·LIN23/10A·EUR30/10A·MAG06/11H·MAN26/11A·ST 03/12H·EUR09/12A·GLA20/12A·EUR06/01H·LIN22/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.080.581.201.201.000.14
vs Stronger (6)1.001.001.001.671.000.33
vs Similar (4)1.250.252.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %58% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lynx over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Magpies and Lynx have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Magpies and Lynx have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Magpies and Lynx have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Magpies and Lynx have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MAG wins
0
Draws
1
LYN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Magpies vs Lynx · H/A from MAG
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/22HMAG Vs Lynx0-1

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG1-3
08/01/23HMAG Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-5
18/12/22ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MAG1-3
15/12/22HMAG Vs Lions Gibraltar2-0
11/12/22ACollege 1975 Vs MAG0-4
04/12/22HMAG Vs Mons Calpe2-0
27/11/22AGlacis United Vs MAG1-2
06/11/22HMAG Vs Lynx0-1
29/10/22HMAG Vs Europa Point7-0
22/10/22ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG1-2

LynxLynx

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/01/23HLYN Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-4
06/01/23AEuropa Vs LYN2-1
20/12/22AGlacis United Vs LYN0-2
09/12/22HLYN Vs Europa Point5-1
03/12/22ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LYN2-1
26/11/22HLYN Vs Manchester 624-2
06/11/22AMagpies Vs LYN0-1
30/10/22AEuropa Vs LYN2-1
23/10/22HLYN Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-2
16/10/22ALions Gibraltar Vs LYN0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Magpies
Magpies
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.21
HomeWLWWL2.14
AwayWWWWW2.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%71%71%
AVG goals3.293.143.43
Over 1.5 %86%71%100%
Over 2.5 %64%43%86%
Over 3.5 %43%29%57%
Scored2.212.142.29
Conceded1.071.001.14
BTTS57%29%86%
Clean Sheet36%57%14%
Corners9.5010.009.00
Cards6.508.005.00
Lynx
Lynx
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.58
HomeWLWWL1.80
AwayLWLWL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%43%
AVG goals3.004.202.14
Over 1.5 %75%80%71%
Over 2.5 %67%80%57%
Over 3.5 %25%60%0%
Scored1.672.401.14
Conceded1.331.801.00
BTTS67%80%57%
Clean Sheet33%20%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2052
85%
2.6
6814+54
4.1
90%
85%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.7
-
2EuropaEuropa2044
70%
2.2
4815+33
3.1
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.40.8
-
3MagpiesMagpies2037
55%
1.9
3918+21
2.9
75%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.9
-
4LynxLynx2033
50%
1.6
3329+4
3.1
85%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2030
45%
1.5
3527+8
3.1
85%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.4
-
6Mons CalpeMons Calpe1829
50%
1.6
2825+3
2.9
83%
61%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
7Manchester 62Manchester 621828
50%
1.6
3430+4
3.6
89%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
8Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar1819
28%
1.1
2537-12
3.4
78%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.1
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2013
20%
0.7
1949-30
3.4
75%
60%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.5
-
10College 1975College 1975189
11%
0.5
1951-32
3.9
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.8
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point187
6%
0.4
1265-53
4.3
83%
72%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.6
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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