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Magpies vs St Joseph S Fc Prediction & Stats

Date: 30/10/2026
Time: 20:00
Magpies
Magpies
Vs
15%
22%
63%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
St Joseph S Fc
St Joseph S Fc
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 61% chance for St Joseph S Fc, 23% for a draw and 16% for a Magpies victory. The expected total goals sit at 3.0, but the most likely total is 2, with a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 10.8%. Magpies, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. St Joseph S Fc, on the road against a weaker side, average 4.33 scored and 0.56 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Away +2 handicap (94.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.0%), Under 5.5 (92.0%), Away over 0.5 goals (86.8%) and Away under 3.5 goals (85.3%). Both teams are coming off wins, with Magpies 2-0 over Lynx and St Joseph S Fc 2-1 over Mons Calpe.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Magpies win
15.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc win
62.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L31W30W11D00D30W12L11D20WA·EUR13/12A·ST 20/12H·GLA10/01A·HOU17/01H·LIO24/01H·LYN06/02A·EUR20/02H·LIN05/03A·LIO22/08H·LYN29/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.631.001.351.232.00
vs Stronger (8)0.503.120.752.250.254.00
vs Similar (14)1.141.501.111.221.202.00
vs Weaker (8)1.620.381.000.752.250.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-760W40W01L70W01L10W00D23L33D21WH·HOU25/01A·LIO07/02H·LYN21/02A·EUR03/03A·LIN21/03H·LYN04/04A·EUR11/04A·MON18/04H·LIO26/04H·MON28/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.270.733.271.003.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.300.803.251.501.670.33
vs Weaker (20)3.750.703.270.824.330.56
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
Magpies goals ↓
St Joseph S Fc goals →
01234
05.8%9.1%10%7.3%3.8%
13.6%10%9.9%6.9%3.6%
22.2%4.5%4.7%3.3%1.7%
30.7%1.4%1.5%1.0%0.5%
40.2%0.3%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Magpies goals (down), columns = St Joseph S Fc goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Magpies is 1.06 points worse than St Joseph S Fc in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Magpies is 2.42 goals worse than St Joseph S Fc in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 3.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Magpies is 0.82 goals worse than St Joseph S Fc in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Magpies or Draw
37.4%
Avg Implied -
15%
22%
63%
covers Magpies + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Magpies or St Joseph S Fc
77.9%
Avg Implied -
15%
22%
63%
covers Magpies + St Joseph S Fc
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or St Joseph S Fc
84.7%
Avg Implied -
15%
22%
63%
covers Draw + St Joseph S Fc
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Magpies over/under 0.5
Over
61.2%
Under
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 0.5
Over
87.5%
Under
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 1.5
Over
61.6%
Under
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 2.5
Over
34.5%
Under
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 3.5
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Magpies, so a minus line means Magpies give that many goals of a start and St Joseph S Fc receive them. At -1, Magpies must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Magpies win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Magpies)
Magpies -2
1.4%
Draw -2
4.0%
St Joseph S Fc +2
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Magpies)
Magpies -1
5.4%
Draw -1
9.9%
St Joseph S Fc +1
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Magpies)
Magpies +1
37.4%
Draw +1
22.9%
St Joseph S Fc -1
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Magpies)
Magpies +2
60.3%
Draw +2
19.3%
St Joseph S Fc -2
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W03L10W30W01L00D11D10WH·MAN29/11H·MON06/12A·EUR13/12A·ST 20/12H·GLA10/01A·HOU17/01H·LIO24/01H·LYN06/02H·LIN05/03H·LYN29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.720.610.670.92
vs Stronger (8)0.251.620.501.250.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.800.600.900.600.600.60
vs Weaker (7)1.000.000.500.001.670.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W00D10W00D00D00D11D12L10WH·HOU25/01A·LIO07/02H·LYN21/02A·EUR03/03A·LIN21/03H·LYN04/04A·EUR11/04A·MON18/04H·LIO26/04H·MON28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.271.470.401.330.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.101.250.251.000.00
vs Weaker (20)1.550.351.550.451.560.22
Clean sheet %80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MagpiesMagpies

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L01L21W00D10W00D01L10WH·MAN29/11H·MON06/12A·EUR13/12A·ST 20/12H·GLA10/01A·HOU17/01H·LIO24/01H·LYN06/02H·LIN05/03H·LYN29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.930.440.720.501.25
vs Stronger (8)0.251.500.251.000.252.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.870.500.600.801.40
vs Weaker (7)0.430.430.500.750.330.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-650W10W01L60W01L10W00D12L21W11DH·HOU25/01A·LIO07/02H·LYN21/02A·EUR03/03A·LIN21/03H·LYN04/04A·EUR11/04A·MON18/04H·LIO26/04H·MON28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.471.800.601.930.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.702.001.250.670.33
vs Weaker (20)2.200.351.730.362.780.33
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Magpies over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.4%-------
Under 6.596.5%-------
Away +2 handicap94.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals92.9%-------
Under 5.591.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals87.5%-------
Draw or Away84.7%-------
Away +1 handicap84.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals84.2%-------
Over 1.581.5%-------
Under 4.581.0%-------
Home or Away77.9%-------
Home under 1.5 goals75.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Magpies and St Joseph S Fc have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Magpies and St Joseph S Fc have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Magpies and St Joseph S Fc have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Magpies and St Joseph S Fc have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
MAG wins
1
Draws
7
SJS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Magpies vs St Joseph S Fc · H/A from MAG
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG4-0
19/09/25HMAG Vs St Joseph S Fc0-2
11/04/25HMAG Vs St Joseph S Fc0-2
19/02/25HMAG Vs St Joseph S Fc1-3
03/10/24ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG2-1
28/04/24ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG2-0
24/02/24ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG2-2
03/11/23HMAG Vs St Joseph S Fc2-4

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HMAG Vs Lynx2-0
22/08/26ALions Gibraltar Vs MAG1-1
05/03/26HMAG Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-2
20/02/26AEuropa Point Vs MAG0-3
06/02/26HMAG Vs Lynx0-0
24/01/26HMAG Vs Lions Gibraltar1-1
17/01/26AHound Dogs Vs MAG0-3
10/01/26HMAG Vs Glacis United3-1
20/12/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG4-0
13/12/25AEuropa Vs MAG2-1

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HSJS Vs Mons Calpe2-1
26/04/26HSJS Vs Lions Gibraltar3-3
18/04/26AMons Calpe Vs SJS3-2
11/04/26AEuropa Vs SJS0-0
04/04/26HSJS Vs Lynx1-0
21/03/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs SJS1-0
03/03/26AEuropa Point Vs SJS0-7
21/02/26HSJS Vs Lynx0-1
07/02/26ALions Gibraltar Vs SJS0-4
25/01/26HSJS Vs Hound Dogs6-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Magpies
Magpies
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.32
HomeWDDLW1.31
AwayLLWWD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals3.162.813.54
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %62%54%71%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.621.351.92
Conceded1.541.461.62
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet30%23%38%
Corners---
Cards---
St Joseph S Fc
St Joseph S Fc
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW2.32
HomeWLWDW2.20
AwayWWLDL2.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%68%76%
AVG goals3.743.683.80
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %72%76%68%
Over 3.5 %60%52%68%
Scored3.002.763.24
Conceded0.740.920.56
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet48%40%56%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1EuropaEuropa24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.01.0
-
2MagpiesMagpies24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.5
-
3Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.0
-
4Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.0
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.01.0
-
6Hound DogsHound Dogs11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
7College 1975College 197521
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.5
-
8LynxLynx21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
10Europa PointEuropa Point21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
11Mons CalpeMons Calpe10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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